Reds vs Padres Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown under the moody skies of Petco Park tonight as the Cincinnati Reds, boasting a solid 16W-13L record, strut into San Diego to face the Padres, who are itching to climb up from their 14W-18L rut. The first pitch is set to fly at 09:40 PM EST, and with the Reds hot on the heels of the conference leaders and the Padres looking to close a 5.5-game gap, every play counts. Bettors are eyeing an over/under of 7.5, leaning slightly in favor of the Padres despite their recent stumble against the Reds. With the air charged at a cool 60.1° and the winds whispering strategies from the SSW, tonight’s game promises to be more than just a run-of-the-mill matchup. So, whether you’re a fan of the Reds’ fiery spirit or the Padres’ cool determination, you’re in for a game where it’s all about seeing if the Reds can truly ‘pad’ their lead or if the Padres will ‘charge’ back into contention.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 30, 2024 09:40PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Overcast with winds from the SSW at 8.1 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 83% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+122	-145	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+121	-144	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

118W-133L

45.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

135W-121L

54.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-0.5
04/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-0.5
05/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+3.5
05/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+3.5
05/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-4.5
05/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-4.5
05/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Over	+0.5
05/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Over	+0.5
06/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+4.5
06/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+4.5
07/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+9.5
07/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+9.5
07/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-0.5
07/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-0.5

Reds Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Nick Martinez

ERA 5.478 | IP 23.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 17.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-25-24	vsPHI	5-0L	6.0	11	5	3	Under
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	3.0	2	0	2	Over
04-15-24	@SEA	3-9L	4.0	3	1	3	Over
04-06-24	vsNYM	6-9W	5.0	8	5	6	Over
03-31-24	vsWAS	5-6W	5.0	6	3	3	Over
09-29-23	@CWS	3-2L	5.0	2	0	8	Under
09-23-23	@STL	5-2L	4.0	2	0	3	Under
09-17-23	@OAK	10-1L	3.0	1	0	5	Over
09-13-23	@LAD	6-1L	1.0	1	0	0	Under
09-09-23	@HOU	5-7W	0.7	4	1	0	Over

Yu Darvish

ERA 4.95 | IP 20.0 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 19.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-14-24	@LAD	6-3W	5.0	4	3	2	Over
04-08-24	vsCHC	8-9W	3.0	4	4	4	Over
04-02-24	vsSTL	5-2L	7.0	5	3	6	Under
03-28-24	vsSF	4-6W	5.0	5	1	7	Over
08-25-23	@MIL	3-7L	4.0	6	5	3	Over
08-19-23	vsARI	8-1L	5.0	9	4	7	Over
08-14-23	vsBAL	4-1L	7.0	8	4	6	Under
08-09-23	@SEA	1-6L	6.0	6	1	4	Under
08-04-23	vsLAD	10-5L	7.0	5	2	4	Over
07-29-23	vsTEX	0-4W	6.0	3	0	9	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/01	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
04/29	vs TEX	8-4W	10	2	Over
04/28	vs TEX	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/27	@ PHI	0-5L	3	0	Under
04/26	@ PHI	7-4W	10	1	Over
04/25	@ PHI	8-1W	9	2	Over
04/24	@ PHI	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/23	@ LAA	3-0W	5	0	Under
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Over
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/01	@ CIN	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ PHI	6-8L	9	2	Over
04/29	@ PHI	1-5L	3	1	Under
04/28	@ PHI	3-9L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs COL	9-10L	11	2	Over
04/26	vs COL	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/25	vs COL	4-7L	12	0	Over
04/24	vs COL	3-1W	9	0	Under
04/23	@ TOR	6-3W	6	1	Over
04/22	@ TOR	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Over
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over
04/16	vs LAD	6-3W	8	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Will Benson	8.2	10.8	0.212	0.444	32.3%	76.8%	4.0%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	8.9	11.7	0.28	0.59	46.0%	105.0%	8.0%
#3 Spencer Steer	7.8	10.5	0.252	0.427	44.7%	87.4%	2.9%
#4 Jake Fraley	8.4	10.8	0.276	0.397	37.9%	77.6%	1.7%
#5 Jonathan India	6.7	8.8	0.227	0.307	42.0%	72.7%	1.1%
#6 Nick Martini	6.1	8.4	0.206	0.382	25.0%	63.2%	4.4%
#7 Jeimer Candelario	6.6	8.8	0.174	0.337	31.4%	65.1%	2.3%
#8 Santiago Espinal	5.1	6.8	0.194	0.258	29.0%	54.8%	1.6%
#9 Luke Maile	4.9	6.6	0.167	0.278	30.6%	58.3%	2.8%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jurickson Profar	9.2	12.3	0.299	0.495	46.4%	95.9%	4.1%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	10.7	14.2	0.226	0.435	33.9%	77.4%	5.2%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	10.4	13.8	0.245	0.431	37.3%	80.4%	3.9%
#4 Manny Machado	8.6	11.0	0.25	0.365	30.8%	67.3%	2.9%
#5 Xander Bogaerts	8.0	10.4	0.198	0.276	29.3%	56.9%	1.7%
#6 Jackson Merrill	7.9	10.0	0.295	0.375	39.8%	77.3%	1.1%
#7 Ha-Seong Kim	7.4	9.9	0.229	0.419	39.0%	81.0%	3.8%
#8 Luis Campusano	6.6	8.6	0.286	0.417	33.3%	75.0%	2.4%
#9 Graham Pauley	6.1	8.4	0.143	0.357	14.3%	50.0%	7.1%