Wizards vs Rockets Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 14th 2024

Hold on to your broomsticks, sports fans, because tonight’s NBA showdown is nothing short of magical. The Washington Wizards, who’ve been casting more curses than spells with their 11W-54L record, are flying their carpet all the way to the Toyota Center to face the Houston Rockets, who’ve been blasting off more often than not with a 30W-35L record. It’s an 08:00PM EST tipoff, so make sure you’ve got your wands and rocket fuel ready. The Wizards are trailing a whopping 26.5 games in the Eastern conference, while the Rockets are just 9.0 games back in the West. The bookies have set the over/under at 226.0, with the Wizards at 8.0 and the Rockets at -8.0. The Rockets are fresh off a tie-breaker win against SAS, while the Wizards are still nursing a close loss to MEM. Tonight, it’s all about who can conjure up the most magic or blast off the highest. So, whether you’re a wizard in the East or a rocket in the West, get ready for a game that promises to be a spellbinding launch!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 14, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+270	-340	225.5	8.0/-8.0
Recent	+145	-190	226.0	7.5/-7.5
Difference	-125	+150	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

7W-27L

40.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

20W-11L

59.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/09/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	24	32	27	114	Under
04/09/23	Washington Wizards WAS	39	28	18	24	109	Under
01/25/23	Washington Wizards WAS	25	18	28	37	108	Under
01/25/23	Houston Rockets HOU	30	28	23	22	103	Under
03/21/22	Washington Wizards WAS	39	24	20	14	97	Under
03/21/22	Houston Rockets HOU	26	25	29	35	115	Under
01/05/22	Houston Rockets HOU	29	25	32	28	114	Under
01/05/22	Washington Wizards WAS	26	29	28	28	111	Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/12	vs MEM	97-94W	28	26	13	78
03/10	vs MIA	110-108W	40	35	15	81
03/08	@ CHA	112-100W	54	25	11	89
03/06	@ ORL	109-119L	35	26	9	88
03/04	vs UTA	115-127L	43	26	15	94
03/01	vs LAC	115-140L	39	29	9	98
02/29	vs LAL	131-134L	45	35	15	102
02/27	@ GSW	112-125L	41	34	20	94
02/25	@ CLE	105-114L	40	29	9	93
02/23	vs OKL	106-147L	43	20	14	106

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/12	vs SAS	103-103L	36	21	12	80
03/10	vs SAC	112-104W	42	23	12	85
03/08	vs POR	123-107W	47	33	7	94
03/06	@ LAC	116-122L	38	33	8	94
03/05	@ SAS	114-101W	51	23	5	107
03/02	vs PHX	118-109W	49	27	12	98
02/29	vs PHX	105-111L	58	14	12	99
02/27	vs OKL	95-112L	46	22	15	96
02/25	@ OKL	110-123L	50	18	18	93
02/23	@ PHX	114-110W	54	25	14	93

Starting Lineups

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija PF	35.4	28.0	31.7	100%	31.4
Bilal Coulibaly SG	23.1	17.2	17.8	40%	17.9
Tyus Jones PG	33.0	20.8	29.8	100%	29.1
Corey Kispert SF	22.6	16.2	20.8	13%	21.2
Kyle Kuzma C	44.0	38.0	38.4	100%	37.1

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	27.1	13.2	20.6	93%	21.4
Jalen Green SG	44.6	28.8	32.8	93%	32.9
Jabari Smith Jr. C	37.3	25.1	28.8	100%	28.6
Amen Thompson PF	32.7	21.4	24.8	23%	33.5
Fred VanVleet PG	50.6	41.1	37.1	93%	37.9

Wizards Notable Injuries

Marvin Bagley III (C): Avg: 11.4pts, 6.1reb, 1.2ast, 20.8 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 4.7
Landry Shamet (PG/SG): Avg: 7.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.2ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.6
Justin Champagnie (SG): Avg: 3.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.9
Jules Bernard (SF): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.6ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.8

Rockets Notable Injuries

Alperen Sengun (C): Avg: 21.0pts, 9.4reb, 5.0ast, 32.4 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 7.4
Cam Whitmore (SG/SF): Avg: 12.1pts, 3.9reb, 0.5ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 3.5
Nate Williams (PG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Tyus Jones	WAS	Pts	10.5	13.3	+2.8	20%	20%	47%	47%	HOU	-1.0	#11
Jalen Green	HOU	Pts	22.5	25.0	+2.5	40%	40%	33%	33%	WAS	+0.2	#16
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Reb	4.5	4.8	+0.3	20%	40%	27%	27%	WAS	+1.4	#30

View All Player Prop Projections

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#25	#24	#23	7.6%
PF	#29	#26	#24	#29	15.2%
PG	#18	#22	#12	#24	7.3%
SF	#28	#12	#27	#27	10.7%
SG	#16	#30	#26	#28	7.8%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#29	#28	#29	16.8%
PF	#11	#21	#2	#8	-6.1%
PG	#23	#25	#16	#27	12.5%
SF	#24	#28	#28	#29	15.2%
SG	#11	#23	#2	#8	-5.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.3

110.7

Rebounds per Game

40.8

47.6

Assists per Game

29.2

23.8

Steals per Game

7.1

8.8

Blocks per Game

4.1

5.0

Shots per Game

93.4

93.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.4

12.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.8

49.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.4

33.6

Turnovers per Game

13.6

12.2

Fouls per Game

17.9

19.8

Recent Trends

Dillon Brooks (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.2% to 25.0, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.
Richaun Holmes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 112.3% to 23.4, 11.0 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.