Wizards vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the American Airlines Center tonight as the underdog Washington Wizards, looking to conjure up some playoff magic, face off against the Dallas Mavericks in what promises to be a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff game. With the clock ticking down to a 09:30 PM EST tipoff, the Mavericks, fresh off a victory, are set to defend their turf against the Wizards, who are desperate to turn their recent luck around. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing and fans on the edge of their seats, wondering if the Wizards can pull a rabbit out of their hats or if the Mavericks will continue to gallop towards victory. So, let’s see if the Wizards can cast a spell over the Mavericks or if it’s Dallas that ends up lassoing the win!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 27, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+450	-650	231.5	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+220	-300	231.0	12.0/-12.0
Difference	-230	+350	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

0W-10L

AWAY

9W-49L

31.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

35W-25L

68.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/05/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	37	34	35	137	Over
12/05/24	Washington Wizards WAS	22	28	27	24	101	Over
02/12/24	Washington Wizards WAS	22	36	30	16	104	Under
02/12/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	27	34	112	Under
11/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	41	30	33	26	130	Over
11/15/23	Washington Wizards WAS	26	25	32	34	117	Over
01/24/23	Washington Wizards WAS	32	33	34	28	127	Over
01/24/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	32	37	29	126	Over
11/10/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	27	22	22	105	Under
11/10/22	Washington Wizards WAS	28	30	29	26	113	Under
04/01/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	23	25	25	103	Over
04/01/22	Washington Wizards WAS	41	26	27	41	135	Over
11/27/21	Washington Wizards WAS	41	20	30	29	120	Over
11/27/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	33	24	21	114	Over

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	vs LAC	93-110L	49	24	15	94
01/21	vs LAL	88-111L	46	25	11	95
01/19	vs SAC	100-123L	46	19	16	89
01/18	vs GSW	114-122L	44	24	13	86
01/16	@ PHX	123-130L	45	28	13	92
01/13	@ MIN	106-120L	34	27	11	91
01/12	@ OKL	95-136L	39	20	16	83
01/10	vs CHI	105-138L	45	26	15	98
01/08	vs PHI	103-109L	51	26	17	94
01/07	@ HOU	112-135L	43	21	18	89

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	vs OKL	121-115W	43	25	20	74
01/22	@ MIN	114-115L	38	24	13	90
01/20	vs CHA	105-110L	51	19	14	88
01/17	@ OKL	106-98W	43	25	17	75
01/15	vs NOP	116-119L	45	27	15	90
01/14	@ DEN	99-118L	30	27	12	90
01/12	@ DEN	101-112L	37	27	12	85
01/09	@ POR	117-111W	53	26	14	88
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98

Starting Lineups

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bilal Coulibaly SG	31.0	24.4	26.4	100%	26.8
Kyshawn George SF	24.0	21.0	18.5	20%	22.7
Kyle Kuzma PF	34.0	27.1	28.0	93%	29.0
Jordan Poole PG	39.0	37.0	35.9	100%	36.3
Alexandre Sarr C	32.0	29.4	27.6	100%	28.0

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Spencer Dinwiddie SG	30.0	28.9	24.8	43%	31.8
Daniel Gafford C	40.0	40.8	25.5	30%	35.9
Kyrie Irving PG	46.0	42.2	41.5	100%	41.9
Klay Thompson SF	24.0	21.8	23.7	100%	24.0
PJ Washington PF	35.0	39.4	31.3	100%	31.4

Wizards Notable Injuries

Patrick Baldwin Jr. (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 2.4reb, 0.6ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.5

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 7.2reb, 1.6ast, 23.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 4.8
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): Avg: 8.2pts, 3.6reb, 2.1ast, 20.9 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 3.9
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.1reb, 1.5ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 2.1
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Corey Kispert	WAS	Pts	9.5	11.9	+2.4	80%	70%	73%	73%	DAL	-1.1	#10
Klay Thompson	DAL	Pts	12.5	14.0	+1.5	20%	50%	47%	47%	WAS	+2.2	#25
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Reb	4.5	5.9	+1.4	60%	50%	53%	53%	DAL	+0.2	#19
Jonas Valanciunas	WAS	Reb	7.5	8.1	+0.6	80%	80%	80%	80%	DAL	+0.3	#20
Spencer Dinwiddie	DAL	Ast	4.5	5.6	+1.1	0%	30%	33%	33%	WAS	+1.0	#26
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.0	+0.5	100%	70%	47%	47%	WAS	-0.3	#11
Quentin Grimes	DAL	3Pt	1.5	2.2	+0.7	40%	40%	60%	60%	WAS	+0.2	#19
PJ Washington	DAL	3Pt	1.5	2.2	+0.7	40%	50%	47%	47%	WAS	-0.2	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#10	#21	#20	5.6%
PF	#27	#30	#11	#30	10.9%
PG	#24	#25	#26	#29	11.0%
SF	#10	#27	#28	#26	7.4%
SG	#25	#29	#25	#30	10.4%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#20	#19	#19	4.6%
PF	#18	#7	#17	#11	-1.5%
PG	#27	#15	#12	#26	4.8%
SF	#17	#19	#29	#24	5.4%
SG	#10	#22	#11	#11	-3.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.2

112.9

Rebounds per Game

45.3

44.0

Assists per Game

25.1

24.8

Steals per Game

7.8

8.6

Blocks per Game

4.9

6.2

Shots per Game

91.1

85.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.1

53.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.7

37.8

Turnovers per Game

15.5

15.0

Fouls per Game

20.4

18.0

Recent Trends

Quentin Grimes (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 28.3, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 92.6% to 21.9, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.