Reds vs Padres Game Breakdown

It’s game day, folks! Strap in as the Cincinnati Reds, boasting a respectable 16-14 record, ride into San Diego to clash with the Padres at the scenic Petco Park. The clock’s ticking down to a 04:10 PM EST showdown where both teams are hungry to climb up those National League standings, with the Reds just a swing away at 2.5 games back and the Padres trying to catch up at 4.5. The betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 8.0, hinting at a potentially tight matchup under partly cloudy skies and a gentle breeze perfect for baseball. Fresh off their recent face-off where the Padres took the win, the stakes are higher than ever. So, as the Reds look to paint the town and the Padres aim to defend their turf, get ready because this isn’t just a game, it’s a canvas where every pitch could be a stroke of genius!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 01, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: Petco Park, San Diego

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the ESE at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 78% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CIN ML	SD ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+114	-136	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+115	-138	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-2	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

118W-134L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

136W-121L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/29/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Under	-1.0
04/29/24	San Diego Padres SD	2	Under	-1.0
04/30/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+2.0
04/30/24	San Diego Padres SD	6	Over	+2.0
05/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+3.0
05/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	8	Over	+3.0
05/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-5.0
05/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	1	Under	-5.0
05/03/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	1	Push	-0.0
05/03/23	San Diego Padres SD	7	Push	-0.0
06/30/23	San Diego Padres SD	5	Over	+4.0
06/30/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	7	Over	+4.0
07/01/23	San Diego Padres SD	12	Over	+9.0
07/01/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	5	Over	+9.0
07/02/23	San Diego Padres SD	3	Under	-1.0
07/02/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-1.0

Reds Vs Over/Under

Padres Vs Over/Under

Graham Ashcraft

ERA 4.395 | IP 28.7 | 3.0W-1.0L | KO 26.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-26-24	@TEX	1-2L	6.3	7	1	3	Under
04-20-24	vsLAA	5-7W	5.0	5	5	4	Over
04-14-24	@CWS	11-4W	5.7	5	2	8	Over
04-08-24	vsMIL	8-10W	5.7	9	6	6	Over
04-02-24	@PHI	4-9L	6.0	4	3	5	Over
09-01-23	vsCHC	6-2L	5.0	6	3	6	Push
08-27-23	@ARI	2-5L	6.7	7	2	5	Under
08-22-23	@LAA	4-3W	7.0	5	3	10	Under
08-15-23	vsCLE	3-0L	7.0	7	3	2	Under
08-09-23	vsMIA	5-4L	7.0	3	1	7	Over

Joe Musgrove

ERA 6.124 | IP 32.3 | 3.0W-3.0L | KO 25.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-26-24	vsPHI	9-3L	3.7	8	7	4	Over
04-21-24	vsTOR	3-6W	7.0	5	3	3	Over
04-15-24	@MIL	7-3W	6.0	7	3	3	Over
04-09-24	vsCHC	5-1L	4.0	5	4	5	Under
04-03-24	vsSTL	2-3W	6.0	5	1	7	Under
03-29-24	vsSF	8-3L	5.7	8	4	3	Over
07-28-23	vsTEX	1-7W	6.0	4	0	5	Push
07-23-23	@DET	1-3L	6.0	7	3	6	Under
07-18-23	@TOR	9-1W	6.0	5	1	7	Over
07-04-23	vsLAA	5-8W	7.0	3	1	11	Over

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/02	vs SD	4-6L	8	2	Over
05/01	vs SD	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/30	vs TEX	3-4L	6	0	Under
04/29	vs TEX	8-4W	10	2	Over
04/28	vs TEX	1-2L	3	0	Under
04/27	@ PHI	0-5L	3	0	Under
04/26	@ PHI	7-4W	10	1	Over
04/25	@ PHI	8-1W	9	2	Over
04/24	@ PHI	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/23	@ LAA	3-0W	5	0	Under
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Push
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over

Padres Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/02	@ CIN	6-4W	10	0	Over
05/01	@ CIN	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/30	@ PHI	6-8L	9	2	Over
04/29	@ PHI	1-5L	3	1	Under
04/28	@ PHI	3-9L	7	1	Over
04/27	vs COL	9-10L	11	2	Over
04/26	vs COL	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/25	vs COL	4-7L	12	0	Over
04/24	vs COL	3-1W	9	0	Under
04/23	@ TOR	6-3W	6	1	Over
04/22	@ TOR	2-5L	9	0	Under
04/21	@ TOR	1-5L	5	1	Under
04/19	vs MIL	0-1L	5	0	Under
04/18	vs MIL	6-3W	10	1	Over
04/17	vs MIL	7-3W	12	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Will Benson	8.8	11.5	0.214	0.437	32.0%	75.7%	3.9%
#2 Elly De La Cruz	8.9	11.7	0.279	0.577	45.2%	102.9%	7.7%
#3 Spencer Steer	8.2	11.0	0.252	0.43	43.9%	86.9%	2.8%
#4 Jake Fraley	8.3	10.7	0.276	0.397	37.9%	77.6%	1.7%
#5 Jonathan India	7.8	10.3	0.228	0.304	41.3%	71.7%	1.1%
#6 Nick Martini	7.1	9.7	0.194	0.361	23.6%	59.7%	4.2%
#7 Santiago Espinal	6.2	8.2	0.182	0.242	27.3%	51.5%	1.5%
#8 Jeimer Candelario	7.0	9.4	0.189	0.378	32.2%	70.0%	3.3%
#9 Luke Maile	5.8	7.7	0.175	0.275	30.0%	57.5%	2.5%

San Diego Padres	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jurickson Profar	8.0	10.6	0.317	0.515	47.5%	99.0%	4.0%
#2 Fernando Tatis Jr.	9.6	12.7	0.229	0.441	35.6%	79.7%	5.1%
#3 Jake Cronenworth	7.5	10.0	0.245	0.425	36.8%	79.2%	3.8%
#4 Manny Machado	9.0	11.6	0.248	0.367	30.3%	67.0%	2.8%
#5 Xander Bogaerts	7.5	9.7	0.2	0.275	29.2%	56.7%	1.7%
#6 Jackson Merrill	6.8	8.7	0.283	0.359	38.0%	73.9%	1.1%
#7 Luis Campusano	6.2	8.2	0.276	0.402	33.3%	73.6%	2.3%
#8 Ha-Seong Kim	6.8	9.0	0.229	0.413	38.5%	79.8%	3.7%
#9 Graham Pauley	5.2	7.1	0.143	0.357	14.3%	50.0%	7.1%