Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Game Breakdown

Buffalo Bills

Bills

3W-1L

Bills

10/06/24

01:00 PM

Odds: 47.5 o/u

Texans

3W-1L

Houston Texans
Houston Texans

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at NRG Stadium as the 3-1 Buffalo Bills stampede into Houston to lock horns with the equally formidable 3-1 Texans! Kickoff blasts off at 1 PM this sunny Sunday, with just a gentle breeze to ruffle the jerseys. Both squads are coming in hot, with the Bills’ Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid looking to replicate their solid performances against the Ravens, while the Texans’ Nico Collins and C.J. Stroud aim to keep the momentum from their spectacular outing against the Jaguars. With the betting lines dead even and an over/under of 47.5, who will tip the scales? As the sun beats down on a 75° Texas day, let’s see if the Bills can corral the Texans’ charge or if Houston will saddle up and ride to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: 10/06/24 01:00 PM
Location: NRG Stadium , Houston
Weather: Sunny with winds from the ENE at 5.4 mph. Temperature is at 75° with 78% humidity.

Vegas Odds

BUF ML HOU ML Over/Under Line
Open -108 -108 47.5 -1.5/1.5
Recent -108 -108 47.5 -1.5/1.5
Difference 0 0 0

Bills Odd Projections

51.9% Win Probability

Texans Odd Projections

48.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
2021-10-03 Texans Texans 40 Under -7.5
Bills Bills 0

Bills Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-09-29 BAL 10-35L 182 81 Under
2024-09-12 MIA 31-10W 139 108 Under
2024-09-12 MIA 31-10W 139 108 Under
2024-09-08 ARI 34-28W 232 130 Over
2024-01-21 KC 24-27L 186 182 Over
2024-01-15 PIT 31-17W 203 179 Over
2023-12-31 NE 27-21W 169 127 Over
2023-12-23 LAC 24-22W 237 105 Under
2023-12-17 DAL 31-10W 94 266 Under
2023-12-10 KC 20-17W 233 118 Under
2023-11-26 PHI 34-37L 339 173 Over
2023-11-19 NYJ 32-6W 275 130 Under
2023-11-13 DEN 22-24L 177 192 Under
2023-11-05 CIN 18-24L 258 68 Under
2023-10-26 TB 24-18W 324 115 Under

Texans Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-09-29 JAX 24-20W 345 101 Under
2024-09-15 CHI 19-13W 260 75 Under
2024-09-08 IND 29-27W 234 213 Over
2024-01-20 BAL 10-34L 175 38 Under
2024-01-13 CLE 45-14W 280 76 Over
2023-12-31 TEN 26-3W 213 111 Under
2023-12-24 CLE 22-36L 211 72 Over
2023-12-17 TEN 19-16W 229 148 Under
2023-12-10 NYJ 6-30L 95 81 Under
2023-12-03 DEN 22-17W 292 89 Under
2023-11-26 JAX 21-24L 304 91 Under
2023-11-19 ARI 21-16W 338 111 Under
2023-11-12 CIN 30-27W 356 188 Over
2023-11-05 TB 39-37W 470 53 Over
2023-10-29 CAR 13-15L 140 110 Under

Bills Vs Over/Under

Texans Vs Over/Under

Team’s Player Projections

Buffalo Bills DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Josh Allen 23.4 23.4 214.5 1.3 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.9
James Cook 16.6 16.6 0.0 0.0 71.9 27.4 2.6 0.6
Khalil Shakir 12.3 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 67.9 4.5 0.2
Dalton Kincaid 12.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 54.3 5.7 0.2
Keon Coleman 9.9 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 57.2 3.9 0.0
Curtis Samuel 4.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 18.3 2.0 0.2
Mack Hollins 4.4 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 1.6 0.1
Ty Johnson 3.8 3.8 0.0 0.0 11.6 7.3 0.6 0.2
Dawson Knox 3.6 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1 1.7 0.0
Ray Davis 2.8 2.8 0.0 0.0 15.7 3.8 0.6 0.0
Houston Texans DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Nico Collins 19.7 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 94.9 6.6 0.5
C.J. Stroud 19.3 19.3 268.4 1.5 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
Stefon Diggs 17.5 17.5 0.0 0.0 1.4 67.4 6.8 0.6
Joe Mixon 15.1 15.1 0.0 0.0 56.3 22.7 3.1 0.7
Tank Dell 11.5 11.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 42.4 3.1 0.4
Dalton Schultz 8.4 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.6 3.0 0.2
Cam Akers 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 16.2 5.5 0.9 0.1
Dare Ogunbowale 3.3 3.3 0.0 0.0 4.8 10.4 1.1 0.1
Robert Woods 2.3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.4 0.9 0.0
Cade Stover 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.6 0.0

Bills Notable Injuries

  • Josh AllenQUESTIONABLE (undisclosed)
    Last Game: 2024-09-29 – 19.3 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Darrynton EvansOUT (hamstring)
    Last Game: 2023-12-17 – 3.8 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Khalil ShakirQUESTIONABLE (ankle)
    Last Game: 2024-09-29 – 10.1 fpts avg over last 5 games

Texans Notable Injuries

  • Brevin JordanOUT (knee)
    Last Game: 2024-09-15 – 3.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Case KeenumOUT (arm)
    Last Game: 2023-12-24 – 5.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Joe MixonQUESTIONABLE (ankle)
    Last Game: 2024-09-15 – 15.5 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Dameon PierceQUESTIONABLE (hamstring)
    Last Game: 2024-09-08 – 1.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
Team Logo

Offense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points Scored per Game
25.1
22.6
Passing Yards per Game
221.1
258.2
Rushing Yards per Game
128.9
102.4
Receiving Yards per Game
222.6
260.2
Receptions per Game
20.1
21.6
Fantasy Points per Game
85.7
87.0
Passing 40+ Yards per Game
0.3
0.4
Rushing 20+ Yards per Game
0.2
0.4
Team Logo

Defense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Penalties per Game
5.7
6.9
Interceptions per Game
0.8
0.9
Forced Fumbles per Game
0.9
0.5
Sacks per Game
2.6
3.2
Points Allowed per Game
20.2
21.4
Passing Yards Allowed per Game
218.8
258.3
Rushing Yards Allowed per Game
123.5
92.2
Receptions Allowed per Game
22.0
22.4
Passing TDs Allowed per Game
1.3
1.3
Rushing TDs Allowed per Game
0.8
1.0
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