Strategy and Stats for 12/07/24 NBA Daily Fantasy Slate: Optimize Your Lineup

Welcome to an exhilarating day of NBA action, featuring a jam-packed slate of 7 games, all commencing at 02:00 PM EST. As fantasy managers scramble to optimize their lineups, all eyes are on the marquee clash at TD Garden where the Memphis Grizzlies square off against the Boston Celtics at 09:00 PM EST. This highly anticipated battle, with an Over/Under set at a whopping 238.5, promises a plethora of scoring opportunities, making it a goldmine for fantasy points. Today’s analysis will dive deep into the top projected players at each position, leveraging their recent performances and matchup potentials to guide your selections. Stay tuned as we break down each game, ensuring your lineup is primed for success!

Top Point Guard Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Luka Doncic ($11400), Dallas Mavericks – Projected 54 pts

Luka Doncic continues to be a powerhouse in daily fantasy sports, especially evident from his recent performances. Over the last five games, Doncic has maintained an impressive average of 55.5 daily fantasy points. His scoring ability remains robust with an average of 27.2 points per game, complemented by 7.6 assists and 8.0 rebounds. Notably, his shooting accuracy has seen a significant uptick, boasting a 63.3% field goal percentage and a 39.1% success rate from the three-point line. Despite a slight reduction in minutes, down to 33.4 from 39.1, Doncic’s productivity has not waned, indicating efficient use of court time. Facing the Raptors, who rank #22 against point guards, Doncic’s matchup looks favorable. His DraftKings salary of $11400 reflects his elite status, and with a DFS value score of 4.7, he stands out as a core value pick in today’s games.

Shooting Guard Spotlight

Grayson Allen ($5100), Phoenix Suns – Projected 26 pts

Grayson Allen has been showing a notable uptick in his performance over the last five games, making him an interesting consideration for daily fantasy sports enthusiasts. With an average of 23.0 fantasy points in this period, Allen has demonstrated a significant improvement from his previous set of games where he averaged 16.8 points. His scoring has slightly increased to 11.2 points per game, but the real growth has been seen in his assists, jumping from 1.0 to 3.8 per game, and his field goal percentage, which has skyrocketed from 42.9% to an impressive 63.6%. Despite these improvements, Allen’s three-point shooting has slightly dipped to 32.1%, which could be a concern against the Miami Heat, known for their strong defense against SGs, ranking #3 in the league. However, his increased court time, now averaging 25.8 minutes per game, and his overall contributions across the board suggest a solid foundation for DFS success. His DraftKings salary of $5100 and a projected point total of 26.0 translate to a DFS value score of 5.1, positioning him as a strong value pick in the upcoming slate.

Top Small Forward Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Trey Murphy III ($6300), New Orleans Pelicans – Projected 36 pts

Trey Murphy III has been a standout performer for the New Orleans Pelicans, especially in his recent outings. Over the last five games, Murphy has averaged 31.1 daily fantasy points, a notable increase from his previous set of games where he averaged 26.2 points. His scoring has also seen an uptick to 17.8 points per game, supported by a solid field goal percentage of 52.8%. Although his three-point shooting sits at 30.2%, it shows a slight improvement over his earlier games. Murphy’s assist numbers have risen to 2.6 per game, indicating his growing role in playmaking, while his rebounding remains steady. The increase in his average minutes per game to 35.5 indicates trust from the coaching staff and provides him more opportunities to rack up fantasy points. Facing the Thunder, who rank #8 in defense against SFs, might pose a challenge, but Murphy’s current form suggests he can overcome tough matchups. With a DraftKings salary of $6300 and a projected point total of 36.0, Murphy represents a 5.7 DFS value score, making him a strong value pick in today’s fantasy lineup.

Power Forward Analysis

Jalen Williams ($8900), Oklahoma City Thunder – Projected 42 pts

Jalen Williams of the Oklahoma City Thunder continues to be a significant player in daily fantasy sports, especially considering his recent performances. Over the last five games, Williams has averaged 39.3 daily fantasy points. Despite a slight dip compared to his previous five-game stretch where he averaged 50.4 points, his current form remains robust. His scoring ability is evident with an average of 23.4 points per game on a solid 55.0% shooting from the field. Although his assists and rebounds have seen a decrease, his uptick in three-point shooting efficiency to 37.0% adds an extra layer of value. Looking ahead, Williams faces the Pelicans, ranked #16 against PFs, which positions him well to exploit their defensive gaps. With a DraftKings salary of $8900 and a projected point tally of 42.0, his DFS value score stands at 4.7. This places him as a core value pick in the upcoming slate, suggesting that he should be a pivotal part of fantasy selections, provided his ability to perform consistently under varied defensive pressures.

Center Position Analysis

Nikola Jokic ($12100), Denver Nuggets – Projected 63.0 pts

As we delve into the DFS potential of Nikola Jokic, his recent performances have solidified his reputation as one of the most dominant centers in the league. Over the last five games, Jokic has averaged 63.9 daily fantasy points, showcasing his versatile skill set with averages of 29.8 points, 8.6 assists, and 12.8 rebounds. His shooting efficiency remains high at 58.1% from the field and a decent 35.7% from three-point range, despite a significant drop from his previous five-game stretch where he astonishingly hit 70.0% from beyond the arc. Despite a slight decrease in his fantasy output compared to the previous set of games (a drop of 10.2 fantasy points on average), Jokic’s ability to contribute across multiple statistical categories keeps his value high. His upcoming matchup against the Wizards, who rank #26 in defense against centers, positions him favorably for continued success. With a DraftKings salary of $12100 and a DFS value score of 5.2, Jokic remains a strong value pick for any DFS lineup, particularly in a game that should exploit his strengths against a weaker defensive team.