Strategy and Stats for 06/09/24 NBA Daily Fantasy Slate

Welcome to today’s exhilarating NBA fantasy spotlight, where the Dallas Mavericks clash with the Boston Celtics at the iconic TD Garden, starting at 08:00 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a promising 215.0, fantasy managers should brace for a high-scoring affair. As we delve into the top projected players, keep an eye on Dallas’ sharpshooter, who has been averaging 28.3 points per game, and Boston’s dynamic guard, known for his impressive nightly contributions of 25.4 points and 7.1 assists. This game not only sets the stage for these stars to shine but also offers a deep dive into strategic plays that could make or break your fantasy lineup. Stay tuned as we break down the game, providing you with all the insights needed to dominate your daily fantasy sports contests.

Top PG Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Luka Doncic ($13800), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 70 pts

Luka Doncic continues to be a dominant force in daily fantasy sports, especially evident from his recent performances. Over the last five games, Doncic has been on a tear, averaging 62.0 daily fantasy points. This surge is a significant improvement from his previous set of five games, where he averaged 51.6 points. His scoring has seen a notable uptick from 22.0 to 31.0 points per game, complemented by his consistent playmaking with an average of 9.2 assists. Although his rebounding slightly dipped to 9.6 per game, his shooting efficiency has impressively increased, hitting 48.2% from the field and an excellent 42.9% from three-point range. Facing the Celtics next, who rank fourth in defensive efficiency against point guards, poses a challenge. However, Doncic’s ability to perform against tough defenses, combined with his high usage rate of 41.8 minutes and 21.0 shots per game, underscores his resilience and capability to deliver substantial fantasy points. With a DraftKings salary of $13800 and a projected point total of 70.0, Doncic’s DFS value score stands at 5.1, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Shooting Guard Daily Fantasy Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. ($6000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 3.0 pts

Tim Hardaway Jr.’s recent performance on the court has been less than stellar, particularly when considering his fantasy output in the context of his $6000 DraftKings salary. Over his last five games, Hardaway has averaged only 6.5 daily fantasy points, a significant drop from the 10.4 points he averaged in the previous set of five games. His scoring has dipped to 2.6 points per game from 6.2, and his minutes have decreased as well, now averaging just 11.2 per game. Despite maintaining a decent field goal percentage of 50.0%, his impact in other statistical categories has been minimal, with only 0.2 assists and 1.8 rebounds per game. His three-point shooting shows a slight improvement at 33.3%, up from 27.3%, but this is not enough to offset his overall decline in production. Facing the Celtics next, who rank #4 in defense against SGs, does not bode well for a turnaround. Given these factors and a projected DFS value score of 0.5, Hardaway Jr. is currently a risky pick for fantasy rosters.

Top Small Forward Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Derrick Jones Jr. ($8000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 21.0 pts

As we delve into the daily fantasy sports potential of Derrick Jones Jr., it’s evident that his recent performances have shown a notable uptick. Over the last five games, Jones Jr. has averaged 21.1 fantasy points per game, a slight improvement from his previous five-game stretch where he posted 19.4 points. His scoring has also seen a rise, with an average of 10.8 points per game, complemented by 2.2 assists and 3.8 rebounds. Notably, his shooting accuracy has been impressive, hitting 50.0% from the field and an exceptional 52.9% from three-point range, a significant jump from the 18.8% in his earlier games. Despite these strong numbers, his DFS value score stands at 2.6, primarily due to a high DraftKings salary of $8000, which might not align perfectly with his expected output, especially considering the matchup against the Celtics who rank #17 in defense against SFs. This matchup and his current pricing suggest caution, as his cost might not fully capture the potential return based on recent performances.

Power Forward Analysis for Today’s DFS Slate

PJ Washington ($10000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 30 pts

As the fantasy basketball community turns its eyes towards today’s games, PJ Washington of the Dallas Mavericks stands out, albeit with some concerns. Recently, Washington has been logging heavy minutes, averaging 38.0 per game over his last five outings, which is slightly up from his previous five-game stretch. During this period, he has posted an average of 23.6 daily fantasy points, a noticeable dip from the 39.1 points he averaged in the games prior. His scoring has also seen a decline, dropping from 21.8 points to 11.6 points per game, alongside a decrease in rebounds and a significant drop in three-point shooting efficiency from 51.4% to just 25.0%. Despite his solid field goal percentage of 55.6% recently, his overall fantasy performance has not justified his hefty $10000 DraftKings salary, resulting in a 3.0 DFS value score. This places him in a risky position for today’s matchup against the Celtics, who rank 17th in defensive efficiency against power forwards. Fantasy managers should weigh these factors heavily, as his current form suggests a potential underperformance relative to his high cost.

Center Position Daily Fantasy Analysis

Derek Lively II ($9000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 25 pts

As we dive into the fantasy potential of Derek Lively II, his recent surge in performance is hard to ignore. Over the last five games, Lively has significantly improved, averaging 27.9 daily fantasy points compared to just 17.1 in the previous five-game stretch. This uptick is supported by his impressive field goal percentage of 91.3%, a stark contrast to the 35.0% in earlier games. Despite his prowess in scoring and rebounding, with averages of 10.4 points and 9.6 rebounds per game, his DFS value score stands at a concerning 2.8. This is primarily due to his high DraftKings salary of $9000, which may not align well with his projected output of 25 points against the Celtics’ strong defense ranked #8 against centers. Fantasy managers should weigh his recent performance spike against the challenging matchup and high salary before locking him into lineups.