Wizards vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to wave your wands and sharpen your spears, hoops fans! Tonight, the underdog Washington Wizards are set to cast their spells at the Chase Center, hoping to conjure up a magical upset against the Golden State Warriors in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff clash. With the clock ticking down to a 09:30 PM EST showdown, the air is thick with anticipation. The Wizards, despite a tough season, are looking to pull a rabbit out of their hat, while the Warriors aim to continue their balanced attack, fresh off a nail-biter victory. As the points line teeters at a towering 229, all eyes will be on which team can enchant the scoreboard the most. So, will the Wizards have enough tricks up their sleeve, or will the Warriors’ blades prove too sharp? Let’s find out if it’s going to be a spellbound victory or a warrior’s conquest tonight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 18, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+600	-950	230.0	14.0/-14.0
Recent	+575	-900	229.0	13.5/-13.5
Difference	-25	+50	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

1W-9L

AWAY

9W-45L

14.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

29W-27L

85.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/04/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	25	39	32	125	Over
11/04/24	Washington Wizards WAS	20	25	36	31	112	Over
02/27/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	37	38	25	123	Over
02/27/24	Washington Wizards WAS	25	33	17	37	112	Over
12/22/23	Washington Wizards WAS	25	36	22	35	118	Over
12/22/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	35	38	28	129	Over
02/13/23	Washington Wizards WAS	39	27	27	33	126	Over
02/13/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	42	35	29	135	Over
01/16/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	35	34	24	34	127	Over
01/16/23	Washington Wizards WAS	33	31	29	25	118	Over
03/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	27	30	34	115	Over
03/27/22	Washington Wizards WAS	28	31	33	31	123	Over
03/14/22	Washington Wizards WAS	30	27	27	28	112	Over
03/14/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	40	28	25	126	Over

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/16	@ PHX	123-130L	45	28	13	92
01/13	@ MIN	106-120L	34	27	11	91
01/12	@ OKL	95-136L	39	20	16	83
01/10	vs CHI	105-138L	45	26	15	98
01/08	vs PHI	103-109L	51	26	17	94
01/07	@ HOU	112-135L	43	21	18	89
01/03	vs NOP	120-132L	48	28	21	84
01/01	@ CHI	125-107W	42	36	15	99
12/30	@ NYK	106-126L	46	25	13	92
12/28	@ NYK	132-136L	44	32	15	99

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/15	vs MIN	116-115W	45	26	12	82
01/13	vs TOR	101-104L	46	23	14	88
01/10	vs IND	96-108L	42	25	13	91
01/09	vs DET	107-104W	49	32	15	89
01/07	@ MIA	98-114L	52	28	10	98
01/04	@ MEM	121-113W	29	32	18	84
01/02	@ PHI	139-105W	43	41	11	87
12/30	@ CLE	95-113L	55	20	14	99
12/28	@ PHX	109-105W	49	26	11	98
12/27	vs LAC	92-102L	47	24	14	95

Starting Lineups

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Carlton Carrington SG	23.0	18.4	21.2	77%	23.1
Bilal Coulibaly SF	32.0	21.1	27.8	100%	28.2
Kyle Kuzma PF	32.0	23.7	28.8	93%	29.9
Jordan Poole PG	36.0	33.3	36.7	100%	37.0
Alexandre Sarr C	31.0	27.2	27.5	100%	27.9

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	45.0	48.8	42.9	100%	43.3
Draymond Green PF	31.0	28.8	28.2	93%	28.0
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	33.0	27.5	23.1	80%	25.6
Dennis Schroder SG	28.0	22.8	28.2	100%	28.6
Andrew Wiggins SF	32.0	31.4	29.6	100%	30.0

Wizards Notable Injuries

Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG): Avg: 15.2pts, 3.8reb, 4.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 4.8
Richaun Holmes (C): Avg: 4.8pts, 4.3reb, 0.6ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 2.7

Warriors Notable Injuries

Jonathan Kuminga (PF): Avg: 16.4pts, 4.9reb, 2.1ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 5.6
Kyle Anderson (PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 3.3reb, 3.6ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.9
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Pts	11.5	13.6	+2.1	40%	50%	67%	67%	GSW	+1.9	#25
Jonas Valanciunas	WAS	Pts	9.5	11.5	+2.0	60%	60%	47%	47%	GSW	-2.3	#8
Corey Kispert	WAS	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	60%	60%	60%	60%	GSW	+0.5	#22
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Ast	5.5	5.7	+0.2	40%	40%	40%	40%	WAS	+0.5	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#12	#22	#23	6.2%
PF	#25	#30	#23	#27	8.4%
PG	#19	#27	#25	#29	8.7%
SF	#17	#19	#26	#23	5.5%
SG	#28	#28	#24	#30	11.5%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#11	#12	#10	-2.5%
PF	#3	#11	#21	#7	-4.2%
PG	#2	#6	#14	#1	-10.1%
SF	#25	#26	#22	#25	8.1%
SG	#23	#25	#22	#26	6.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.1

107.7

Rebounds per Game

45.0

45.3

Assists per Game

25.3

27.9

Steals per Game

7.7

8.5

Blocks per Game

5.1

5.2

Shots per Game

90.5

91.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.7

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.6

50.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.7

35.7

Turnovers per Game

15.8

13.1

Fouls per Game

20.8

18.3

Recent Trends

Justin Champagnie (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 11.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Kyle Kuzma (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.9% to 30.7, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.3% to 17.7, 13.4 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.3% to 20.6, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.1% to 15.3, 11.3 min average previous 3 games.
Gui Santos (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.3% to 19.0, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.