Athletics

40-42

Los Angeles Angels

34-49

9:38 PM ET Angel Stadium NBCSCA DivisionalWeekend

Back the Angels behind Reid Detmers, the clear pitching edge over a struggling Jack Perkins.

Detmers' sub-4 ERA and 1.05 WHIP tower over an Athletics starter carrying a 6.26 ERA.

SideBET HOME ML at -110 on the Detmers pitching edge.

TotalPASS, the 8.5 number balances Perkins' woes against Detmers' suppression.

Lean6/10

Confidence

Detmers 3.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP dwarfs Perkins' 6.26 ERA.
Perkins allows 9.20 H/9 and 3.13 BB/9.
Wind 6 mph out to RF flags a positive run boost.

Best Bet Angels moneyline at -110, riding Detmers' command over Perkins' 6.26 ERA.

Total8.5

ATH Win—

LAA Win52%

Vegas / Market

Total

8.5

Run line

LAA 1.5

ATH ML

—

LAA ML

-110 52%

The market prices the Angels at -110 with no posted Athletics number, and the 8.5 total sits roughly neutral. The pitching mismatch arguably makes -110 a fair-to-light price on the home side. The total feels efficient, with the wind boost and Perkins' ERA offset by Detmers' suppression and the Angels' strikeout problems.

Pitching Matchup

ATH

Jack Perkins

2-3 · 46.0 IP

ERA

6.26

WHIP

1.37

K/9

11.2

BB/9

3.1

LAA

Reid Detmers

3-5 · 94.0 IP

ERA

3.93

WHIP

1.05

K/9

10.0

BB/9

2.7

Detmers owns the matchup with a 1.05 WHIP, 9.96 K/9 and tidy 2.68 BB/9, missing bats while limiting baserunners. Perkins flashes swing-and-miss at 11.15 K/9 but undermines it with a 3.13 BB/9 and 9.20 H/9, hence the bloated ERA. The command and contact-suppression edge belongs firmly to Detmers.

Offense Comparison

ATHrank of 30LAA

4.7 10 Runs / G 13 4.5

0.249 8 AVG 23 0.239

1.29 6 HR / G 13 1.19

8.60 10 K / G 1 9.55

The Athletics bring the more dangerous lineup, ranking 8th in AVG and 6th in HR/game, a stack with real pop against Perkins-level mistakes. The Angels counter with thump from Soler and Adell but whiff a ton, owning the league-most strikeouts at 9.55 per game, a worrying profile against Detmers' bat-missing repertoire. Edge in lineup quality leans Oakland, but Detmers is the tougher assignment.

Weather & Park

6 mph out to RF · favors hitters

Conditions

Overcast

Temp

66°

Humidity

68%

Outdoor at Angel Stadium, 66F and overcast with a 6 mph breeze out to right field, a mild positive nudge for run scoring.

DFS Angles

Lean a mini Athletics stack against Perkins' 9.20 H/9, with Langeliers and Soderstrom offering power at strong values; the RF wind and Perkins' ERA make Oakland bats the higher-ceiling group.

Target Detmers at solid value given his 3.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP against a high-strikeout Angels-opponent profile; fade Perkins given his 6.26 ERA.

ATH top bats

Nick Kurtz 12.3 proj · $6,200 · 2.0x
Shea Langeliers 12.2 proj · $5,700 · 2.2x
Tyler Soderstrom 10.8 proj · $5,000 · 2.2x
Henry Bolte 9.6 proj · $3,300 · 2.9x
Joey Meneses 8.2 proj · $2,000 · 4.1x

LAA top bats

Zach Neto 11.2 proj · $5,000 · 2.2x
Nolan Schanuel 10.9 proj · $3,500 · 3.1x
Jorge Soler 10.3 proj · $3,800 · 2.7x
Jo Adell 10.2 proj · $3,600 · 2.8x
Wade Meckler 9.2 proj · $3,300 · 2.8x

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Players to Watch

Prop leans

Shea Langeliers - over hits/total bases lean - 1.25 projected hits and 0.34 HR vs Perkins.
Tyler Soderstrom - HR/total bases lean - 2.17x value with 1.19 projected hits.
Zach Neto - hits lean - team-best 1.32 projected hits at $5000.
Henry Bolte - hits lean - 1.55 projected hits at a 2.92x value.

On watch