Strategy and Stats for 05/11/24 NBA Daily Fantasy Slate

Welcome to today’s thrilling NBA fantasy breakdown, where all eyes are set on a high-stakes duel at the American Airlines Center. As the Oklahoma City Thunder clash with the Dallas Mavericks at 03:30 PM EST, fantasy managers should be on high alert. With an Over/Under set at a promising 217.0, we’re anticipating a scoring fest that could make or break your fantasy lineup. Today’s slate not only features star-studded performances but also hidden gems that could provide unexpected value. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into each position, analyzing top picks and sleeper candidates that could dominate the hardwood in today’s exciting matchups.

Point Guard Fantasy Insights

Luka Doncic ($13600), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 68.9 pts

Luka Doncic continues to be a dominant force in daily fantasy sports, especially evident in his recent performances. Over the last five games, Doncic has averaged 56.1 daily fantasy points. Despite a slight dip from his previous five-game stretch where he averaged 61.4 points, his ability to contribute across the board with 28.0 points, 9.8 assists, and 8.0 rebounds per game makes him a vital asset. His shooting efficiency remains robust at 54.8% from the field, although his three-point shooting has seen a decrease to 23.3%. Facing the Thunder, who rank #8 in defense against point guards, might pose a challenge, yet Doncic’s high usage rate and increased minutes on the floor (41.8 per game recently) suggest he can overcome tougher matchups. With a DraftKings salary of $13600 and a projected point total leading to a DFS value score of 5.1, Doncic represents strong value for the upcoming slate, making him a top consideration for your DFS lineups.

Shooting Guard (SG) Daily Fantasy Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. ($4200), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 16 pts

Tim Hardaway Jr. has been navigating a challenging stretch in the NBA, with a notable dip in his fantasy production. Over his last five games, he’s averaged only 11.0 daily fantasy points, a decrease from the 17.4 points he posted in the previous five-game period. His scoring has also seen a downturn, dropping from 10.2 points to 6.6 points per game, alongside reductions in assists and rebounds. Despite maintaining a high field goal percentage at 61.5%, his minimal three-point success rate of 28.6% and reduced court time, now at 14.7 minutes per game, are concerning. The upcoming matchup against the Thunder, who rank #8 in defense against SGs, doesn’t bode well for Hardaway. Given his current form and the tough opposition, his DraftKings salary of $4200 reflects a projected DFS value score of 3.8. This positions him as a risky pick for the upcoming slate, suggesting that fantasy managers might want to consider other options or monitor any potential changes in his usage or performance closer to game time.

Top Small Forward Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Luguentz Dort ($6000), Oklahoma City Thunder – Projected 21.5 pts

Luguentz Dort’s recent performances have shown a mix of volatility and promise, particularly in his three-point shooting where he’s hitting 50.0% from beyond the arc. However, his overall field goal percentage over the last five games stands at a concerning 23.1%. Despite this, Dort has managed to average 23.1 daily fantasy points during this stretch, slightly down from his previous five-game average of 25.5 points. His minutes on the floor have increased to an average of 33.0 per game, suggesting a solid role in the Thunder’s game plan. With a DFS value score of 3.6, based on his DraftKings salary of $6000 and projected points, Dort represents a risky pick against the Mavericks, who rank #16 in defense against SF. Fantasy managers should weigh his potential for high three-point output against his overall shooting struggles before making a decision.

Power Forward Analysis

PJ Washington ($6700), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 29.8 pts

PJ Washington has been a consistent performer for the Dallas Mavericks, particularly in his recent outings. Over his last five games, Washington has averaged 28.1 daily fantasy points, a slight improvement from his previous set of games where he averaged 26.1. His scoring has seen a modest increase to 13.0 points per game, complemented by 1.8 assists and 6.2 rebounds. Notably, his efficiency from the three-point line has risen to an impressive 45.2%, making him a valuable asset for fantasy teams, especially considering his 4.4 DFS value score against the Thunder’s weaker defense against PFs. With an average of 34.2 minutes on the court, Washington’s role and output are stable, suggesting his upcoming performance could very well align with or exceed his projected fantasy points.

Center Position Analysis for Upcoming DFS Slate

Chet Holmgren ($9000), Oklahoma City Thunder – Projected 36.9 pts

Chet Holmgren of the Oklahoma City Thunder continues to be a noteworthy consideration for DFS lineups, especially given his recent performances. Over his last five games, Holmgren has averaged 33.5 daily fantasy points. Despite a slight dip from his previous five-game stretch where he averaged 37.8 points, his current production remains solid. His scoring ability is consistent, with an average of 15.2 points per game on a highly efficient 60.6% shooting from the field. However, his three-point shooting has seen a significant decrease to 28.6%, down from 41.2%. Holmgren’s contributions are not limited to scoring; he also averages 7.4 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. Notably, his minutes have increased to an average of 33.0 per game, up from 26.2, allowing him more opportunities to impact the game. The upcoming matchup against the Mavericks, who rank #9 in defense against centers, will be challenging yet Holmgren’s recent uptick in court time and shot volume (12.2 shots per game) suggests he can overcome these obstacles. With a DraftKings salary of $9000 and a projected point total of 36.9, Holmgren’s DFS value score sits at 4.1, categorizing him as a core value pick for the upcoming slate. His ability to contribute across multiple statistical categories makes him a viable option, though his recent dip in three-point efficiency and the tough defensive matchup should be considered when finalizing rosters.