Astros vs Cubs Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024

Get ready for a clash of titans under the moody skies of Wrigley Field as the struggling Houston Astros, trying to find their groove, roll into the Windy City to face the surging Chicago Cubs tonight at 07:40 PM EST. The stakes are high with the Astros looking to claw back from a significant deficit in the American League, while the Cubs are nipping at the heels of the conference lead, just a whisper away from the top spot. With the betting lines nearly neck and neck and an over/under that promises some scoreboard action, this game is shaping up to be a nail-biter. Fresh off their recent head-to-head, where the Cubs showed their claws with a solid victory, both teams are set to battle it out again amidst gusty northern winds and a chill that’ll keep the hot dogs hot and the beers even better. As these two teams take the field, it’s not just a game; it’s a chance for the Astros to shoot for the stars and the Cubs to bear down for another win.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 24, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Overcast with winds from the NNE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 39.9° with 65% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-108	-112	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-105	-115	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+3	-3	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

146W-107L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

125W-122L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/23/24	Houston Astros HOU	2	Over	+1.0
04/23/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.0
05/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Over	+2.0
05/15/23	Houston Astros HOU	6	Over	+2.0
05/16/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	3	Over	+2.0
05/16/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+2.0
05/17/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+5.0
05/17/23	Houston Astros HOU	7	Over	+5.0

Astros Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Luis Garcia

ERA N/A | IP 0 | 0W-0L | KO 0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	@CHC	2-7L	5.0	5	5	6	Over
04-17-24	vsATL	5-4L	5.0	4	2	4	Over
04-12-24	vsTEX	12-8L	4.0	8	8	3	Over
04-06-24	@TEX	2-7L	5.7	8	3	4	Over
03-31-24	vsNYY	4-3L	5.7	6	3	5	Under
09-23-23	vsKC	3-2L	5.0	7	3	5	Under
09-16-23	@KC	8-10L	4.3	5	5	0	Over
09-10-23	vsSD	2-12W	6.0	4	1	5	Over
09-04-23	@TEX	13-6W	5.0	6	5	5	Over
08-29-23	@BOS	6-2W	5.7	5	2	3	Push
04-15-24	vsATL	6-1L	4.0	4	2	5	Under
04-10-24	@KC	2-11L	3.0	7	7	3	Over

Jordan Wicks

ERA 4.696 | IP 23.0 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 28.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	vsMIA	3-8W	5.0	3	1	4	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	4.0	3	0	3	Over
09-27-23	@ATL	5-6L	6.0	3	2	3	Over
09-22-23	vsCOL	0-6W	6.0	4	0	7	Under
09-13-23	@COL	3-7L	5.0	7	5	5	Over
09-08-23	vsARI	1-0L	6.0	1	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CIN	15-7W	5.7	7	5	7	Over
08-28-23	vsMIL	6-2L	6.0	9	5	6	Push
08-23-23	@DET	6-4W	5.7	4	4	6	Over
08-18-23	vsKC	4-3L	6.0	6	4	3	Under
04-23-24	vsHOU	2-7W	6.0	5	2	4	Over
04-17-24	@ARI	5-3W	4.3	5	2	5	Push
04-12-24	@SEA	2-4L	4.0	5	4	6	Under
04-06-24	vsLAD	4-1L	4.7	6	2	7	Under
03-31-24	@TEX	9-5W	4.0	5	5	6	Over
09-30-23	@MIL	10-6W	1.7	6	6	1	Over
09-24-23	vsCOL	3-4W	6.0	4	3	3	Under
09-17-23	@ARI	2-6L	4.3	4	3	5	Push
09-11-23	@COL	5-4W	6.0	3	1	2	Over
09-06-23	vsSF	2-8W	6.7	9	2	1	Over

Astros Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	vs CHC	2-7L	6	1	Over
04/23	vs WAS	0-6L	4	0	Under
04/22	vs WAS	4-5L	9	0	Over
04/21	vs WAS	5-3W	13	0	Push
04/19	@ ATL	4-5L	9	2	Over
04/18	@ ATL	2-6L	7	1	Push
04/17	@ ATL	1-6L	7	0	Under
04/16	@ TEX	8-5W	10	2	Over
04/15	@ TEX	9-2W	14	0	Over
04/14	@ TEX	8-12L	11	2	Over
04/13	vs KC	3-13L	11	1	Over
04/12	vs KC	2-11L	9	0	Over
04/11	vs KC	3-3L	14	0	Under
04/10	vs TEX	10-5W	11	2	Over
04/09	vs TEX	3-1W	4	1	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	@ HOU	7-2W	6	3	Over
04/23	@ MIA	3-6L	8	0	Over
04/22	@ MIA	2-3L	7	0	Under
04/22	@ MIA	5-3W	7	2	Push
04/21	@ MIA	8-3W	10	0	Over
04/19	vs ARI	5-3W	9	1	Push
04/18	vs ARI	11-11L	14	1	Over
04/17	vs ARI	3-2W	9	1	Under
04/16	vs SEA	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/15	vs SEA	4-1W	6	3	Under
04/14	vs SEA	2-4L	4	1	Under
04/12	vs SD	2-10L	3	1	Over
04/11	vs SD	5-1W	9	2	Under
04/10	vs SD	8-9L	8	0	Over
04/09	@ LAD	8-1W	7	1	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Houston Astros	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jose Altuve	11.4	14.4	0.357	0.592	46.9%	106.1%	5.1%
#2 Yordan Alvarez	12.5	16.4	0.277	0.468	40.4%	87.2%	5.3%
#3 Kyle Tucker	11.6	15.4	0.286	0.527	47.3%	100.0%	5.5%
#4 Alex Bregman	9.9	12.6	0.203	0.266	32.9%	59.5%	0.0%
#5 Yainer Diaz	9.0	11.5	0.287	0.437	35.6%	79.3%	3.4%
#6 Jeremy Pena	8.9	11.0	0.33	0.447	37.2%	81.9%	2.1%
#7 Chas McCormick	9.0	11.6	0.246	0.292	38.5%	67.7%	0.0%
#8 Luis Garcia	7.5	7.5	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#8 Jose Abreu	7.9	9.8	0.081	0.097	16.1%	25.8%	0.0%
#9 Mauricio Dubon	5.1	6.7	0.294	0.412	33.3%	74.5%	2.0%
#9 Jake Meyers	6.4	8.5	0.227	0.477	29.5%	77.3%	6.8%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Nico Hoerner	8.8	11.7	0.259	0.358	42.0%	77.8%	0.0%
#2 Ian Happ	9.0	12.3	0.231	0.359	41.0%	76.9%	1.3%
#3 Cody Bellinger	8.2	11.0	0.226	0.44	36.9%	81.0%	6.0%
#4 Michael Busch	8.2	10.9	0.292	0.583	41.7%	100.0%	8.3%
#5 Christopher Morel	9.0	12.1	0.2	0.353	31.8%	67.1%	3.5%
#6 Dansby Swanson	8.1	10.6	0.235	0.37	35.8%	72.8%	2.5%
#7 Mike Tauchman	7.0	9.4	0.283	0.491	47.2%	96.2%	3.8%
#9 Miguel Amaya	5.9	7.8	0.273	0.432	38.6%	81.8%	2.3%
#9 Yan Gomes	5.5	6.9	0.176	0.294	17.6%	47.1%	2.9%