Reds vs Padres Game Breakdown
Reds
16W-13L
April 30, 2024
09:40PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Padres
14W-18L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown under the moody skies of Petco Park tonight as the Cincinnati Reds, boasting a solid 16W-13L record, strut into San Diego to face the Padres, who are itching to climb up from their 14W-18L rut. The first pitch is set to fly at 09:40 PM EST, and with the Reds hot on the heels of the conference leaders and the Padres looking to close a 5.5-game gap, every play counts. Bettors are eyeing an over/under of 7.5, leaning slightly in favor of the Padres despite their recent stumble against the Reds. With the air charged at a cool 60.1° and the winds whispering strategies from the SSW, tonight’s game promises to be more than just a run-of-the-mill matchup. So, whether you’re a fan of the Reds’ fiery spirit or the Padres’ cool determination, you’re in for a game where it’s all about seeing if the Reds can truly ‘pad’ their lead or if the Padres will ‘charge’ back into contention.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 30, 2024 09:40PM EST
Location: Petco Park, San Diego
Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 83% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| CIN ML | SD ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +122 | -145 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +121 | -144 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -1 | +1 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
45.2% Win Probability
54.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/29/24 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | Under | -0.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 2 | ||||
| 05/01/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 3 | Over | +3.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 8 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 2 | Under | -4.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 1 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | 1 | Over | +0.5 | |
| San Diego Padres SD | 7 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 5 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 7 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 12 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 5 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | San Diego Padres SD | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Cincinnati Reds CIN | 4 |
Reds Vs Over/Under
Padres Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25-24 | vsPHI | 5-0L | 6.0 | 11 | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 04-20-24 | vsLAA | 5-7W | 3.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 04-15-24 | @SEA | 3-9L | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Over |
| 04-06-24 | vsNYM | 6-9W | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 6 | Over |
| 03-31-24 | vsWAS | 5-6W | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | Over |
| 09-29-23 | @CWS | 3-2L | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 09-23-23 | @STL | 5-2L | 4.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Under |
| 09-17-23 | @OAK | 10-1L | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Over |
| 09-13-23 | @LAD | 6-1L | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 09-09-23 | @HOU | 5-7W | 0.7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14-24 | @LAD | 6-3W | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 04-08-24 | vsCHC | 8-9W | 3.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 04-02-24 | vsSTL | 5-2L | 7.0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsSF | 4-6W | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 08-25-23 | @MIL | 3-7L | 4.0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 08-19-23 | vsARI | 8-1L | 5.0 | 9 | 4 | 7 | Over |
| 08-14-23 | vsBAL | 4-1L | 7.0 | 8 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 08-09-23 | @SEA | 1-6L | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 08-04-23 | vsLAD | 10-5L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 07-29-23 | vsTEX | 0-4W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | Under |
Reds Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01 | vs SD | 5-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | vs TEX | 3-4L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/29 | vs TEX | 8-4W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 04/28 | vs TEX | 1-2L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/27 | @ PHI | 0-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ PHI | 7-4W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 04/25 | @ PHI | 8-1W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/24 | @ PHI | 0-7L | 2 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ LAA | 3-0W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | @ LAA | 7-5W | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 04/21 | @ LAA | 7-1W | 5 | 2 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs SEA | 1-5L | 1 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs SEA | 1-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/17 | vs SEA | 3-9L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/16 | vs CWS | 11-4W | 11 | 2 | Over |
Padres Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01 | @ CIN | 2-5L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | @ PHI | 6-8L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/29 | @ PHI | 1-5L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04/28 | @ PHI | 3-9L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/27 | vs COL | 9-10L | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 04/26 | vs COL | 5-2W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs COL | 4-7L | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 04/24 | vs COL | 3-1W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ TOR | 6-3W | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ TOR | 2-5L | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ TOR | 1-5L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/19 | vs MIL | 0-1L | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs MIL | 6-3W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 04/17 | vs MIL | 7-3W | 12 | 0 | Over |
| 04/16 | vs LAD | 6-3W | 8 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Cincinnati Reds | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Will Benson
|
8.2 | 10.8 | 0.212 | 0.444 | 32.3% | 76.8% | 4.0% |
| 8.9 | 11.7 | 0.28 | 0.59 | 46.0% | 105.0% | 8.0% | |
| 7.8 | 10.5 | 0.252 | 0.427 | 44.7% | 87.4% | 2.9% | |
|
#4
Jake Fraley
|
8.4 | 10.8 | 0.276 | 0.397 | 37.9% | 77.6% | 1.7% |
| 6.7 | 8.8 | 0.227 | 0.307 | 42.0% | 72.7% | 1.1% | |
|
#6
Nick Martini
|
6.1 | 8.4 | 0.206 | 0.382 | 25.0% | 63.2% | 4.4% |
| 6.6 | 8.8 | 0.174 | 0.337 | 31.4% | 65.1% | 2.3% | |
| 5.1 | 6.8 | 0.194 | 0.258 | 29.0% | 54.8% | 1.6% | |
|
#9
Luke Maile
|
4.9 | 6.6 | 0.167 | 0.278 | 30.6% | 58.3% | 2.8% |
| San Diego Padres | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2 | 12.3 | 0.299 | 0.495 | 46.4% | 95.9% | 4.1% | |
| 10.7 | 14.2 | 0.226 | 0.435 | 33.9% | 77.4% | 5.2% | |
| 10.4 | 13.8 | 0.245 | 0.431 | 37.3% | 80.4% | 3.9% | |
| 8.6 | 11.0 | 0.25 | 0.365 | 30.8% | 67.3% | 2.9% | |
| 8.0 | 10.4 | 0.198 | 0.276 | 29.3% | 56.9% | 1.7% | |
| 7.9 | 10.0 | 0.295 | 0.375 | 39.8% | 77.3% | 1.1% | |
|
#7
Ha-Seong Kim
|
7.4 | 9.9 | 0.229 | 0.419 | 39.0% | 81.0% | 3.8% |
| 6.6 | 8.6 | 0.286 | 0.417 | 33.3% | 75.0% | 2.4% | |
| 6.1 | 8.4 | 0.143 | 0.357 | 14.3% | 50.0% | 7.1% |
Reds Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Padres Notable Injuries
- Yu Darvish OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/16/24. Impact: 5.5
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