Marlins vs Braves Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024
Marlins
6W-19L
April 24, 2024
07:20PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Braves
16W-6L
Get ready for an epic showdown at Truist Park tonight as the underdog Miami Marlins, swimming upstream with a 6-19 record, dive into the deep end against the high-flying Atlanta Braves, who are sitting pretty at the top of the National League with a 16-6 record. The first pitch is set to soar at 07:20 PM EST, under a partly cloudy sky with a brisk breeze, perfect baseball weather. With the Marlins trying to claw back from a significant deficit in the standings and the Braves looking to continue their dominant streak, including a recent 5-0 victory over Miami just yesterday, the stakes are sky-high. Vegas has the over/under at 9.0, hinting at some potential scoreboard fireworks. So, as the Marlins try to fish for a win and the Braves aim to keep chopping away, tonight’s game is sure to scale new heights of excitement!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 24, 2024 07:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 63.0° with 65% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIA ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +190 | -230 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +190 | -230 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
34.5% Win Probability
65.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 8 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 04/13/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 04/14/24 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 9 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 04/22/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 3 | ||||
| 04/23/24 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 5 | ||||
| 04/24/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 11 | ||||
| 04/25/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
| 04/26/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
| 04/27/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 4 | ||||
| 05/02/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | ||||
| 05/03/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 14 | Over | +11.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | ||||
| 05/04/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 06/30/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +11.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 16 | ||||
| 07/01/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 0 | Under | -2.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 7 | ||||
| 07/02/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Push | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | ||||
| 09/15/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 6 | Over | +6.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 9 | ||||
| 09/16/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 5 | Over | +7.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 11 | ||||
| 09/17/23 | Atlanta Braves ATL | 2 | Over | +9.0 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 16 |
Marlins Vs Over/Under
Braves Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23-24 | @ATL | 0-5L | 5.7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | vsSF | 3-1L | 5.7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Under |
| 04-12-24 | vsATL | 8-1L | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | Push |
| 04-06-24 | @STL | 1-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | vsPIT | 9-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 6 | Over |
| 04-19-23 | vsSF | 5-2L | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Under |
| 04-14-23 | vsARI | 1-5W | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-08-23 | @NYM | 2-5L | 4.7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 04-02-23 | vsNYM | 5-1L | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Under |
| 09-17-22 | vsWAS | 5-1L | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Under |
| 04-20-24 | @CHC | 3-5L | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | vsSF | 3-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | vsATL | 9-7L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | @NYY | 2-3L | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Under |
| 04-04-24 | @STL | 5-8L | 0.3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | vsPIT | 9-3L | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Over |
| 03-28-24 | vsPIT | 6-5L | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23-24 | vsMIA | 0-5W | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | @HOU | 5-4W | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | Push |
| 04-12-24 | @MIA | 8-1W | 6.3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Push |
| 04-06-24 | vsARI | 8-9W | 4.3 | 10 | 8 | 5 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | @PHI | 12-4W | 0.7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 09-21-23 | @WAS | 10-3W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | @PHI | 7-6W | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | Over |
| 09-07-23 | vsSTL | 5-8W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 09-01-23 | @LAD | 6-3W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | Push |
| 08-26-23 | @SF | 7-3W | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Over |
| 04-16-24 | @HOU | 6-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Under |
| 04-09-24 | vsNYM | 5-6W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | Over |
| 04-02-24 | @CWS | 2-3L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 09-29-23 | @DET | 7-5L | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 09-27-23 | @CIN | 3-4W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 09-22-23 | @BAL | 8-9W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 09-21-23 | @BAL | 2-5W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Under |
| 09-18-23 | @KC | 4-6W | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | @TEX | 1-2W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 09-12-23 | @SF | 3-1L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/25 | vs ATL | 0-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/24 | vs ATL | 0-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs CHC | 6-3W | 11 | 1 | Push |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-5L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | vs CHC | 3-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ SF | 1-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ SF | 6-3W | 8 | 0 | Push |
| 04/17 | @ SF | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ ATL | 7-9L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ ATL | 5-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ ATL | 1-8L | 6 | 0 | Push |
| 04/12 | vs NYY | 5-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/11 | vs NYY | 2-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/10 | vs NYY | 0-7L | 2 | 0 | Under |
Braves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/25 | @ MIA | 5-0W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/24 | @ MIA | 3-0W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ TEX | 4-6L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ TEX | 5-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ TEX | 8-3W | 6 | 4 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs HOU | 5-4W | 7 | 2 | Push |
| 04/18 | vs HOU | 6-2W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/17 | vs HOU | 6-1W | 11 | 0 | Under |
| 04/16 | vs MIA | 9-7W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | vs MIA | 1-5L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs MIA | 8-1W | 14 | 1 | Push |
| 04/13 | @ NYM | 4-16L | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/11 | @ NYM | 6-5W | 11 | 0 | Over |
| 04/10 | @ NYM | 7-8L | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ ARI | 5-2W | 7 | 3 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
7.7 | 9.5 | 0.284 | 0.353 | 37.3% | 72.5% | 0.0% |
| 6.9 | 8.8 | 0.262 | 0.447 | 29.1% | 73.8% | 4.9% | |
|
#3
Josh Bell
|
6.9 | 9.3 | 0.187 | 0.319 | 33.0% | 64.8% | 3.3% |
| 7.1 | 8.7 | 0.229 | 0.375 | 25.0% | 62.5% | 4.2% | |
| 6.4 | 8.3 | 0.236 | 0.36 | 36.0% | 71.9% | 2.2% | |
| 7.5 | 9.6 | 0.218 | 0.273 | 27.3% | 54.5% | 1.8% | |
|
#6
Tim Anderson
|
6.6 | 8.0 | 0.241 | 0.266 | 29.1% | 55.7% | 0.0% |
|
#7
Nick Gordon
|
6.4 | 8.7 | 0.22 | 0.44 | 28.0% | 72.0% | 6.0% |
| 5.7 | 7.0 | 0.233 | 0.233 | 37.2% | 60.5% | 0.0% | |
|
#8
Otto Lopez
|
5.2 | 6.5 | 0.154 | 0.154 | 15.4% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
4.8 | 6.2 | 0.109 | 0.152 | 17.4% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Atlanta Braves | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2 | 14.5 | 0.302 | 0.395 | 50.0% | 89.5% | 1.2% | |
| 8.5 | 10.8 | 0.317 | 0.463 | 37.8% | 84.1% | 1.2% | |
|
#3
Austin Riley
|
9.1 | 12.1 | 0.253 | 0.429 | 36.3% | 79.1% | 2.2% |
|
#4
Matt Olson
|
7.9 | 10.8 | 0.212 | 0.424 | 37.6% | 80.0% | 3.5% |
| 8.8 | 11.9 | 0.326 | 0.674 | 45.3% | 112.8% | 10.5% | |
| 7.4 | 10.1 | 0.293 | 0.655 | 39.7% | 105.2% | 8.6% | |
|
#7
Adam Duvall
|
7.4 | 10.3 | 0.216 | 0.405 | 37.8% | 78.4% | 5.4% |
| 7.7 | 9.7 | 0.315 | 0.478 | 37.0% | 84.8% | 3.3% | |
| 7.6 | 9.5 | 0.319 | 0.383 | 44.7% | 83.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5.1 | 6.6 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4.7 | 7.2 | 0.188 | 0.312 | 25.0% | 56.2% | 0.0% |
Marlins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Braves Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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