Cubs vs Mets Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into some MLB action as the Chicago Cubs, boasting a solid 19W-12L record, gear up to battle the New York Mets at the iconic Citi Field today at 01:10 PM EST. With the Cubs hot on the heels of the conference lead and the Mets looking to claw their way up from the middle, this game is set to be a nail-biter. The stakes are high with the Cubs just half a game shy of the top spot and the Mets 5.5 games adrift, making every pitch count even more. The betting world is buzzing too, with a tight line and an over/under of 8.5, reflecting the razor-thin margins between these two. Fresh off a face-off where the Cubs edged the Mets by the slimmest of margins, both teams are coming in with chips on their shoulders and bats ready to swing. With overcast skies, a slight breeze, and a hint of humidity at Citi Field, it’s the perfect setting for a showdown. So, as the Cubs try to plant their flag and the Mets aim to swing back, it’s clear—this isn’t just a game, it’s a metropolitan battle for supremacy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 02, 2024 01:10PM EST

Location: Citi Field, New York

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSW at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 57.9° with 84% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CHC ML	NYM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-104	-116	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-110	-110	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-6	+6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

115W-143L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

148W-107L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-4.5
04/29/24	New York Mets NYM	1	Under	-4.5
04/30/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Under	-2.5
04/30/24	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
05/01/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-7.5
05/01/24	New York Mets NYM	0	Under	-7.5
05/23/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Over	+0.5
05/23/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+0.5
05/24/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-2.5
05/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-2.5
05/25/23	New York Mets NYM	10	Over	+2.5
05/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Over	+2.5
08/07/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	2	Over	+4.5
08/07/23	New York Mets NYM	11	Over	+4.5
08/08/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-3.5
08/08/23	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-3.5
08/09/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Under	-1.5
08/09/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-1.5

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Mets Vs Over/Under

Ben Brown

ERA 4.304 | IP 23.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 22.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-27-24	@BOS	0-17L	3.7	7	3	4	Over
04-23-24	vsHOU	2-7W	1.0	0	0	0	Over
04-20-24	vsMIA	3-5W	2.0	2	0	3	Under
04-15-24	@ARI	3-2W	6.0	1	1	4	Under
04-09-24	@SD	5-1W	4.7	3	0	5	Under
04-03-24	vsCOL	8-9W	4.0	3	1	5	Over
03-30-24	@TEX	2-11L	1.7	5	6	1	Over

Adrian Houser

ERA 8.366 | IP 23.7 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 14.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-27-24	vsSTL	7-4L	4.3	9	6	2	Over
04-21-24	@LAD	0-10L	4.0	7	8	3	Over
04-15-24	vsPIT	3-6W	5.3	2	2	5	Over
04-09-24	@ATL	5-6L	5.0	8	5	1	Over
04-04-24	vsDET	6-3L	5.0	3	1	3	Over
10-01-23	@CHC	0-4W	5.0	3	0	5	Under
09-26-23	@STL	4-1L	5.0	3	4	5	Under
09-20-23	@STL	8-2L	6.0	4	1	4	Over
09-14-23	@MIA	2-4W	5.0	5	2	5	Under
08-27-23	@SD	6-10W	2.0	4	4	2	Over

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/03	vs NYM	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs NYM	2-4L	4	0	Under
05/01	vs NYM	3-1W	3	1	Under
04/30	vs BOS	4-5L	7	1	Over
04/29	vs BOS	0-17L	5	0	Over
04/28	vs BOS	7-1W	14	0	Under
04/27	@ HOU	3-1W	7	1	Under
04/26	@ HOU	4-3W	8	1	Under
04/25	@ HOU	7-2W	6	3	Over
04/23	@ MIA	3-6L	8	0	Over
04/22	@ MIA	5-3W	7	2	Under
04/22	@ MIA	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Under
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/03	@ CHC	0-1L	5	0	Under
05/02	@ CHC	4-2W	7	1	Under
05/01	@ CHC	1-3L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ STL	4-2W	8	2	Under
04/29	@ STL	4-7L	7	1	Over
04/28	@ STL	2-4L	8	1	Under
04/26	vs SF	8-2W	10	3	Over
04/25	vs SF	1-5L	9	0	Under
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	8.5	11.0	0.263	0.351	38.6%	73.7%	0.0%
#2 Mike Tauchman	8.3	11.1	0.295	0.5	52.6%	102.6%	3.8%
#3 Ian Happ	8.7	11.7	0.208	0.302	37.7%	67.9%	0.9%
#4 Christopher Morel	8.6	11.4	0.207	0.36	31.5%	67.6%	3.6%
#5 Michael Busch	8.7	11.6	0.255	0.48	36.7%	84.7%	6.1%
#6 Dansby Swanson	7.9	10.3	0.234	0.36	33.3%	69.4%	2.7%
#7 Matt Mervis	3.8	8.4	0.13	0.174	17.4%	34.8%	0.0%
#8 Yan Gomes	6.5	7.8	0.209	0.302	20.9%	51.2%	2.3%
#9 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.8	7.8	0.25	0.45	25.0%	70.0%	5.0%

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.7	11.9	0.206	0.346	43.9%	78.5%	2.8%
#2 Starling Marte	8.2	10.5	0.278	0.426	33.3%	75.9%	3.7%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.1	10.7	0.195	0.356	31.4%	66.9%	4.2%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.9	11.9	0.228	0.465	36.8%	83.3%	7.0%
#5 J.D. Martinez	8.8	10.6	0.3	0.4	35.0%	75.0%	0.0%
#6 Jeff McNeil	6.7	8.5	0.257	0.347	37.6%	72.3%	1.0%
#7 Tyrone Taylor	6.9	8.9	0.275	0.406	31.9%	72.5%	2.9%
#8 Brett Baty	5.6	7.2	0.258	0.315	34.8%	66.3%	1.1%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.9	6.4	0.162	0.216	21.6%	43.2%	0.0%