Dodgers vs Twins Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, grab your peanuts and Cracker Jacks because we’re headed to the heart of the Midwest for a showdown between the red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers and the scrappy Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The Dodgers, boasting a stellar 9-4 record, are looking to extend their winning streak, while the Twins, sitting at 3-5, are eager to turn the tide and close the 4-game gap in the American League. Tonight’s first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 7:40 PM EST, under a partly cloudy sky with a cool breeze blowing in from the West. For you betting enthusiasts, the over/under is chilling at 4.5, with the Dodgers favored at -186 and the Twins trailing at +154. Fresh off their recent face-off, where the Dodgers claimed victory over the Twins, both teams are charged up and ready for a rematch. So, whether you’re a ‘Dodger’ of responsibility or a ‘Twin’ for punishment, this game promises to be a home run of a night!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Target Field, Minnesota

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 6.9 mph. Temperature is at 44.1° with 82% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	LAD ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-186	+154	8.5	-0.5/0.5
Recent	-193	+158	8.5	-0.5/0.5
Difference	-7	+4	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

150W-96L

65.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

128W-111L

34.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/08/24	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	4	Over	+1.5
04/08/24	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Over	+1.5
05/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	8	Over	+12.5
05/15/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	9	Over	+12.5
05/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+1.5
05/16/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	1	Over	+1.5
05/17/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	3	Over	+5.5
05/17/23	Los Angeles Dodgers LAD	7	Over	+5.5

Dodgers Vs Over/Under

Twins Vs Over/Under

James Paxton

ERA 4.5 | IP 96.0 | 7.0W-5.0L | KO 101.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-03-24	vsSF	4-5W	6.0	4	3	7	Over
03-28-24	vsSTL	1-7W	6.0	2	1	5	Under
09-27-23	@BOS	5-0L	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-22-23	@TOR	6-2L	5.3	3	4	7	Under
09-16-23	@BAL	0-8W	4.0	8	6	4	Under
09-11-23	@MIN	7-4L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
09-06-23	@BOS	1-3W	6.0	3	1	14	Under
09-01-23	@CLE	2-3W	7.0	7	3	6	Under
08-26-23	@NYY	0-3W	6.0	1	0	4	Under
08-19-23	@LAA	6-7W	6.0	8	7	7	Over
04-08-24	@MIN	4-2W	6.0	3	2	4	Under
04-01-24	vsSF	3-8W	5.0	4	0	5	Over
09-01-23	@KC	2-13W	1.3	5	6	0	Over
08-26-23	@LAD	5-8L	4.3	4	4	4	Over
08-21-23	@HOU	4-9W	4.0	9	7	4	Over
08-16-23	@WAS	2-6W	6.0	5	2	3	Under
08-10-23	@KC	0-2W	5.3	6	0	6	Under
08-04-23	@TOR	7-3L	5.0	9	4	4	Over
07-29-23	@SF	2-3W	5.0	8	1	5	Under
07-22-23	@NYM	6-8W	6.0	3	3	7	Over

Bailey Ober

ERA 3.43 | IP 144.3 | 8.0W-6.0L | KO 146.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-02-24	@MIL	2-3L	4.0	6	3	4	Under
09-28-23	vsOAK	2-1L	1.7	0	0	3	Under
09-24-23	vsLAA	3-9W	1.0	1	0	2	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-15-23	@CWS	10-2W	2.0	1	0	4	Over
09-12-23	vsTB	2-3W	2.3	1	0	3	Under
09-09-23	vsNYM	4-8W	1.0	2	2	2	Over
09-06-23	@CLE	1-2L	3.0	1	0	2	Under
06-18-23	vsDET	6-4L	4.3	9	6	4	Over
06-11-23	@TOR	6-7L	4.7	6	4	6	Over
04-08-24	vsLAD	4-2L	5.0	3	1	7	Under
03-31-24	@KC	0-11L	1.3	9	8	1	Over
10-01-23	@COL	2-3L	6.7	2	1	9	Under
09-26-23	vsOAK	3-11W	5.0	2	0	8	Over
09-20-23	@CIN	5-3W	5.0	3	2	3	Under
09-15-23	@CWS	10-2W	5.0	5	2	6	Over
08-27-23	vsTEX	6-7W	4.0	5	5	4	Over
08-22-23	@MIL	3-7L	5.0	2	2	3	Over
08-15-23	vsDET	3-5W	5.0	4	2	6	Under
08-09-23	@DET	5-9L	5.0	11	5	9	Over

Dodgers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/10	vs MIN	4-2W	10	2	Under
04/09	vs CHC	1-8L	4	0	Over
04/08	vs CHC	4-1W	9	0	Under
04/07	vs CHC	7-9L	12	1	Over
04/05	@ SF	5-4W	9	2	Over
04/04	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/03	@ SF	8-3W	9	1	Over
04/02	@ STL	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/01	@ STL	5-6L	14	1	Over
03/31	@ STL	6-3W	7	4	Over
03/30	@ STL	7-1W	10	2	Under
10/03	vs SF	5-2W	7	1	Under
10/02	vs SF	1-2L	8	0	Under
10/01	vs SF	6-2W	6	3	Under
09/30	vs COL	5-14L	12	2	Over

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under
10/03	vs COL	2-2L	9	0	Under
10/02	vs COL	14-6W	12	4	Over
10/01	vs COL	7-6W	13	3	Over
09/30	@ OAK	1-2L	4	0	Under
09/29	@ OAK	6-4W	13	2	Over
09/28	@ OAK	11-3W	8	2	Over
09/26	@ LAA	9-3W	10	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Los Angeles Dodgers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mookie Betts	10.9	14.6	0.307	0.579	48.5%	106.3%	6.7%
#2 Shohei Ohtani	10.5	14.5	0.304	0.654	49.3%	114.7%	8.9%
#3 Freddie Freeman	9.3	12.2	0.333	0.568	47.1%	103.9%	4.6%
#4 Will Smith	8.7	11.7	0.261	0.438	42.9%	86.6%	4.1%
#5 Max Muncy	8.2	11.4	0.212	0.475	40.0%	87.6%	7.5%
#6 Teoscar Hernandez	8.8	11.5	0.257	0.434	33.0%	76.4%	4.2%
#7 Gavin Lux	nan	9.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#8 James Outman	7.1	9.4	0.248	0.437	41.4%	85.1%	4.8%
#9 Taylor Trammell	4.8	6.9	0.13	0.326	34.8%	67.4%	6.5%

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Edouard Julien	6.9	9.2	0.257	0.442	45.4%	89.6%	4.5%
#1 Manuel Margot	7.6	9.8	0.264	0.376	33.4%	71.1%	1.3%
#2 Carlos Correa	7.9	10.4	0.23	0.4	35.1%	75.0%	3.5%
#3 Ryan Jeffers	7.9	10.4	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#3 Alex Kirilloff	7.0	9.2	0.271	0.444	39.7%	84.1%	4.0%
#4 Byron Buxton	8.7	11.7	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#5 Max Kepler	6.3	8.4	0.263	0.488	37.6%	86.4%	5.5%
#6 Kyle Farmer	6.6	8.7	0.254	0.406	34.3%	74.9%	3.3%
#7 Christian Vazquez	5.3	6.9	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%
#7 Matt Wallner	6.4	8.7	0.249	0.507	44.1%	94.8%	6.6%
#8 Carlos Santana	5.9	7.9	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#9 Willi Castro	5.7	7.4	0.258	0.413	38.8%	80.1%	2.5%
#9 Austin Martin	nan	6.3	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%

Dodgers Notable Injuries

Jason Heyward OUT (OF): Avg: 0.269 SLG:0.473 Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 1.1

Twins Notable Injuries

Royce Lewis OUT (3B): Avg: 0.309 SLG:0.548 Last game: 03/30/24. Impact: 4.8
Daniel Duarte OUT (RP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 1.4