Braves vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

thefield
April 12, 2024
Atlanta Braves

Braves

7W-4L

Atlanta Braves

April 12, 2024

07:10PM EST

Odds: 8.5 o/u

Marlins

2W-11L

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins

Hey sports junkies, get ready for a sizzling showdown in the Sunshine State! The red-hot Atlanta Braves, boasting a solid 7W-4L record, are packing their bags and heading to the home of the struggling Miami Marlins, who are barely treading water with a 2W-11L record. The action unfolds at the beautifully modern LoanDepot Park tonight at 7:10PM EST. The Braves are neck-and-neck in the National League conference, while the Marlins are gasping for air, lagging a full six games behind. The bookies have crunched the numbers, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 8.5, with the Braves tipped as favorites at -184 and the Marlins as underdogs at +152. The Marlins are fresh off a surprising 5-2 victory against the NYY, while the Braves are licking their wounds after a brutal 4-16 defeat against the NYM. Mother Nature seems to be on our side, with a sunny forecast, a gentle breeze from the NW, and a perfect game-time temperature of 73.9°. So, folks, get ready – because when the Braves start chopping, the Marlins might just find themselves swimming upstream!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami
Weather: Sunny with winds from the NW at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 73.9° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

ATL ML MIA ML Over/Under Line
Open -184 +152 8.5 -1.5/1.5
Recent -194 +159 9.0 -1.5/1.5
Difference -10 +7 +0.5 –

Team Performance

atl Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
AWAY
144W-98L

66.0% Win Probability

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
2W-8L
HOME
118W-127L

34.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Runs O/U O/U DIFF ATS
04/24/23 Miami Marlins MIA 0 Over +2.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 11
04/25/23 Miami Marlins MIA 4 Over +2.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7
04/26/23 Miami Marlins MIA 4 Over +1.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 6
04/27/23 Miami Marlins MIA 5 Over +0.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 4
05/02/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Under -2.5
Miami Marlins MIA 0
05/03/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 14 Over +11.5
Miami Marlins MIA 6
05/04/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Over +0.5
Miami Marlins MIA 3
06/30/23 Miami Marlins MIA 4 Over +11.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 16
07/01/23 Miami Marlins MIA 0 Under -1.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 7
07/02/23 Miami Marlins MIA 3 Over +0.5
Atlanta Braves ATL 6
09/15/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 6 Over +6.5
Miami Marlins MIA 9
09/16/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 5 Over +7.5
Miami Marlins MIA 11
09/17/23 Atlanta Braves ATL 2 Over +9.5
Miami Marlins MIA 16

Braves Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Allan Winans
Allan Winans
ERA 5.289 | IP 32.3 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 34.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-06-24 vsARI 8-9W 4.3 10 8 5 Over
03-30-24 @PHI 12-4W 0.7 2 3 1 Over
09-21-23 @WAS 10-3W 6.0 3 1 7 Over
09-12-23 @PHI 7-6W 5.0 4 1 6 Over
09-07-23 vsSTL 5-8W 6.0 6 3 4 Over
09-01-23 @LAD 6-3W 7.0 3 0 10 Push
08-26-23 @SF 7-3W 6.0 6 2 8 Over
08-20-23 vsSF 4-3L 5.7 9 3 6 Under
08-14-23 vsNYY 3-11W 6.0 8 2 2 Over
08-09-23 @PIT 6-5W 4.0 6 4 4 Over
04-11-24 vsNYM 16-4L 5.0 8 7 1 Over
09-29-23 vsWAS 10-6L 5.3 6 6 2 Over
09-24-23 @WAS 2-3L 5.0 7 2 6 Under
09-10-23 vsPIT 2-5W 6.3 6 2 8 Under
08-21-23 vsNYM 10-4L 4.3 9 7 4 Over
08-12-23 @NYM 21-3W 7.0 4 0 9 Over
07-22-23 @MIL 3-4L 4.3 5 2 5 Under
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA 4.0 | IP 18.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 19.0
Date Matchup Result IP Hits Runs KO Over
04-06-24 @STL 1-3L 5.0 5 3 3 Under
03-31-24 vsPIT 9-7L 5.0 7 4 6 Over
04-19-23 vsSF 5-2L 3.0 3 1 3 Under
04-14-23 vsARI 1-5W 6.0 5 1 7 Under
04-08-23 @NYM 2-5L 4.7 4 3 5 Under
04-02-23 vsNYM 5-1L 4.3 4 4 4 Under
09-17-22 vsWAS 5-1L 1.0 3 2 1 Under
09-12-22 vsTEX 5-1L 6.3 4 2 9 Under
09-07-22 vsPHI 5-1L 6.0 5 3 8 Under
08-31-22 vsTB 5-1L 6.0 5 1 5 Under

Braves Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/13 @ NYM 4-16L 10 0 Over
04/11 @ NYM 6-5W 11 0 Over
04/10 @ NYM 7-8L 12 1 Over
04/09 @ ARI 5-2W 7 3 Under
04/08 @ ARI 9-8W 15 1 Over
04/07 @ ARI 6-5W 12 1 Over
04/04 vs CWS 2-3L 5 2 Under
04/03 vs CWS 9-0W 11 1 Push
04/02 vs PHI 4-5L 7 1 Push
04/01 vs PHI 12-4W 19 4 Over
03/31 vs PHI 9-3W 13 0 Over
10/03 @ WAS 9-10L 11 2 Over
10/02 @ WAS 5-3W 11 1 Under
10/01 @ WAS 6-10L 17 0 Over
09/30 @ CHC 5-3W 6 1 Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Hits HR O/U
04/12 vs NYY 5-2W 6 1 Under
04/11 vs NYY 2-3L 4 0 Under
04/10 vs NYY 0-7L 2 0 Under
04/09 vs STL 10-3W 13 2 Over
04/08 vs STL 1-3L 8 0 Under
04/06 vs STL 5-8L 9 3 Over
04/05 @ LAA 2-10L 4 0 Over
04/04 @ LAA 1-3L 5 1 Under
04/03 @ LAA 4-7L 9 0 Over
04/02 @ PIT 7-9L 7 3 Over
04/01 @ PIT 3-9L 5 0 Over
03/31 @ PIT 2-7L 9 0 Push
03/30 @ PIT 5-6L 8 0 Over
10/04 vs NYM 2-1W 8 0 Under
10/03 vs PIT 0-3L 3 0 Under

Team’s Batting Order

Atlanta Braves DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPP HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.
11.1 14.4 0.34 0.599 47.9% 107.8% 6.4%
#2 Ozzie Albies
8.9 11.8 0.28 0.515 37.2% 88.7% 5.6%
#3 Austin Riley
9.7 12.8 0.28 0.517 38.8% 90.5% 5.9%
#4 Matt Olson
8.8 11.9 0.283 0.604 46.2% 106.6% 8.9%
#5 Marcell Ozuna
8.3 11.0 0.276 0.565 39.0% 95.4% 7.6%
#6 Adam Duvall
7.6 10.1 0.245 0.522 33.0% 85.2% 6.3%
#7 Michael Harris II
8.1 10.4 0.293 0.478 35.3% 83.1% 3.6%
#8 Orlando Arcia
6.7 8.8 0.267 0.424 35.3% 77.7% 3.5%
#9 Travis d’Arnaud
6.7 8.9 0.224 0.388 31.6% 70.3% 3.8%
#9 Chadwick Tromp
5.4 7.1 0.125 0.188 12.5% 31.2% 0.0%
Miami Marlins DK FD AVG SLG OBP OPP HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez
7.7 9.7 0.356 0.472 42.5% 89.6% 1.8%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz
6.9 8.9 0.253 0.401 32.5% 72.6% 3.1%
#3 Jake Burger
7.4 9.8 0.248 0.518 33.8% 85.7% 7.0%
#4 Josh Bell
6.8 8.9 0.247 0.419 36.6% 78.6% 4.0%
#5 Jazz Chisholm Jr.
6.2 8.1 0.252 0.462 33.1% 79.3% 5.4%
#6 Tim Anderson
5.9 7.3 0.248 0.299 30.7% 60.7% 0.2%
#7 Avisail Garcia
5.5 7.2 0.185 0.315 25.9% 57.4% 2.8%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera
4.9 6.3 0.265 0.364 35.2% 71.5% 1.6%
#9 Nick Fortes
4.5 5.9 0.203 0.3 28.6% 58.6% 2.1%

Braves Notable Injuries

  • No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.

Marlins Notable Injuries

  • No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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