Patriots vs Bills Game Breakdown

New England Patriots

Patriots

3W-11L

Patriots

12/22/24

04:25 PM

Odds: 46.5 o/u

Bills

11W-3L

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills

Get ready for a clash of fortunes as the struggling 3W-11L New England Patriots march into New Era Field, hoping to upset the 11W-3L Buffalo Bills this chilly Sunday afternoon! With the kickoff set for 04:25 PM, the air’s as tense as the fog rolling in at 36° with a slight southwestern breeze nudging the leaves around. The Bills are flying high after a dominant performance by Josh Allen last week, tossing for 362 yards and dancing into the endzone twice himself, while the Patriots are looking to find their form, banking on Drake Maye to replicate his dual-threat antics from their last outing. Vegas has the Bills heavily favored with a line at -950 against the Patriots’ +640, and an over/under tantalizingly set at 46.5. As we gear up for this gridiron battle, it’s clear that today, it’s not just about the points—it’s about pride. Will the Patriots rediscover their revolutionary spirit, or will the Bills stampede their way to victory? It’s a tale of two cities and two teams, where only one can write a victorious chapter!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: 12/22/24 04:25 PM
Location: New Era Field , Buffalo
Weather: Fog with winds from the SW at 5.8 mph. Temperature is at 36° with 98% humidity.

Vegas Odds

NE ML BUF ML Over/Under Line
Open +640 -950 46.5 14.5/-14.5
Recent +640 -950 46.5 14.5/-14.5
Difference 0 0 0

Patriots Odd Projections

13.5% Win Probability

Bills Odd Projections

86.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
2023-12-31 Patriots Patriots 21 Over +1.5
Bills Bills 27
2023-10-22 Bills Bills 29 Over +7.5
Patriots Patriots 25
2023-01-08 Patriots Patriots 23 Over +11.5
Bills Bills 35
2022-12-01 Bills Bills 10 Under -12.5
Patriots Patriots 24
2022-01-15 Patriots Patriots 17 Over +17.5
Bills Bills 47
2021-12-26 Bills Bills 21 Over +7.5
Patriots Patriots 33
2021-12-06 Patriots Patriots 14 Under -22.5
Bills Bills 10

Patriots Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-12-15 ARI 17-30L 202 116 Over
2024-12-01 IND 24-25L 238 200 Over
2024-11-24 MIA 15-34L 222 86 Over
2024-11-17 LA 22-28L 282 125 Over
2024-11-10 CHI 19-3W 184 144 Under
2024-11-03 TEN 17-20L 206 110 Under
2024-10-27 NYJ 25-22W 155 111 Over
2024-10-20 JAX 16-32L 276 38 Over
2024-10-13 HOU 21-41L 243 82 Over
2024-10-06 MIA 10-15L 160 151 Under
2024-09-29 SF 13-30L 168 73 Under
2024-09-19 NYJ 3-24L 120 78 Under
2024-09-15 SEA 20-23L 149 185 Under
2024-09-08 CIN 16-10W 121 170 Under

Bills Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result PassYd RushYd O/U
2024-12-15 DET 48-42W 362 197 Over
2024-12-08 LA 42-44L 342 103 Over
2024-12-01 SF 35-10W 152 220 Under
2024-11-17 KC 30-21W 262 104 Over
2024-11-10 IND 30-20W 280 135 Over
2024-11-03 MIA 30-27W 235 94 Over
2024-10-27 SEA 31-10W 283 164 Under
2024-10-20 TEN 34-10W 323 74 Under
2024-10-14 NYJ 23-20W 215 149 Under
2024-10-06 HOU 20-23L 131 150 Under
2024-09-29 BAL 10-35L 182 81 Under
2024-09-23 JAX 47-10W 266 122 Over
2024-09-12 MIA 31-10W 139 108 Under
2024-09-08 ARI 34-28W 232 130 Over

Patriots Vs Over/Under

Bills Vs Over/Under

Team’s Player Projections

New England Patriots DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Drake Maye 18.8 18.8 201.5 1.3 38.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
Rhamondre Stevenson 13.8 13.8 0.0 0.0 66.2 13.9 2.9 0.6
Hunter Henry 13.3 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 58.6 5.7 0.1
DeMario Douglas 10.1 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 42.7 4.7 0.2
Kayshon Boutte 8.5 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.7 3.2 0.1
Kendrick Bourne 6.4 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 30.6 2.7 0.1
Austin Hooper 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 2.3 0.2
New England Patriots 5.3 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Antonio Gibson 4.4 4.4 0.0 0.0 20.3 8.9 0.9 0.1
Ja’Lynn Polk 2.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 0.9 0.1
Buffalo Bills DK FD PassYd PassTD RushYd RecYd Rec TD
Josh Allen 25.4 25.4 237.4 1.7 33.8 0.5 0.0 0.8
Khalil Shakir 13.8 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 56.5 5.2 0.3
James Cook 12.5 12.5 0.0 0.0 47.5 13.3 1.7 0.8
Amari Cooper 11.9 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.1 4.3 0.3
Dalton Kincaid 9.8 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.1 3.8 0.2
Keon Coleman 5.6 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.9 1.5 0.2
Buffalo Bills 5.2 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ty Johnson 4.8 4.8 0.0 0.0 8.5 15.1 0.9 0.2
Curtis Samuel 4.6 4.6 0.0 0.0 1.2 17.9 2.1 0.1
Ray Davis 4.3 4.3 0.0 0.0 14.9 7.0 0.5 0.2

Patriots Notable Injuries

Bills Notable Injuries

  • Quintin MorrisQUESTIONABLE (shoulder)
    Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 1.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
  • Curtis SamuelQUESTIONABLE (shoulder)
    Last Game: 2024-12-15 – 5.9 fpts avg over last 5 games
Team Logo

Offense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points Scored per Game
17.0
31.8
Passing Yards per Game
194.7
243.1
Rushing Yards per Game
119.2
130.8
Receiving Yards per Game
196.1
243.1
Receptions per Game
20.4
19.9
Fantasy Points per Game
71.7
96.0
Passing 40+ Yards per Game
0.1
0.7
Rushing 20+ Yards per Game
0.4
0.5
Team Logo

Defense Team Comparison

Team Logo
Penalties per Game
6.6
6.1
Interceptions per Game
0.4
0.9
Forced Fumbles per Game
0.8
1.1
Sacks per Game
1.9
2.3
Points Allowed per Game
24.1
22.1
Passing Yards Allowed per Game
227.5
243.1
Rushing Yards Allowed per Game
127.4
117.7
Receptions Allowed per Game
20.4
23.5
Passing TDs Allowed per Game
1.6
1.6
Rushing TDs Allowed per Game
0.9
0.8
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