Wizards vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up your screens and fantasy lineups as the underdog Washington Wizards zip their way into the Paycom Center, ready to cast a spell of surprise against the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder tonight at 9 PM EST! With the Wizards looking to conjure up some much-needed magic from their 4-22 record and the Thunder riding the storm with a dominant 22-5, this first-round playoff game promises more sparks than a wizard’s duel in a thunderstorm. While the odds are leaning heavily in favor of OKC, the over/under at a robust 223.5 points suggests there might just be a fantasy bonanza brewing. Will the Wizards pull a rabbit out of their hats, or will the Thunder roll on with their electrifying season? Tune in as we see if the Wizards can thunderstruck their critics or if it’s just another spellbound night for OKC!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 23, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+950	-2000	223.5	18.0/-18.0
Recent	+950	-2000	223.5	18.0/-18.0
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

9W-42L

9.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

41W-9L

90.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/23/24	Washington Wizards WAS	28	29	24	25	106	Over
02/23/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	41	39	37	30	147	Over
01/08/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	36	31	35	34	136	Over
01/08/24	Washington Wizards WAS	30	31	36	31	128	Over
01/06/23	Washington Wizards WAS	17	25	38	30	110	Over
01/06/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	35	33	35	24	127	Over
11/16/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	25	35	32	121	Over
11/16/22	Washington Wizards WAS	37	30	20	33	120	Over
01/11/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	30	32	25	118	Over
01/11/22	Washington Wizards WAS	30	28	36	28	122	Over
11/26/21	Washington Wizards WAS	25	31	20	25	101	Under
11/26/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	27	14	31	99	Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	vs MIL	101-112L	46	20	19	80
12/19	@ CHA	123-114W	52	33	18	83
12/15	@ BOS	98-112L	51	22	16	99
12/13	vs CLE	105-115L	44	24	17	86
12/08	@ MEM	112-140L	52	20	21	100
12/07	@ DEN	122-113W	46	31	17	93
12/05	@ DAL	101-137L	39	25	12	99
12/03	vs CLE	87-118L	52	18	20	83
11/30	vs MIL	114-124L	41	24	12	87
11/26	@ CHI	108-127L	43	27	12	91

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/20	vs MIA	104-97W	48	24	14	86
12/19	vs ORL	105-99W	32	23	13	83
12/14	@ HOU	111-96W	43	19	12	80
12/10	@ DAL	118-104W	52	29	13	101
12/07	vs NOP	119-109W	45	27	18	85
12/05	vs TOR	129-92W	56	28	6	102
12/03	@ UTA	133-106W	34	32	8	102
12/01	vs HOU	116-119L	46	30	7	94
11/29	vs LAL	101-93W	47	20	9	93
11/25	vs SAC	130-109W	44	28	15	86

Starting Lineups

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Malcolm Brogdon SG	29.0	28.1	27.5	73%	31.8
Justin Champagnie PF	21.0	30.1	14.6	23%	31.7
Bilal Coulibaly SF	34.0	39.8	26.9	100%	27.3
Jordan Poole PG	36.0	34.6	37.6	100%	38.0
Alexandre Sarr C	28.0	30.9	26.5	100%	26.9

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	21.0	26.4	23.7	100%	24.0
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	51.0	54.1	53.5	100%	53.9
Isaiah Hartenstein C	40.0	37.0	30.5	100%	29.4
Cason Wallace SG	17.0	19.4	17.1	50%	21.1
Jalen Williams PF	42.0	37.6	41.3	100%	41.8

Wizards Notable Injuries

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.2pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 3.3
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/10/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Pts	12.5	14.3	+1.8	100%	50%	47%	47%	OKL	+0.1	#15
Cason Wallace	OKL	Pts	5.5	7.1	+1.6	20%	40%	33%	33%	WAS	+1.9	#26
Isaiah Hartenstein	OKL	Reb	11.5	12.5	+1.0	80%	70%	60%	60%	WAS	+1.7	#30
Malcolm Brogdon	WAS	Reb	3.5	3.8	+0.3	60%	50%	60%	60%	OKL	+0.7	#27
Jalen Williams	OKL	Ast	4.5	5.3	+0.8	60%	60%	67%	67%	WAS	+0.5	#23

View All Player Prop Projections

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#14	#6	#27	6.9%
PF	#28	#30	#25	#30	13.6%
PG	#26	#27	#30	#30	13.0%
SF	#12	#12	#19	#16	1.0%
SG	#20	#28	#23	#25	7.1%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#28	#28	#9	-3.4%
PF	#7	#18	#4	#7	-5.8%
PG	#6	#23	#2	#2	-12.6%
SF	#15	#25	#15	#12	-2.4%
SG	#4	#27	#9	#12	-5.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.2

116.1

Rebounds per Game

43.7

43.5

Assists per Game

24.4

25.7

Steals per Game

7.9

12.2

Blocks per Game

5.6

6.3

Shots per Game

89.9

92.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.3

13.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.9

55.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.6

35.0

Turnovers per Game

16.1

11.0

Fouls per Game

22.2

21.1

Recent Trends

Kyshawn George (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 16.9, 26.3 min average previous 3 games.
Corey Kispert (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.4% to 18.0, 30.2 min average previous 3 games.
Ajay Mitchell (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 10.6, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jonas Valanciunas (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.1% to 13.2, 24.1 min average previous 3 games.