Strategy and Stats for 06/14/24 NBA Daily Fantasy Slate

As the clock strikes 08:30 PM EST tonight, all eyes will be on the American Airlines Center where the Boston Celtics clash with the Dallas Mavericks in what’s anticipated to be a riveting scoring showcase, with an Over/Under set at 212.0. Fantasy managers, get ready to adjust your lineups as this single-game slate could be a goldmine of points. Leading the charge, watch for the Celtics’ dynamic guard who’s been averaging a stellar 25 points per game this season, and the Mavericks’ star forward, known for his versatility and averaging a double-double. This high-stakes matchup not only promises edge-of-your-seat action but also pivotal insights for your fantasy selections. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into the player matchups and strategic plays that could make or break your fantasy outcomes tonight.

Top Point Guard Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Luka Doncic ($13600), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 71 pts

Luka Doncic continues to redefine the boundaries of a high-impact point guard in the NBA. Over his last five games, Doncic has been nothing short of spectacular, averaging 62.0 daily fantasy points. His scoring ability remains elite with an average of 31.0 points per game, complemented by 9.2 assists and 9.6 rebounds. Notably, his shooting efficiency has seen a significant uptick, hitting 48.2% from the field and an impressive 42.9% from three-point range. Despite a challenging upcoming matchup against the Celtics, who rank third in defensive efficiency against point guards, Doncic’s recent form and heavy court presence—he averages 41.8 minutes per game—suggest he can overcome tough defenses. His DraftKings salary of $13600 reflects his elite status and, with a projected point tally of 71.0, his DFS value score stands at 5.2, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Shooting Guard Daily Fantasy Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. ($6500), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 10 pts

Tim Hardaway Jr.’s recent performances have shown a dip in productivity, especially when considering his fantasy output. Over the last five games, he’s averaged just 6.5 daily fantasy points, a notable decrease from the 10.4 points seen in the previous set of games. His scoring has also dropped to 2.6 points per game from 6.2, alongside minor reductions in assists and rebounds. Despite shooting a solid 50.0% from the field, his limited minutes at 11.2 per game and a high DraftKings salary of $6500 make his current DFS value score a concerning 1.5. Facing the Celtics next, who rank #3 in defense against SGs, Hardaway Jr.’s prospects do not seem promising. This matchup, coupled with his recent form, suggests that his fantasy impact might remain subdued. Fantasy managers should consider these factors heavily when evaluating his inclusion in their lineups.

Top Small Forwards in Today’s NBA Daily Fantasy Sports Slate

Derrick Jones Jr. ($8000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 15.0 pts

Derrick Jones Jr. has shown a commendable uptick in his performance over the recent games, making him a player to watch in today’s matchup against the Celtics. Over the last five games, Jones Jr. has averaged 21.1 daily fantasy points, a slight improvement from his previous five-game stretch where he averaged 19.4 points. His scoring has also seen an increase from 9.0 to 10.8 points per game, alongside enhancements in assists and rebounds. Notably, his shooting efficiency has been impressive, with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and a remarkable three-point percentage increase to 52.9% from a mere 18.8%. Despite these improvements, his DFS value score of 1.9 based on a high DraftKings salary of $8000 suggests that he might not provide the best value in today’s slate. His performance against the Celtics, who rank 15th in defense against SFs, will be crucial in determining if he can outperform this valuation. Fantasy managers should weigh his recent surge against his overall season performance and high salary before locking him in their lineups.

Power Forward Fantasy Insights

PJ Washington ($10000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 31 pts

PJ Washington’s recent performances have shown a dip compared to his earlier games this season. Over the last five games, he has averaged 23.6 fantasy points per game, a significant drop from the 39.1 points in the previous five-game stretch. His scoring has also decreased to 11.6 points per game from 21.8, alongside a reduction in rebounds from 8.8 to 6.0. Despite his field goal percentage improving to 55.6%, his three-point shooting has drastically fallen to 25.0% from an impressive 51.4%. Washington’s current DraftKings salary stands at $10000, with a projected fantasy output of 31.0 points for the upcoming game against the Celtics, who rank #15 in defense against PFs. This projects him at a DFS value score of 3.1, indicating a less favorable value at his current price point. Fantasy managers should weigh his recent underperformance and high salary carefully when considering him for their daily lineups.

Center Position Daily Fantasy Analysis

Derek Lively II ($9000), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 26 pts

Derek Lively II has been making waves as a center for the Dallas Mavericks, particularly in his recent performances. Over the last five games, Lively has shown a significant uptick in productivity, averaging 27.9 daily fantasy points compared to just 17.1 in the previous five-game stretch. This improvement is highlighted by his scoring jump from 6.5 to 10.4 points per game and an increase in rebounds from 6.2 to 9.6. Remarkably, his field goal percentage has skyrocketed from 35.0% to an almost perfect 91.3%. Despite these impressive stats, his projected DFS value score stands at 2.9, primarily due to his high DraftKings salary of $9000. This valuation suggests caution, as his cost may not fully align with the expected fantasy output, especially considering the upcoming matchup against the Celtics, who rank #7 in defense against centers. Fantasy managers should weigh his recent surge in performance against the tough opposition and high salary before locking him into their lineups.