Red Sox vs Guardians Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024
Red Sox
13W-11L
April 24, 2024
06:10PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Guardians
17W-6L
Get ready to slide into some serious MLB action as the Boston Red Sox, looking to claw back from a recent slip-up, storm into Progressive Field to face off against the high-flying Cleveland Guardians tonight at 06:10PM EST. With the Red Sox swinging to close a 3-game gap in the American League and the Guardians defending their top spot like the last slice of pizza at a party, this matchup is more loaded than a grand slam in the bottom of the ninth. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at 7.5. Factor in some brisk, overcast weather that could make each pitch as unpredictable as a knuckleball, and you’ve got the perfect storm for an epic showdown. As these two titans prepare to duke it out, remember: in a game where Guardians stand watch and Red Sox are known to pull up their socks, expect nothing less than a legendary battle of the stitches!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 24, 2024 06:10PM EST
Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNW at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 44.1° with 85% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| BOS ML | CLE ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +119 | -142 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +121 | -144 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +2 | -2 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
45.2% Win Probability
54.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/15/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 6 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 0 | ||||
| 04/16/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 10 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 04/17/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 0 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
| 04/18/24 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 4 | ||||
| 04/23/24 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 1 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Cleveland Guardians CLE | 4 | ||||
| 04/28/23 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 5 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | ||||
| 04/29/23 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 7 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 8 | ||||
| 04/30/23 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | 1 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Boston Red Sox BOS | 7 | ||||
| 06/06/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Cleveland Guardians CLE | 4 | ||||
| 06/07/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 2 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Cleveland Guardians CLE | 5 | ||||
| 06/08/23 | Boston Red Sox BOS | 3 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Cleveland Guardians CLE | 10 |
Red Sox Vs Over/Under
Guardians Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23-24 | @CLE | 1-4L | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | vsCLE | 0-2W | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | Under |
| 04-12-24 | vsLAA | 7-0L | 5.7 | 12 | 7 | 2 | Under |
| 04-07-24 | @LAA | 12-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 04-01-24 | @OAK | 9-0W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @BAL | 6-1W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 09-26-23 | vsTB | 9-7L | 3.0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 09-19-23 | @TEX | 4-6L | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 09-14-23 | vsNYY | 0-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 09-08-23 | vsBAL | 11-2L | 5.3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 04-18-24 | vsCLE | 5-4L | 2.3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | vsLAA | 2-7W | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @TOR | 7-5L | 3.0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | Over |
| 08-19-23 | @LAA | 18-4L | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | Over |
| 08-10-23 | @STL | 5-2L | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 07-15-23 | @KC | 4-2L | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | Under |
| 06-07-23 | @MIN | 1-2W | 3.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 06-03-23 | vsBOS | 5-8W | 2.3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Over |
| 05-26-23 | @LAD | 3-9W | 4.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 05-21-23 | @MIL | 6-4L | 4.7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23-24 | vsBOS | 1-4W | 6.3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | @BOS | 0-2L | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | Under |
| 09-30-23 | @STL | 6-15W | 2.7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | vsCLE | 3-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-19-23 | @MIN | 7-0L | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Under |
| 09-14-23 | @DET | 2-8W | 4.3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 08-26-23 | @ARI | 8-7L | 5.7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 08-01-23 | @CHC | 9-20W | 4.0 | 13 | 13 | 2 | Over |
| 07-26-23 | @MIL | 0-3W | 6.7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | Under |
| 07-21-23 | @ARI | 6-9W | 4.7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 04-18-24 | @BOS | 5-4W | 5.7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 04-13-24 | vsNYY | 3-2L | 4.7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | Under |
| 04-06-24 | @MIN | 3-1W | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | @OAK | 3-4L | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 08-26-23 | @LAA | 5-3L | 1.7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 08-20-23 | @STL | 3-7W | 4.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| 08-14-23 | @PIT | 2-7W | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Over |
| 08-08-23 | @CHC | 3-2L | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 08-03-23 | @KC | 2-9W | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 07-29-23 | @WAS | 11-6L | 2.3 | 8 | 8 | 2 | Over |
Red Sox Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/25 | vs CLE | 1-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs PIT | 6-1W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs PIT | 4-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | vs PIT | 8-1W | 12 | 4 | Over |
| 04/20 | @ CLE | 4-5L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ CLE | 2-0W | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ CLE | 7-10L | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ CLE | 0-6L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ LAA | 5-4W | 7 | 3 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ LAA | 7-2W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/14 | @ LAA | 0-7L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/13 | @ BAL | 4-9L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/12 | @ BAL | 5-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/11 | @ BAL | 1-7L | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 04/09 | vs LAA | 12-2W | 12 | 4 | Over |
Guardians Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/25 | @ BOS | 4-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ OAK | 6-2W | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ OAK | 6-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/21 | @ OAK | 10-2W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/20 | vs BOS | 5-4W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs BOS | 0-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs BOS | 10-7W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs BOS | 6-0W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ NYY | 8-7W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ NYY | 2-8L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ NYY | 2-3L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/12 | @ CWS | 7-6W | 8 | 3 | Over |
| 04/11 | @ CWS | 5-7L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/10 | @ CWS | 4-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/08 | vs MIN | 3-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Boston Red Sox | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9 | 9.1 | 0.154 | 0.269 | 21.8% | 48.7% | 1.3% | |
|
#2
Jarren Duran
|
9.7 | 12.4 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 38.0% | 77.0% | 1.0% |
| 8.0 | 10.7 | 0.308 | 0.712 | 55.8% | 126.9% | 13.5% | |
|
#4
Wilyer Abreu
|
7.9 | 10.4 | 0.278 | 0.481 | 44.4% | 92.6% | 3.7% |
| 8.6 | 11.6 | 0.188 | 0.375 | 39.6% | 77.1% | 4.2% | |
| 6.6 | 8.6 | 0.438 | 0.875 | 56.2% | 143.8% | 6.2% | |
| 6.5 | 8.8 | 0.152 | 0.273 | 21.2% | 48.5% | 3.0% | |
|
#7
Connor Wong
|
6.3 | 8.0 | 0.32 | 0.52 | 34.0% | 86.0% | 6.0% |
|
#8
Bobby Dalbec
|
5.3 | 7.7 | 0.031 | 0.062 | 12.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| 5.8 | 7.6 | 0.25 | 0.396 | 33.3% | 72.9% | 4.2% | |
|
#9
Pablo Reyes
|
5.1 | 6.7 | 0.167 | 0.208 | 22.9% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
| Cleveland Guardians | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Steven Kwan
|
8.8 | 11.0 | 0.351 | 0.464 | 40.2% | 86.6% | 2.1% |
| 8.0 | 10.6 | 0.279 | 0.36 | 39.5% | 75.6% | 0.0% | |
|
#3
Jose Ramirez
|
8.5 | 11.3 | 0.24 | 0.427 | 26.0% | 68.8% | 4.2% |
|
#4
Josh Naylor
|
7.6 | 10.1 | 0.321 | 0.605 | 44.4% | 104.9% | 7.4% |
|
#5
Will Brennan
|
6.5 | 8.6 | 0.246 | 0.404 | 35.1% | 75.4% | 3.5% |
| 5.6 | 7.6 | 0.222 | 0.413 | 33.3% | 74.6% | 4.8% | |
| 6.3 | 8.3 | 0.243 | 0.514 | 37.8% | 89.2% | 5.4% | |
|
#8
Bo Naylor
|
5.9 | 7.9 | 0.179 | 0.304 | 35.7% | 66.1% | 3.6% |
| 5.4 | 7.2 | 0.209 | 0.313 | 32.8% | 64.2% | 0.0% |
Red Sox Notable Injuries
- Rafael Devers OUT (3B): Avg: 0.188 SLG:0.375 Last game: 04/19/24. Impact: 2.4
Guardians Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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