Wizards vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready to cast your spells or charge with the bucks tonight as the NBA playoffs heat up with a thrilling face-off between the Washington Wizards and the Milwaukee Bucks at the buzzing Fiserv Forum! With the Wizards pulling a magical win recently and the Bucks looking to rebound from a tough loss, tonight’s matchup promises to be anything but a snoozefest. Set your watches for a 9 PM EST tipoff and keep an eye on those betting lines, because with stakes this high, every point counts. As the Wizards try to conjure up another victory and the Bucks aim to gallop back into winning form, tonight’s game could very well turn into a bewitching battle of hoops!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 21, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+525	-800	226.5	12.5/-12.5
Recent	+360	-500	220.5	10.5/-10.5
Difference	-165	+300	-6.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

9W-41L

21.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

41W-14L

78.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/30/24	Washington Wizards WAS	29	29	28	28	114	Over
11/30/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	35	29	32	124	Over
04/02/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	26	32	27	113	Over
04/02/24	Washington Wizards WAS	27	31	33	26	117	Over
11/24/23	Washington Wizards WAS	35	26	28	39	128	Over
11/24/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	26	32	39	131	Over
11/20/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	39	34	38	142	Over
11/20/23	Washington Wizards WAS	27	38	37	27	129	Over
04/04/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	43	39	26	140	Over
04/04/23	Washington Wizards WAS	29	33	35	31	128	Over
03/05/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	25	24	34	117	Over
03/05/23	Washington Wizards WAS	28	20	32	31	111	Over
01/03/23	Washington Wizards WAS	28	21	36	28	113	Over
01/03/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	29	29	33	123	Over
01/01/23	Washington Wizards WAS	34	34	20	30	118	Under
01/01/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	17	33	20	25	95	Under
03/24/22	Washington Wizards WAS	13	29	24	36	102	Under
03/24/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	28	32	22	114	Under
02/01/22	Washington Wizards WAS	20	20	33	25	98	Under
02/01/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	29	25	34	112	Under
11/07/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	28	19	23	94	Under
11/07/21	Washington Wizards WAS	26	23	33	19	101	Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/19	@ CHA	123-114W	52	33	18	83
12/15	@ BOS	98-112L	51	22	16	99
12/13	vs CLE	105-115L	44	24	17	86
12/08	@ MEM	112-140L	52	20	21	100
12/07	@ DEN	122-113W	46	31	17	93
12/05	@ DAL	101-137L	39	25	12	99
12/03	vs CLE	87-118L	52	18	20	83
11/30	vs MIL	114-124L	41	24	12	87
11/26	@ CHI	108-127L	43	27	12	91
11/24	vs IND	103-115L	41	24	16	79

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/20	vs CLE	101-124L	45	23	20	85
12/14	@ ATL	110-102W	47	28	12	86
12/10	@ ORL	114-109W	37	27	16	77
12/08	vs BRO	118-113W	31	26	16	68
12/06	vs BOS	105-111L	51	16	9	94
12/04	@ ATL	104-119L	40	23	18	78
12/03	vs DET	128-107W	36	26	16	80
11/30	@ WAS	124-114W	38	31	11	86
11/26	vs MIA	106-103W	41	23	10	77
11/23	@ CHA	125-119W	51	20	14	89

Starting Lineups

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Malcolm Brogdon SG	31.0	30.4	27.5	70%	32.6
Justin Champagnie PF	25.0	36.2	14.6	20%	35.0
Bilal Coulibaly SF	32.0	37.1	26.2	100%	26.6
Jordan Poole PG	40.0	39.0	37.9	100%	38.3
Alexandre Sarr C	32.0	31.2	26.5	100%	26.9

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	64.0	58.5	58.9	100%	59.3
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	14.0	11.4	10.3	57%	11.9
Damian Lillard PG	42.0	44.0	43.7	100%	44.1
Brook Lopez C	22.0	16.1	26.3	100%	26.7
Taurean Prince SF	11.0	8.3	16.6	80%	17.9

Wizards Notable Injuries

Marvin Bagley III (C): Avg: 10.0pts, 5.3reb, 0.9ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 1.9
Patrick Baldwin Jr. (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.6reb, 0.6ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 1.1

Bucks Notable Injuries

Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Alexandre Sarr	WAS	Pts	11.5	12.6	+1.1	60%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	-0.2	#13
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Pts	12.5	13.5	+1.0	80%	50%	40%	40%	MIL	-0.2	#13
Carlton Carrington	WAS	Reb	4.5	4.7	+0.2	80%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	+0.5	#22

View All Player Prop Projections

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#19	#5	#27	9.1%
PF	#24	#30	#24	#30	11.1%
PG	#26	#27	#28	#30	13.1%
SF	#15	#11	#21	#17	2.1%
SG	#24	#28	#20	#25	6.6%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#18	#12	#6	-6.1%
PF	#1	#9	#12	#4	-9.2%
PG	#28	#22	#8	#23	3.7%
SF	#13	#4	#8	#7	-6.8%
SG	#20	#30	#17	#22	4.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.5

112.8

Rebounds per Game

43.6

42.6

Assists per Game

24.6

24.1

Steals per Game

7.9

7.7

Blocks per Game

5.6

5.8

Shots per Game

90.4

84.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.0

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.0

56.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.1

38.1

Turnovers per Game

16.0

13.6

Fouls per Game

22.7

19.4

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.3, 21.5 min average previous 3 games.
Kyshawn George (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.8% to 15.8, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jonas Valanciunas (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.5% to 13.7, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.