Guardians vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Get ready to slide into the excitement as the Cleveland Guardians, boasting an 18W-8L record, gear up to clash with the equally formidable Atlanta Braves, standing strong at 18W-6L, in a thrilling showdown at Truist Park. With the first pitch scheduled to zip across the plate at 01:35 PM EST, both teams are neck-and-neck at the top of their respective conferences, making today’s matchup a critical battle for dominance. The stakes are high, the lines are drawn with the Braves favored slightly in the betting world, and the over/under teasing us at a tantalizing 9.0. As the weather plays nice with a partly cloudy sky and a gentle breeze from the SSE, will the Guardians shield their lead, or will the Braves swing their way back from yesterday’s narrow defeat? It’s all set for a game where Guardians will need to guard their turf while the Braves aim to brave the storm!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 01:35PM EST

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSE at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 64.9° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+154	-186	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+146	-178	9.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-8	+8	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

128W-127L

40.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

156W-96L

59.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-1.0
04/26/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	6	Under	-1.0
04/27/24	Cleveland Guardians CLE	4	Under	-3.0
04/27/24	Atlanta Braves ATL	2	Under	-3.0
07/03/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	4	Under	-3.0
07/03/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	2	Under	-3.0
07/04/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	5	Over	+2.0
07/04/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	6	Over	+2.0
07/05/23	Atlanta Braves ATL	8	Push	-0.0
07/05/23	Cleveland Guardians CLE	1	Push	-0.0

Guardians Vs Over/Under

Braves Vs Over/Under

Ben Lively

ERA 2.382 | IP 11.3 | 0.0W-1.0L | KO 14.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	vsBOS	1-4W	6.3	5	1	7	Under
04-17-24	@BOS	0-2L	5.0	3	2	7	Under
09-30-23	@STL	6-15W	2.7	2	1	0	Over
09-27-23	vsCLE	3-4W	1.0	0	0	2	Under
09-19-23	@MIN	7-0L	4.0	7	5	4	Under
09-14-23	@DET	2-8W	4.3	4	3	4	Over
08-26-23	@ARI	8-7L	5.7	6	3	5	Over
08-01-23	@CHC	9-20W	4.0	13	13	2	Over
07-26-23	@MIL	0-3W	6.7	8	2	3	Under
07-21-23	@ARI	6-9W	4.7	4	3	6	Over

Bryce Elder

ERA 0.0 | IP 6.7 | 1.0W-0.0L | KO 4.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	vsMIA	0-3W	6.7	8	0	4	Under
09-26-23	vsCHC	6-7W	3.7	7	5	2	Over
09-20-23	vsPHI	6-5L	3.7	3	4	0	Over
09-15-23	@MIA	6-9L	5.0	9	4	6	Over
09-08-23	vsPIT	2-8W	7.0	4	2	9	Over
09-02-23	@LAD	4-2W	6.0	5	1	4	Under
08-28-23	@COL	14-4W	6.0	8	4	4	Over
08-22-23	vsNYM	2-3W	5.3	2	1	3	Under
08-15-23	vsNYY	0-5W	7.0	1	0	3	Under
08-10-23	@PIT	5-7L	5.0	6	5	5	Over

Guardians Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	vs ATL	3-2W	3	0	Under
04/28	vs ATL	2-6L	5	1	Under
04/27	@ BOS	5-4W	8	2	Push
04/26	@ BOS	0-8L	4	0	Under
04/25	@ BOS	4-1W	7	1	Under
04/23	@ OAK	6-2W	7	1	Under
04/22	@ OAK	6-3W	14	1	Push
04/21	@ OAK	10-2W	9	2	Over
04/20	vs BOS	5-4W	8	0	Push
04/19	vs BOS	0-2L	3	0	Under
04/18	vs BOS	10-7W	14	1	Over
04/17	vs BOS	6-0W	9	1	Under
04/16	@ NYY	8-7W	9	3	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-8L	7	2	Over
04/15	@ NYY	2-3L	5	0	Under

Braves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/29	@ CLE	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/28	@ CLE	6-2W	8	1	Under
04/26	@ MIA	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/25	@ MIA	5-0W	10	1	Under
04/24	@ MIA	3-0W	8	1	Under
04/23	@ TEX	4-6L	5	1	Over
04/22	@ TEX	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	@ TEX	8-3W	6	4	Over
04/19	vs HOU	5-4W	7	2	Push
04/18	vs HOU	6-2W	11	1	Under
04/17	vs HOU	6-1W	11	0	Under
04/16	vs MIA	9-7W	12	2	Over
04/15	vs MIA	1-5L	6	0	Under
04/14	vs MIA	8-1W	14	1	Push
04/13	@ NYM	4-16L	10	0	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Cleveland Guardians	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Steven Kwan	8.8	11.0	0.348	0.473	40.2%	87.5%	2.7%
#2 Andres Gimenez	8.2	10.9	0.25	0.323	36.5%	68.8%	0.0%
#3 Jose Ramirez	9.4	12.6	0.255	0.455	27.3%	72.7%	4.5%
#4 Josh Naylor	8.3	11.1	0.277	0.521	41.5%	93.6%	6.4%
#5 Will Brennan	6.8	9.0	0.235	0.426	32.4%	75.0%	4.4%
#6 Tyler Freeman	6.4	8.7	0.213	0.387	34.7%	73.3%	4.0%
#7 Estevan Florial	6.5	8.5	0.222	0.444	35.6%	80.0%	4.4%
#8 Bo Naylor	6.1	8.0	0.194	0.306	35.5%	66.1%	3.2%
#9 Brayan Rocchio	5.2	6.8	0.197	0.289	30.3%	59.2%	0.0%

Atlanta Braves	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Ronald Acuna Jr.	11.2	14.6	0.277	0.362	50.0%	86.2%	1.1%
#2 Ozzie Albies	9.9	13.2	0.319	0.5	41.7%	91.7%	2.8%
#3 Austin Riley	9.2	12.4	0.225	0.382	33.3%	71.6%	2.0%
#4 Matt Olson	10.0	13.6	0.217	0.424	39.1%	81.5%	3.3%
#5 Marcell Ozuna	8.7	11.8	0.354	0.698	47.9%	117.7%	9.4%
#6 Orlando Arcia	6.9	8.7	0.309	0.468	36.2%	83.0%	2.1%
#7 Michael Harris II	10.6	13.4	0.324	0.486	37.1%	85.7%	2.9%
#8 Jarred Kelenic	7.6	9.5	0.315	0.37	42.6%	79.6%	0.0%
#9 Chadwick Tromp	5.5	7.3	0.261	0.391	30.4%	69.6%	0.0%