Red Sox vs Guardians Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024

Get ready to slide into some serious MLB action as the Boston Red Sox, looking to claw back from a recent slip-up, storm into Progressive Field to face off against the high-flying Cleveland Guardians tonight at 06:10PM EST. With the Red Sox swinging to close a 3-game gap in the American League and the Guardians defending their top spot like the last slice of pizza at a party, this matchup is more loaded than a grand slam in the bottom of the ninth. The stakes are sky-high with the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teasing at 7.5. Factor in some brisk, overcast weather that could make each pitch as unpredictable as a knuckleball, and you’ve got the perfect storm for an epic showdown. As these two titans prepare to duke it out, remember: in a game where Guardians stand watch and Red Sox are known to pull up their socks, expect nothing less than a legendary battle of the stitches!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 24, 2024 06:10PM EST

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNW at 15.0 mph. Temperature is at 44.1° with 85% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+119	-142	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+121	-144	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+2	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

127W-129L

45.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

133W-114L

54.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/15/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Under	-1.5
04/15/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	0	Under	-1.5
04/16/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+9.5
04/16/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+9.5
04/17/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	0	Under	-5.5
04/17/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-5.5
04/18/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Over	+1.5
04/18/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	4	Over	+1.5
04/23/24	Boston Red Sox BOS	1	Under	-2.5
04/23/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-2.5
04/28/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
04/28/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
04/29/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	7	Over	+7.5
04/29/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	8	Over	+7.5
04/30/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Over	+0.5
04/30/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	7	Over	+0.5
06/06/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	5	Over	+1.5
06/06/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Over	+1.5
06/07/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	2	Under	-0.5
06/07/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	5	Under	-0.5
06/08/23	Boston Red Sox BOS	3	Over	+5.5
06/08/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	10	Over	+5.5

Red Sox Vs Over/Under

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Cooper Criswell

ERA 4.263 | IP 6.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 4.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	@CLE	1-4L	6.0	5	2	4	Under
04-17-24	vsCLE	0-2W	9.0	3	0	9	Under
04-12-24	vsLAA	7-0L	5.7	12	7	2	Under
04-07-24	@LAA	12-2W	6.0	4	0	7	Over
04-01-24	@OAK	9-0W	6.0	3	0	10	Over
10-01-23	@BAL	6-1W	6.0	1	0	6	Under
09-26-23	vsTB	9-7L	3.0	10	7	2	Over
09-19-23	@TEX	4-6L	4.0	3	2	4	Over
09-14-23	vsNYY	0-5W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-08-23	vsBAL	11-2L	5.3	8	5	5	Over
04-18-24	vsCLE	5-4L	2.3	3	4	0	Over
04-13-24	vsLAA	2-7W	4.0	5	2	4	Over
09-30-23	@TOR	7-5L	3.0	4	4	3	Over
08-19-23	@LAA	18-4L	2.0	3	3	0	Over
08-10-23	@STL	5-2L	3.0	4	2	0	Under
07-15-23	@KC	4-2L	4.0	5	2	2	Under
06-07-23	@MIN	1-2W	3.3	1	0	4	Under
06-03-23	vsBOS	5-8W	2.3	4	1	1	Over
05-26-23	@LAD	3-9W	4.0	4	1	4	Over
05-21-23	@MIL	6-4L	4.7	8	5	3	Over

Carlos Carrasco

ERA 3.436 | IP 18.3 | 1.0W-1.0L | KO 16.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	vsBOS	1-4W	6.3	5	1	7	Under
04-17-24	@BOS	0-2L	5.0	3	2	7	Under
09-30-23	@STL	6-15W	2.7	2	1	0	Over
09-27-23	vsCLE	3-4W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
09-19-23	@MIN	7-0L	4.0	7	5	4	Under
09-14-23	@DET	2-8W	4.3	4	3	4	Over
08-26-23	@ARI	8-7L	5.7	6	3	5	Over
08-01-23	@CHC	9-20W	4.0	13	13	2	Over
07-26-23	@MIL	0-3W	6.7	8	2	3	Under
07-21-23	@ARI	6-9W	4.7	4	3	6	Over
04-18-24	@BOS	5-4W	5.7	4	2	5	Over
04-13-24	vsNYY	3-2L	4.7	5	1	2	Under
04-06-24	@MIN	3-1W	3.0	1	1	6	Under
03-31-24	@OAK	3-4L	5.0	6	3	3	Under
08-26-23	@LAA	5-3L	1.7	7	5	1	Over
08-20-23	@STL	3-7W	4.0	9	3	3	Over
08-14-23	@PIT	2-7W	3.0	4	2	5	Over
08-08-23	@CHC	3-2L	5.0	3	2	5	Under
08-03-23	@KC	2-9W	6.0	8	6	0	Over
07-29-23	@WAS	11-6L	2.3	8	8	2	Over

Red Sox Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	vs CLE	1-4L	6	1	Under
04/23	vs PIT	6-1W	8	0	Under
04/22	vs PIT	4-2W	7	1	Under
04/21	vs PIT	8-1W	12	4	Over
04/20	@ CLE	4-5L	6	0	Over
04/19	@ CLE	2-0W	5	1	Under
04/18	@ CLE	7-10L	11	3	Over
04/17	@ CLE	0-6L	3	0	Under
04/16	@ LAA	5-4W	7	3	Over
04/15	@ LAA	7-2W	11	1	Over
04/14	@ LAA	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/13	@ BAL	4-9L	8	1	Over
04/12	@ BAL	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/11	@ BAL	1-7L	2	1	Over
04/09	vs LAA	12-2W	12	4	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	@ BOS	4-1W	7	1	Under
04/23	@ OAK	6-2W	7	1	Over
04/22	@ OAK	6-3W	14	1	Over
04/21	@ OAK	10-2W	9	2	Over
04/20	vs BOS	5-4W	8	0	Over
04/19	vs BOS	0-2L	3	0	Under
04/18	vs BOS	10-7W	14	1	Over
04/17	vs BOS	6-0W	9	1	Under
04/16	@ NYY	8-7W	9	3	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-3L	5	0	Under
04/12	@ CWS	7-6W	8	3	Over
04/11	@ CWS	5-7L	8	1	Over
04/10	@ CWS	4-0W	10	1	Under
04/08	vs MIN	3-1W	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Boston Red Sox	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ceddanne Rafaela	6.9	9.1	0.154	0.269	21.8%	48.7%	1.3%
#2 Jarren Duran	9.7	12.4	0.27	0.39	38.0%	77.0%	1.0%
#3 Tyler O’Neill	8.0	10.7	0.308	0.712	55.8%	126.9%	13.5%
#4 Wilyer Abreu	7.9	10.4	0.278	0.481	44.4%	92.6%	3.7%
#4 Rafael Devers	8.6	11.6	0.188	0.375	39.6%	77.1%	4.2%
#5 Rob Refsnyder	6.6	8.6	0.438	0.875	56.2%	143.8%	6.2%
#6 Enmanuel Valdez	6.5	8.8	0.152	0.273	21.2%	48.5%	3.0%
#7 Connor Wong	6.3	8.0	0.32	0.52	34.0%	86.0%	6.0%
#8 Bobby Dalbec	5.3	7.7	0.031	0.062	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%
#8 Reese McGuire	5.8	7.6	0.25	0.396	33.3%	72.9%	4.2%
#9 Pablo Reyes	5.1	6.7	0.167	0.208	22.9%	43.8%	0.0%

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.8	11.0	0.351	0.464	40.2%	86.6%	2.1%
#2 Andres Gimenez	8.0	10.6	0.279	0.36	39.5%	75.6%	0.0%
#3 Jose Ramirez	8.5	11.3	0.24	0.427	26.0%	68.8%	4.2%
#4 Josh Naylor	7.6	10.1	0.321	0.605	44.4%	104.9%	7.4%
#5 Will Brennan	6.5	8.6	0.246	0.404	35.1%	75.4%	3.5%
#6 Tyler Freeman	5.6	7.6	0.222	0.413	33.3%	74.6%	4.8%
#7 Estevan Florial	6.3	8.3	0.243	0.514	37.8%	89.2%	5.4%
#8 Bo Naylor	5.9	7.9	0.179	0.304	35.7%	66.1%	3.6%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.4	7.2	0.209	0.313	32.8%	64.2%	0.0%