Brewers vs Cubs Game Breakdown
Brewers
19W-11L
May 03, 2024
02:20PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Cubs
19W-13L
Get ready for an electrifying showdown at Wrigley Field as the Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a solid 19-11 record, slide into Chicago to face the 19-13 Cubs in a clash that’s all about National League bragging rights. With the first pitch at 02:20 PM EST, the stakes are as high as the skyscrapers in the Windy City, especially with the Brewers just a whisker away from the top spot and the Cubs hot on their heels. The betting lines are buzzing with the Brewers at 109 and the Cubs favored slightly at -131, set against an over/under of 7.5. Today’s weather might throw in a light drizzle with a breeze from the north, but it’s the recent performances that hint at the real storm brewing; the Brewers are coming off a thunderous 7-1 victory over Tampa Bay, while the Cubs look to rebound from a narrow 6-7 heartbreaker against the Mets. So, as the Cubs try to claw back and the Brewers aim to brew up a storm, today’s game is all set to be a classic duel of hops versus claws!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 03, 2024 02:20PM EST
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Weather: Light drizzle with winds from the NNW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 59.0° with 87% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| MIL ML | CHC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +109 | -131 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +104 | -124 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -5 | +7 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
49.0% Win Probability
51.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/30/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 0 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | ||||
| 10/01/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 0 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 4 | ||||
| 04/01/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 1 | ||||
| 04/02/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 9 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 | ||||
| 07/03/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 6 | Over | +6.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 8 | ||||
| 07/04/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 7 | Over | +5.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 | ||||
| 07/05/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 4 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 3 | ||||
| 07/06/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 5 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 | ||||
| 08/28/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 2 | ||||
| 08/29/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 0 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 1 | ||||
| 08/30/23 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 2 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | ||||
| 09/29/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 4 | ||||
| 09/30/23 | Chicago Cubs CHC | 10 | Over | +8.5 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers MIL | 6 |
Brewers Vs Over/Under
Cubs Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27-24 | vsNYY | 15-3L | 5.0 | 8 | 7 | 5 | Over |
| 04-22-24 | @PIT | 2-4L | 5.3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 04-15-24 | vsSD | 7-3L | 4.7 | 9 | 7 | 4 | Over |
| 04-09-24 | @CIN | 9-5W | 6.3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 04-03-24 | vsMIN | 7-3L | 3.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 08-11-21 | vsNYM | 7-3L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | Over |
| 08-05-21 | vsPHI | 7-3L | 6.3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 07-31-21 | vsCHC | 7-3L | 4.3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 07-26-21 | vsPHI | 7-3L | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | Over |
| 07-04-21 | vsLAD | 7-3L | 6.7 | 7 | 3 | 11 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28-24 | @BOS | 4-5L | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 04-25-24 | vsHOU | 1-3W | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | @ARI | 5-3W | 4.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @MIL | 10-6W | 1.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 09-28-23 | @ATL | 3-5L | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Over |
| 09-22-23 | vsCOL | 0-6W | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Under |
| 09-20-23 | vsPIT | 13-7L | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | @ARI | 6-7L | 0.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Over |
| 09-13-23 | @COL | 3-7L | 1.3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | @COL | 4-6L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
Brewers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03 | @ TB | 7-1W | 10 | 2 | Over |
| 05/02 | @ TB | 8-2W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 05/01 | @ TB | 0-1L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/30 | @ NYY | 5-15L | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/29 | @ NYY | 3-15L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 04/28 | @ NYY | 7-6W | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/27 | vs PIT | 7-5W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 04/26 | vs PIT | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs PIT | 1-2L | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04/24 | vs PIT | 2-4L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs STL | 2-0W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs STL | 12-5W | 18 | 3 | Over |
| 04/21 | vs STL | 2-1W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 04/19 | @ SD | 1-0W | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ SD | 3-6L | 6 | 0 | Over |
Cubs Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04 | vs NYM | 6-7L | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 05/03 | vs NYM | 1-0W | 5 | 0 | Under |
| 05/02 | vs NYM | 2-4L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 05/01 | vs NYM | 3-1W | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | vs BOS | 4-5L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 04/29 | vs BOS | 0-17L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 04/28 | vs BOS | 7-1W | 14 | 0 | Over |
| 04/27 | @ HOU | 3-1W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ HOU | 4-3W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | @ HOU | 7-2W | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 04/23 | @ MIA | 3-6L | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 5-3W | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 04/22 | @ MIA | 2-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/21 | @ MIA | 8-3W | 10 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | vs ARI | 5-3W | 9 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Milwaukee Brewers | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Sal Frelick
|
8.2 | 10.4 | 0.25 | 0.298 | 36.5% | 66.3% | 0.0% |
| 10.4 | 13.8 | 0.353 | 0.546 | 49.6% | 104.2% | 4.2% | |
|
#3
Willy Adames
|
7.4 | 9.9 | 0.278 | 0.496 | 43.5% | 93.0% | 5.2% |
|
#4
Tyler Black
|
6.5 | 7.9 | 0.429 | 0.714 | 42.9% | 114.3% | 0.0% |
|
#5
Rhys Hoskins
|
7.3 | 9.9 | 0.228 | 0.455 | 38.6% | 84.2% | 5.9% |
|
#6
Brice Turang
|
6.3 | 8.0 | 0.309 | 0.433 | 41.2% | 84.5% | 2.1% |
|
#7
Joey Ortiz
|
5.5 | 7.2 | 0.266 | 0.406 | 46.9% | 87.5% | 1.6% |
| 6.1 | 8.0 | 0.277 | 0.434 | 44.6% | 88.0% | 3.6% | |
| 5.2 | 6.8 | 0.206 | 0.351 | 27.8% | 62.9% | 4.1% |
| Chicago Cubs | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Nico Hoerner
|
7.4 | 9.5 | 0.263 | 0.347 | 39.8% | 74.6% | 0.0% |
| 7.5 | 10.1 | 0.289 | 0.482 | 51.8% | 100.0% | 3.6% | |
|
#3
Ian Happ
|
7.6 | 10.2 | 0.202 | 0.294 | 38.5% | 67.9% | 0.9% |
| 7.9 | 10.6 | 0.209 | 0.383 | 32.2% | 70.4% | 4.3% | |
| 7.5 | 10.0 | 0.262 | 0.485 | 36.9% | 85.4% | 5.8% | |
| 7.2 | 9.4 | 0.232 | 0.357 | 33.0% | 68.8% | 2.7% | |
|
#7
Matt Mervis
|
3.6 | 7.8 | 0.13 | 0.174 | 17.4% | 34.8% | 0.0% |
|
#8
Miguel Amaya
|
5.5 | 7.4 | 0.203 | 0.322 | 32.2% | 64.4% | 1.7% |
| 5.5 | 7.3 | 0.292 | 0.5 | 29.2% | 79.2% | 4.2% |
Brewers Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Cubs Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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