Twins vs Tigers Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, buckle up for a clash of the titans in the American League today as the Minnesota Twins, currently sporting a 4W-6L record, roll into the Motor City to face off against the roaring 7W-4L Detroit Tigers at the iconic Comerica Park. The first pitch is set to sizzle across the plate at 06:40PM EST, with the Twins trailing by a hefty 4.0 games in the conference, while the Tigers are hot on their heels, just 1.5 games behind. The betting lines are buzzing, with the over/under at a tantalizing 7.0, the Twins at 105, and the Tigers favored at -125. Both teams are riding high on recent victories, the Tigers having clawed their way to a 5-3 win against PIT, while the Twins managed to twin-kle their way to a narrow 3-2 victory over LAD. The weather at Comerica Park is set to add an extra layer of drama to the proceedings, with light rain, winds gusting from the west at 25.5 mph, and a chilly temperature of 48.2° set to test the mettle of both teams. So, folks, as we gear up for this game, remember, in the battle between Twins and Tigers, it’s not just about the stripes or the identical stats, it’s about who roars the loudest and swings the hardest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Comerica Park, Detroit

Weather: Light rain with winds from the W at 25.5 mph. Temperature is at 48.2° with 81% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	DET ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+104	-124	7.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1	+1	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

106W-139L

49.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

113W-130L

51.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
06/15/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+5.0
06/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+5.0
06/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	7	Over	+1.0
06/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	1	Over	+1.0
06/17/23	Detroit Tigers DET	0	Under	-5.0
06/17/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-5.0
06/18/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Over	+3.0
06/18/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Over	+3.0
06/23/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	4	Under	-2.0
06/23/23	Detroit Tigers DET	1	Under	-2.0
06/24/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	2	Under	-2.0
06/24/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-2.0
06/25/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	6	Over	+2.0
06/25/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+2.0
08/07/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	9	Over	+5.0
08/07/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+5.0
08/08/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-1.0
08/08/23	Detroit Tigers DET	6	Under	-1.0
08/09/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+7.0
08/09/23	Detroit Tigers DET	9	Over	+7.0
08/10/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	0	Under	-4.0
08/10/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Under	-4.0
08/15/23	Detroit Tigers DET	3	Over	+1.0
08/15/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	5	Over	+1.0
08/16/23	Detroit Tigers DET	8	Over	+8.0
08/16/23	Minnesota Twins MIN	7	Over	+8.0

Twins Vs Over/Under

Tigers Vs Over/Under

Pablo Lopez

ERA 3.711 | IP 194.0 | 11.0W-8.0L | KO 234.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-04-24	vsCLE	4-2L	5.7	6	4	2	Under
03-28-24	@KC	4-1W	7.0	4	1	7	Under
09-27-23	vsOAK	4-6W	4.3	5	3	6	Over
09-22-23	vsLAA	6-8W	6.0	5	3	7	Over
09-16-23	@CWS	6-7L	5.0	8	5	8	Over
09-10-23	vsNYM	2-0L	8.0	2	0	14	Under
09-04-23	@CLE	20-6W	6.0	8	1	3	Over
08-29-23	vsCLE	4-2L	6.0	8	3	5	Under
08-24-23	vsTEX	5-7W	5.0	10	5	4	Over
08-18-23	vsPIT	1-5W	6.0	6	0	7	Under

Tarik Skubal

ERA 2.948 | IP 76.3 | 7.0W-3.0L | KO 97.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsOAK	4-5W	6.3	4	4	9	Over
03-28-24	@CWS	1-0W	6.0	3	0	6	Under
09-28-23	vsKC	0-8W	4.0	2	0	8	Over
09-21-23	@OAK	7-3W	7.0	2	0	10	Over
09-15-23	@LAA	11-2W	7.0	3	1	9	Over
09-09-23	vsCWS	1-3W	5.0	2	0	9	Under
09-03-23	@CWS	3-2W	7.0	5	2	7	Under
08-29-23	vsNYY	4-2L	6.0	4	3	9	Under
08-23-23	vsCHC	6-4L	6.0	6	4	7	Over
08-18-23	@CLE	4-2W	6.0	3	1	7	Under

Twins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/12	@ LAD	3-2W	6	2	Under
04/11	@ LAD	3-6L	6	3	Over
04/10	@ LAD	2-4L	3	1	Under
04/08	@ CLE	1-3L	2	0	Under
04/06	@ CLE	2-4L	7	1	Under
04/05	vs MIL	7-3W	11	1	Over
04/04	vs MIL	2-3L	3	0	Under
04/02	vs KC	0-11L	4	0	Over
04/01	vs KC	5-1W	7	0	Under
03/30	vs KC	4-1W	10	1	Under
10/03	vs COL	2-2L	9	0	Under
10/02	vs COL	14-6W	12	4	Over
10/01	vs COL	7-6W	13	3	Over
09/30	@ OAK	1-2L	4	0	Under
09/29	@ OAK	6-4W	13	2	Over

Tigers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/11	vs PIT	5-3W	9	0	Over
04/10	vs PIT	4-7L	9	0	Over
04/09	@ OAK	1-7L	7	1	Over
04/08	@ OAK	0-4L	5	0	Under
04/07	@ OAK	5-4W	8	2	Over
04/06	vs NYM	6-3W	9	1	Over
04/06	vs NYM	1-2L	5	0	Under
04/03	vs NYM	5-0W	4	1	Under
04/02	vs CWS	3-2W	8	2	Under
04/01	vs CWS	7-6W	12	2	Over
03/30	vs CWS	1-0W	6	0	Under
10/03	@ CLE	5-2W	9	1	Push
10/02	@ CLE	8-0W	9	0	Over
10/01	@ CLE	5-7L	13	2	Over
09/30	@ KC	8-0W	8	3	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Minnesota Twins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Manuel Margot	7.2	9.3	0.264	0.376	33.4%	71.1%	1.3%
#2 Carlos Correa	7.0	9.3	0.23	0.4	35.1%	75.0%	3.5%
#3 Ryan Jeffers	7.3	9.6	0.276	0.49	42.7%	91.6%	4.9%
#4 Byron Buxton	7.7	10.3	0.21	0.443	34.0%	78.3%	5.7%
#5 Jose Miranda	6.1	7.9	0.206	0.298	27.7%	57.4%	2.1%
#6 Kyle Farmer	6.0	7.9	0.254	0.406	34.3%	74.9%	3.3%
#7 Christian Vazquez	5.3	6.9	0.225	0.321	30.6%	62.7%	1.9%
#8 Carlos Santana	5.4	7.2	0.243	0.435	35.9%	79.4%	4.2%
#9 Austin Martin	nan	5.8	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%

Detroit Tigers	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Parker Meadows	6.5	8.5	0.24	0.376	39.2%	76.8%	2.4%
#2 Riley Greene	7.6	9.7	0.287	0.44	38.3%	82.3%	2.7%
#3 Spencer Torkelson	6.3	8.5	0.233	0.446	35.4%	80.0%	5.2%
#4 Kerry Carpenter	6.8	8.9	0.28	0.475	37.6%	85.1%	4.8%
#5 Colt Keith	nan	8.2	nan	nan	nan%	nan%	nan%
#6 Mark Canha	6.2	8.2	0.259	0.395	40.9%	80.4%	2.5%
#7 Gio Urshela	5.4	6.7	0.3	0.376	35.2%	72.8%	0.9%
#8 Zach McKinstry	5.0	6.4	0.23	0.351	33.6%	68.8%	2.0%
#9 Jake Rogers	4.7	6.3	0.221	0.444	31.4%	75.8%	6.3%