Diamondbacks vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 6th 2024

Hey sports junkies, get ready to rumble as the evenly matched Arizona Diamondbacks slither into Truist Park, ready to lock horns with the Atlanta Braves tonight at 7:20 PM EST. With the Diamondbacks trailing by a mere 2 games in the National League conference and the Braves standing their ground at 0.0 games back, it’s all to play for in this high stakes clash. Last time these two titans met, the Braves scalped the Diamondbacks 6-5, but don’t let that fool you – the betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 9.0, and the Diamondbacks at 185 to the Braves’ -225. The weather’s looking to play ball too, with a partly cloudy sky, a refreshing northern breeze at 10.5 mph, and a cool 48.9° on the field. So, will the Diamondbacks strike back or will the Braves continue their tomahawk chop? Either way, it’s going to be a diamond of a game with no room for any brave mistakes.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 06, 2024 07:20PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the N at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 48.9° with 54% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	ARI ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+185	-225	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+185	-225	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

94W-146L

35.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

147W-92L

64.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+2.0
04/05/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Over	+2.0
06/02/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-4.0
06/02/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	3	Under	-4.0
06/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Under	-2.0
06/03/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	2	Under	-2.0
06/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Over	+4.0
06/04/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+4.0
07/18/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	16	Over	+20.0
07/18/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	13	Over	+20.0
07/19/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Under	-1.0
07/19/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	3	Under	-1.0
07/20/23	Arizona Diamondbacks ARI	5	Over	+3.0
07/20/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	7	Over	+3.0

Diamondbacks Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Brandon Pfaadt

ERA 5.719 | IP 96 | 3W-9L | KO 94

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-31-24	vsCOL	1-5W	5.0	5	1	6	Under
09-27-23	@CWS	3-0W	5.7	5	0	8	Under
09-22-23	@NYY	1-7L	4.3	8	6	8	Under
09-15-23	vsCHC	4-6W	5.3	4	0	6	Over
09-10-23	@CHC	2-5L	6.0	7	4	4	Under
09-05-23	vsCOL	3-2L	3.7	6	3	4	Under
08-30-23	@LAD	0-7L	4.0	8	6	4	Under
08-25-23	vsCIN	8-10W	5.3	3	2	5	Over
08-18-23	@SD	0-4L	7.0	1	0	5	Under
08-13-23	vsSD	4-5W	5.7	9	3	8	Push

Max Fried

ERA 2.549 | IP 78 | 8W-1L | KO 80

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsARI	5-6W	4.0	7	5	4	Over
03-29-24	@PHI	9-3W	5.0	3	2	8	Over
09-30-23	vsWAS	3-5W	5.0	6	3	7	Under
09-24-23	@WAS	8-5W	5.7	7	4	4	Over
09-19-23	vsPHI	3-9W	7.0	4	3	11	Over
09-13-23	@PHI	4-1W	7.0	4	1	9	Under
09-06-23	vsSTL	11-6L	2.7	6	6	5	Over
08-31-23	@LAD	8-7W	6.0	4	4	9	Over
08-25-23	@SF	5-1W	7.0	3	1	9	Under
08-18-23	vsSF	0-4W	7.0	1	0	10	Under
03-30-24	@PHI	12-4W	0.7	2	3	1	Over
09-21-23	@WAS	10-3W	6.0	3	1	7	Over
09-12-23	@PHI	7-6W	5.0	4	1	6	Over
09-07-23	vsSTL	5-8W	6.0	6	3	4	Over
09-01-23	@LAD	6-3W	7.0	3	0	10	Push
08-26-23	@SF	7-3W	6.0	6	2	8	Over
08-20-23	vsSF	4-3L	5.7	9	3	6	Under
08-14-23	vsNYY	3-11W	6.0	8	2	2	Over
08-09-23	@PIT	6-5W	4.0	6	4	4	Over
08-04-23	@CHC	8-0W	6.0	3	0	8	Under

Diamondbacks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	vs ATL	5-6L	9	1	Over
04/05	@ NYY	5-6L	9	2	Over
04/04	@ NYY	7-0W	12	1	Under
04/03	@ NYY	2-5L	4	0	Under
04/02	@ COL	5-1W	5	1	Under
04/01	@ COL	4-9L	8	2	Over
03/31	@ COL	7-3W	14	3	Over
03/30	@ COL	16-1W	18	1	Over
10/03	@ HOU	1-9L	6	0	Over
10/02	@ HOU	0-1L	5	0	Under
10/01	@ HOU	1-2L	4	0	Under
09/30	vs CWS	1-3L	3	0	Under
09/29	vs CWS	3-0W	4	0	Under
09/28	vs CWS	15-4W	12	3	Over
09/27	vs NYY	4-6L	8	0	Over

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	@ ARI	6-5W	12	1	Over
04/04	vs CWS	2-3L	5	2	Under
04/03	vs CWS	9-0W	11	1	Push
04/02	vs PHI	4-5L	7	1	Push
04/01	vs PHI	12-4W	19	4	Over
03/31	vs PHI	9-3W	13	0	Over
10/03	@ WAS	9-10L	11	2	Over
10/02	@ WAS	5-3W	11	1	Under
10/01	@ WAS	6-10L	17	0	Over
09/30	@ CHC	5-3W	6	1	Under
09/29	@ CHC	6-5W	9	2	Over
09/28	@ CHC	7-6W	8	2	Over
09/26	vs WAS	8-5W	10	2	Over
09/26	vs WAS	2-3L	6	1	Under
09/24	vs WAS	9-6W	10	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Arizona Diamondbacks	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ketel Marte	8.1	10.6	0.276	0.485	41.1%	89.6%	4.4%
#2 Corbin Carroll	9.1	11.8	0.288	0.511	41.3%	92.3%	4.4%
#3 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	6.5	8.5	0.265	0.468	33.6%	80.4%	4.4%
#4 Christian Walker	7.4	9.8	0.257	0.495	37.4%	86.9%	5.7%
#5 Joc Pederson	5.9	8.0	0.232	0.415	41.2%	82.6%	4.2%
#6 Eugenio Suarez	6.1	8.2	0.234	0.393	37.5%	76.8%	3.7%
#7 Gabriel Moreno	5.3	6.9	0.284	0.408	37.8%	78.6%	2.1%
#8 Randal Grichuk	6.5	8.4	0.267	0.456	34.8%	80.4%	3.7%
#8 Jake McCarthy	5.7	7.1	0.246	0.331	36.0%	69.1%	0.7%
#9 Geraldo Perdomo	4.6	6.1	0.247	0.36	41.7%	77.8%	1.5%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	12.6	16.4	0.34	0.599	47.9%	107.8%	6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies	10.8	14.3	0.28	0.515	37.2%	88.7%	5.6%
#3 Austin Riley	10.7	14.2	0.28	0.517	38.8%	90.5%	5.9%
#4 Matt Olson	9.7	13.2	0.283	0.604	46.2%	106.6%	8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.9	11.9	0.276	0.565	39.0%	95.4%	7.6%
#6 Adam Duvall	8.0	10.6	0.245	0.522	33.0%	85.2%	6.3%
#7 Michael Harris II	8.6	11.0	0.293	0.478	35.3%	83.1%	3.6%
#8 Orlando Arcia	7.6	9.9	0.267	0.424	35.3%	77.7%	3.5%
#9 Travis d’Arnaud	6.8	9.0	0.224	0.388	31.6%	70.3%	3.8%
#9 Jarred Kelenic	6.8	8.9	0.253	0.418	36.7%	78.5%	3.0%