Strategy and Stats for 11/16/24 NBA Daily Fantasy Slate

Welcome to today’s exhilarating NBA fantasy slate, featuring five captivating games that kick off at 04:00 PM EST. As fantasy managers scramble to optimize their lineups, all eyes are on the prime-time clash at TD Garden where the Toronto Raptors take on the Boston Celtics at 09:00 PM EST. This marquee matchup, boasting an Over/Under of 229.0, promises a high-scoring affair and is a treasure trove for fantasy points. Whether you’re banking on the stellar guard play expected in this game or looking for sleeper picks in the day’s earlier contests, our comprehensive breakdown will guide you through the top projected players at each position, ensuring your fantasy team is poised for success. Dive into the details below as we dissect player performances, matchup advantages, and potential fantasy outcomes.

Top Daily Fantasy Sports Picks for PG

Luka Doncic ($11300), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 61.0 pts

Luka Doncic continues to be a dominant force in daily fantasy sports, especially evident from his recent performances. Over the last five games, Doncic has not only maintained but elevated his game, averaging 56.4 fantasy points per game, a significant increase from his previous set of games where he averaged 48.5. His scoring has also seen a boost, up to 29.8 points per game from 27.0, alongside a notable jump in assists from 5.5 to 8.8 per game. His shooting accuracy has been particularly impressive, with a field goal percentage of 59.4%, up from 46.8%. Although his three-point shooting shows a slight improvement to 31.4%, there’s still room for enhancement. Facing the Spurs next, who rank #26 against PGs, Doncic’s matchup looks favorable, enhancing his appeal in DFS lineups. With a DraftKings salary of $11300 and a DFS value score of 5.4, he holds strong value for the upcoming slate.

Shooting Guard Spotlight: DFS Analysis

Brandon Boston Jr. ($6500), New Orleans Pelicans – Projected 37 pts

Brandon Boston Jr. has been a revelation for fantasy managers, especially considering his recent surge in performance. Over his last five games, Boston Jr. has averaged 33.8 daily fantasy points, a significant leap from his previous slate where he only managed 9.3 points per game. His contributions across the board, including 14.8 points, 5.2 assists, and 5.8 rebounds per game, make him a versatile asset in DFS lineups. Despite a slight dip in shooting efficiency from the field, down to 45.2% from an earlier 57.1%, his consistent playing time (36.2 minutes per game) offers ample opportunities to rack up fantasy points. Facing the Lakers, who rank #20 against SGs, Boston Jr. should exploit this matchup to maintain his high productivity. With a DraftKings salary of $6500 and a projected point tally of 37.0, his DFS value score stands at 5.7, categorizing him as a strong value pick for the upcoming slate.

Top Small Forward Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Trey Murphy III ($5600), New Orleans Pelicans – Projected 34 pts

As we delve into the daily fantasy sports potential of Trey Murphy III, his recent performances suggest a nuanced view. Over his last five games, Murphy has averaged 26.2 daily fantasy points, a noticeable dip from the 43.7 points in the previous set of five games. This decline is mirrored in his scoring, dropping from 25.8 points per game to 12.0, and a significant decrease in shooting efficiency from 62.5% to 44.8% in field goals, and from 48.9% to 26.5% in three-point attempts. Despite these fluctuations, Murphy’s consistent court time, averaging 33.6 minutes per game, and his ability to still pull down 6.4 rebounds per game, position him as a player with potential upside, especially considering his next matchup against the Lakers, who rank #20 in defense against SFs. His DraftKings salary of $5600, combined with a projected point tally of 34.0, earns him a DFS value score of 6.1, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s games.

Power Forward Analysis: Key Players to Watch

Keegan Murray ($6500), Sacramento Kings – Projected 29 pts

Keegan Murray has been a consistent performer for the Sacramento Kings, particularly in his recent outings. Over his last five games, Murray has averaged 25.9 daily fantasy points, a slight decrease from his previous set of games where he averaged 26.2 points. Despite the minor dip in fantasy points, his contributions across the board remain solid. He’s putting up 11.4 points and 8.2 rebounds per game, with a notable increase in rebounds from 6.8 in the previous five games. His field goal efficiency stands at an impressive 56.0%, although his three-point shooting has room for improvement at 27.6%. Murray’s increased court time, averaging 37.8 minutes per game recently, up from 36.0, suggests a growing reliance on him in the Kings’ game plan. This is particularly advantageous considering their next matchup against the Jazz, who rank #26 against PFs, indicating a potentially favorable scenario for Murray to exploit. Given his DraftKings salary of $6500 and a projected point tally of 29.0, Murray holds a DFS value score of 4.5. This positions him as a core value pick in your daily fantasy lineup, especially considering the weak defensive opposition he’s set to face.

Center Position Daily Fantasy Analysis

Anthony Davis ($10600), Los Angeles Lakers – Projected 55 pts

As we delve into the fantasy potential of Anthony Davis, his recent performances have been nothing short of impressive, making him a pivotal player for DFS lineups. Over his last five games, Davis has averaged 53.1 daily fantasy points, a slight dip from his previous five-game stretch where he posted 60.0. Despite this, his scoring remains robust with an average of 30.4 points per game, supported by a solid shooting efficiency of 55.1% from the field and an exceptional 66.7% from three-point range. His rebounding and assists have seen a slight decrease, with current averages at 10.0 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. This reduction is reflected in his minutes as well, which have decreased to an average of 33.0 per game. The upcoming matchup against the Pelicans, who rank #10 defensively against centers, poses a challenging but manageable scenario for Davis. Given his DraftKings salary of $10600 and a projected point total of 55.0, Davis holds a DFS value score of 5.2, categorizing him as a strong value pick for the upcoming slate.