Bills vs Chiefs Game Breakdown
Bills
2W-0L
01/26/25
06:30 PM
Odds: 47.5 o/u
Chiefs
1W-0L
Get ready for a high-octane showdown as the undefeated Buffalo Bills charge into Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday! With both teams off to a fiery start this season, the Bills at 2-0 and the Chiefs at 1-0, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Kickoff is slated for 06:30 PM, and with the over/under teetering at 47.5, bettors are eyeing those lines like hawks. Last week, Josh Allen bulldozed through with a couple of rushing touchdowns, proving he’s more than just an arm, while Travis Kelce for the Chiefs was snagging passes left and right, racking up over a hundred yards. The weather at game time? A chilly 33° with a slight breeze from the west-southwest, adding an extra bite to the atmosphere. As these titans clash, it’s bound to be a battle of wills in the wild winds of Arrowhead—may the best herd win!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: 01/26/25 06:30 PM
Location: Arrowhead Stadium , Kansas City
Weather: Overcast with winds from the WSW at 6.3 mph. Temperature is at 33° with 58% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BUF ML | KC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +108 | -126 | 47.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +108 | -126 | 47.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Bills Odd Projections
48.1% Win Probability
Chiefs Odd Projections
51.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | Chiefs Chiefs | 30 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Bills Bills | 21 | ||||
| 2024-01-21 | Chiefs Chiefs | 24 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Bills Bills | 27 | ||||
| 2023-12-10 | Bills Bills | 20 | Under | -10.5 | |
| Chiefs Chiefs | 17 | ||||
| 2022-10-16 | Bills Bills | 24 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Chiefs Chiefs | 20 | ||||
| 2021-10-10 | Bills Bills | 38 | Over | +10.5 | |
| Chiefs Chiefs | 20 |
Bills Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | PassYd | RushYd | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | BAL | 27-25W | 127 | 147 | Over |
| 2025-01-12 | DEN | 31-7W | 272 | 210 | Under |
| 2024-12-29 | NYJ | 40-14W | 251 | 97 | Over |
| 2024-12-22 | NE | 24-21W | 154 | 172 | Under |
| 2024-12-15 | DET | 48-42W | 362 | 197 | Over |
| 2024-12-08 | LA | 42-44L | 342 | 103 | Over |
| 2024-12-01 | SF | 35-10W | 152 | 220 | Under |
| 2024-11-17 | KC | 30-21W | 262 | 104 | Over |
| 2024-11-10 | IND | 30-20W | 280 | 135 | Over |
| 2024-11-03 | MIA | 30-27W | 235 | 94 | Over |
| 2024-10-27 | SEA | 31-10W | 283 | 164 | Under |
| 2024-10-20 | TEN | 34-10W | 323 | 74 | Under |
| 2024-10-14 | NYJ | 23-20W | 215 | 149 | Under |
| 2024-10-06 | HOU | 20-23L | 131 | 150 | Under |
| 2024-09-29 | BAL | 10-35L | 182 | 81 | Under |
Chiefs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | PassYd | RushYd | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | HOU | 23-14W | 177 | 50 | Under |
| 2024-12-25 | PIT | 29-10W | 320 | 69 | Under |
| 2024-12-21 | HOU | 27-19W | 260 | 124 | Under |
| 2024-12-15 | CLE | 21-7W | 179 | 132 | Under |
| 2024-12-08 | LAC | 19-17W | 210 | 96 | Under |
| 2024-11-29 | LV | 19-17W | 306 | 63 | Under |
| 2024-11-24 | CAR | 30-27W | 269 | 165 | Over |
| 2024-11-17 | BUF | 21-30L | 196 | 78 | Over |
| 2024-11-10 | DEN | 16-14W | 266 | 57 | Under |
| 2024-11-04 | TB | 30-24W | 291 | 124 | Over |
| 2024-10-27 | LV | 27-20W | 262 | 82 | Under |
| 2024-10-20 | SF | 28-18W | 154 | 184 | Under |
| 2024-10-07 | NO | 26-13W | 331 | 139 | Under |
| 2024-09-29 | LAC | 17-10W | 245 | 101 | Under |
Bills Vs Over/Under
Chiefs Vs Over/Under
Team’s Player Projections
| Buffalo Bills | DK | FD | PassYd | PassTD | RushYd | RecYd | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 24.2 | 24.2 | 218.9 | 1.4 | 32.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| James Cook | 13.8 | 13.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.7 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Khalil Shakir | 13.4 | 13.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 63.1 | 6.0 | 0.2 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 8.8 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.9 | 4.0 | 0.1 |
| Keon Coleman | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Amari Cooper | 5.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Buffalo Bills | 5.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ty Johnson | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.8 | 13.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Curtis Samuel | 4.9 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 17.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| Mack Hollins | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | DK | FD | PassYd | PassTD | RushYd | RecYd | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 22.4 | 22.4 | 282.9 | 1.8 | 22.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Travis Kelce | 16.8 | 16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 |
| Xavier Worthy | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 49.9 | 4.8 | 0.6 |
| Hollywood Brown | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kareem Hunt | 8.8 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.7 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.1 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 7.9 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.3 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Noah Gray | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Samaje Perine | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
Bills Notable Injuries
Chiefs Notable Injuries
-
Jody Fortson –
OUT
(knee)
Last Game: 2024-10-27 – 0.5 fpts avg over last 5 games -
Mecole Hardman –
OUT
(knee)
Last Game: 2024-11-29 – 2.3 fpts avg over last 5 games
Offense Team Comparison
Defense Team Comparison
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