Arizona Diamondbacks
48-47
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
61-35
4:10 PM ET Dodger Stadium SportsNet LA DivisionalDay GameWeekend

Back the Dodgers to win comfortably at home against a shaky, walk-prone Bratt.

Because LA pairs the league's best contact bat with an elite arm facing Arizona's punchless lineup.

SideBET HOME RL -1.5, better value than paying -225 on the moneyline.
TotalBET OVER 9.5, leaning on Bratt's 6.00 BB/9 and the LF wind.
Strong7/10
Confidence
Best Bet Dodgers run line -1.5 is the top play behind Ohtani's edge and Bratt's control issues.
Total9.5
ARI Win35%
LAD Win69%
Implied ARI4.3
Implied LAD5.2

Vegas / Market

Total
9.5
Run line
LAD 1.5
ARI ML
+188 35%
LAD ML
-225 69%
ARI4.3
LAD5.2

The de-vigged team totals of LAD 5.2 and ARI 4.3 line up cleanly with the 9.5 total, so the number is fairly efficient. LAD -225 is a steep price for a one-game lay, making the run line the more sensible value at -1.5. No glaring softness on the total itself.

Pitching Matchup

ARI
Mitch Bratt
0-0 · 3.0 IP
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.33
K/9
9.0
BB/9
6.0
VS
LAD
Shohei Ohtani
8-2 · 85.2 IP
ERA
1.79
WHIP
0.95
K/9
10.0
BB/9
2.8

Ohtani is the clear edge with a 1.79 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 10.04 K/9 across a large 85.2-inning body of work. Bratt's lone 3.0-inning look shows swing-and-miss (9.00 K/9) but alarming control at 6.00 BB/9 and a 1.33 WHIP. Command and track record both favor the home starter decisively.

Offense Comparison

ARIrank of 30LAD
4.3 19 Runs / G 2 5.2
0.238 21 AVG 1 0.263
0.93 28 HR / G 5 1.31
7.29 29 K / G 25 7.82

Los Angeles leads the league in average (1/30) and brings power (5/30 HR), giving them real damage upside against a wild arm who hands out free passes. Arizona's bats grade middling at best, ranking 19th in runs and 29th in strikeouts, a rough profile against Ohtani's whiff stuff. The Dodgers are the far more appealing stack tonight.

Weather & Park

4 mph out to LF · favors hitters
Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temp
73°
Humidity
69%

Outdoor at Dodger Stadium, 73F with a light 4 mph wind out to left field flagged as a positive for run scoring, a mild nudge toward offense.

DFS Angles

Stack the Dodgers against Bratt's wildness and the LF-favoring wind; Freeman, Pages, and Betts anchor the best mid-priced option.

Target Ohtani as an anchor SP given his 1.79 ERA and 10.04 K/9 against a strikeout-heavy Arizona lineup; fade Bratt entirely.

ARI top bats
  • Corbin Carroll 12.7 proj · $4,900 · 2.6x
  • Ketel Marte 12.1 proj · $5,000 · 2.4x
  • Geraldo Perdomo 10.5 proj · $3,800 · 2.8x
  • Gabriel Moreno 9.9 proj · $3,900 · 2.5x
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 8.3 proj · $2,700 · 3.1x
LAD top bats
  • Freddie Freeman 12.4 proj · $6,000 · 2.1x
  • Andy Pages 12.1 proj · $5,500 · 2.2x
  • Mookie Betts 11.3 proj · $5,400 · 2.1x
  • Kyle Tucker 10.8 proj · $4,800 · 2.2x
  • Tommy Edman 10.5 proj · $4,700 · 2.2x

Players to Watch

Prop leans
  • Andy Pages - over total bases lean - top HR projection at 0.30 with LF wind.
  • Freddie Freeman - hits lean - projects team-best 1.47 hits against wild lefty.
  • Corbin Carroll - hits/TB lean - Arizona's best bat at 12.7 projected fpts.
  • Ohtani - strikeouts lean - 10.04 K/9 versus a 29/30 strikeout offense.
On watch
  • Mitch Bratt - tiny 3.0-inning sample makes his outing volatile.
  • Tommy Edman - team-high 1.53 projected hits from multi-position bat.
  • Ketel Marte - Arizona's power source at 0.26 projected HR.
  • Mookie Betts - 1.51 projected hits atop the LA order.
View all ARI & LAD props →

Form & Head-to-Head

Season series: ARI 4 – LAD 5

Season series is tight, with Arizona at 4 and Los Angeles at 5.

Today's MLB Slate