Patriots vs Bills Game Breakdown
Patriots
3W-11L
12/22/24
04:25 PM
Odds: 46.5 o/u
Bills
11W-3L
Get ready for a clash of fortunes as the struggling 3W-11L New England Patriots march into New Era Field, hoping to upset the 11W-3L Buffalo Bills this chilly Sunday afternoon! With the kickoff set for 04:25 PM, the air’s as tense as the fog rolling in at 36° with a slight southwestern breeze nudging the leaves around. The Bills are flying high after a dominant performance by Josh Allen last week, tossing for 362 yards and dancing into the endzone twice himself, while the Patriots are looking to find their form, banking on Drake Maye to replicate his dual-threat antics from their last outing. Vegas has the Bills heavily favored with a line at -950 against the Patriots’ +640, and an over/under tantalizingly set at 46.5. As we gear up for this gridiron battle, it’s clear that today, it’s not just about the points—it’s about pride. Will the Patriots rediscover their revolutionary spirit, or will the Bills stampede their way to victory? It’s a tale of two cities and two teams, where only one can write a victorious chapter!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: 12/22/24 04:25 PM
Location: New Era Field , Buffalo
Weather: Fog with winds from the SW at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 36° with 98% humidity.
Vegas Odds
NE ML | BUF ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +640 | -950 | 46.5 | 14.5/-14.5 |
Recent | +640 | -950 | 46.5 | 14.5/-14.5 |
Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Patriots Odd Projections
13.5% Win Probability
Bills Odd Projections
86.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-12-31 | Patriots Patriots | 21 | Over | +1.5 | |
Bills Bills | 27 | ||||
2023-10-22 | Bills Bills | 29 | Over | +7.5 | |
Patriots Patriots | 25 | ||||
2023-01-08 | Patriots Patriots | 23 | Over | +11.5 | |
Bills Bills | 35 | ||||
2022-12-01 | Bills Bills | 10 | Under | -12.5 | |
Patriots Patriots | 24 | ||||
2022-01-15 | Patriots Patriots | 17 | Over | +17.5 | |
Bills Bills | 47 | ||||
2021-12-26 | Bills Bills | 21 | Over | +7.5 | |
Patriots Patriots | 33 | ||||
2021-12-06 | Patriots Patriots | 14 | Under | -22.5 | |
Bills Bills | 10 |
Patriots Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | PassYd | RushYd | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-12-15 | ARI | 17-30L | 202 | 116 | Over |
2024-12-01 | IND | 24-25L | 238 | 200 | Over |
2024-11-24 | MIA | 15-34L | 222 | 86 | Over |
2024-11-17 | LA | 22-28L | 282 | 125 | Over |
2024-11-10 | CHI | 19-3W | 184 | 144 | Under |
2024-11-03 | TEN | 17-20L | 206 | 110 | Under |
2024-10-27 | NYJ | 25-22W | 155 | 111 | Over |
2024-10-20 | JAX | 16-32L | 276 | 38 | Over |
2024-10-13 | HOU | 21-41L | 243 | 82 | Over |
2024-10-06 | MIA | 10-15L | 160 | 151 | Under |
2024-09-29 | SF | 13-30L | 168 | 73 | Under |
2024-09-19 | NYJ | 3-24L | 120 | 78 | Under |
2024-09-15 | SEA | 20-23L | 149 | 185 | Under |
2024-09-08 | CIN | 16-10W | 121 | 170 | Under |
Bills Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | PassYd | RushYd | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-12-15 | DET | 48-42W | 362 | 197 | Over |
2024-12-08 | LA | 42-44L | 342 | 103 | Over |
2024-12-01 | SF | 35-10W | 152 | 220 | Under |
2024-11-17 | KC | 30-21W | 262 | 104 | Over |
2024-11-10 | IND | 30-20W | 280 | 135 | Over |
2024-11-03 | MIA | 30-27W | 235 | 94 | Over |
2024-10-27 | SEA | 31-10W | 283 | 164 | Under |
2024-10-20 | TEN | 34-10W | 323 | 74 | Under |
2024-10-14 | NYJ | 23-20W | 215 | 149 | Under |
2024-10-06 | HOU | 20-23L | 131 | 150 | Under |
2024-09-29 | BAL | 10-35L | 182 | 81 | Under |
2024-09-23 | JAX | 47-10W | 266 | 122 | Over |
2024-09-12 | MIA | 31-10W | 139 | 108 | Under |
2024-09-08 | ARI | 34-28W | 232 | 130 | Over |
Patriots Vs Over/Under
Bills Vs Over/Under
Team’s Player Projections
New England Patriots | DK | FD | PassYd | PassTD | RushYd | RecYd | Rec | TD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drake Maye | 18.8 | 18.8 | 201.5 | 1.3 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Rhamondre Stevenson | 13.8 | 13.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.2 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
Hunter Henry | 13.3 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 |
DeMario Douglas | 10.1 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 42.7 | 4.7 | 0.2 |
Kayshon Boutte | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.7 | 3.2 | 0.1 |
Kendrick Bourne | 6.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 30.6 | 2.7 | 0.1 |
Austin Hooper | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
New England Patriots | 5.3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Antonio Gibson | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
Ja’Lynn Polk | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
Buffalo Bills | DK | FD | PassYd | PassTD | RushYd | RecYd | Rec | TD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Allen | 25.4 | 25.4 | 237.4 | 1.7 | 33.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Khalil Shakir | 13.8 | 13.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 56.5 | 5.2 | 0.3 |
James Cook | 12.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
Amari Cooper | 11.9 | 11.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.1 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
Dalton Kincaid | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
Keon Coleman | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
Buffalo Bills | 5.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Ty Johnson | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.5 | 15.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
Curtis Samuel | 4.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 17.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
Ray Davis | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.9 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Patriots Notable Injuries
Bills Notable Injuries
-
Quintin Morris –
QUESTIONABLE
(shoulder)
Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 1.9 fpts avg over last 5 games -
Curtis Samuel –
QUESTIONABLE
(shoulder)
Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 5.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
Offense Team Comparison
Defense Team Comparison
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