Mets vs Giants Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 23rd 2024

Get ready to slide into some prime-time MLB action as the New York Mets, boasting a solid 12W-10L record, jet off to the breezy Oracle Park to clash with the San Francisco Giants, who are sitting slightly under the radar at 11W-13L. The stakes are high tonight with the first pitch at a cool 09:45 PM EST, as both teams aim to climb their way up the National League rankings. With the Mets looking to avenge their recent 2-5 stumble against the Giants, and the betting gods setting the over/under at a tantalizing 7.5, tonight’s game promises more twists and turns than San Francisco’s Lombard Street. The chilly, overcast skies are ready to witness some heated action, so let’s see if the Mets can ‘catch’ a win or if the Giants will ‘giant-slap’ another victory on the board!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 23, 2024 09:45PM EST

Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco

Weather: Overcast with winds from the S at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 55.9° with 75% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	NYM ML	SF ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+129	-154	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+110	-132	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-19	+22	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

114W-135L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

144W-105L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/22/24	New York Mets NYM	2	Under	-0.5
04/22/24	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Under	-0.5
04/20/23	New York Mets NYM	9	Over	+5.5
04/20/23	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Over	+5.5
04/21/23	New York Mets NYM	7	Under	-0.5
04/21/23	San Francisco Giants SF	0	Under	-0.5
04/22/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+3.5
04/22/23	San Francisco Giants SF	7	Over	+3.5
04/23/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
04/23/23	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Over	+1.5
06/30/23	San Francisco Giants SF	5	Over	+1.5
06/30/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Over	+1.5
07/01/23	San Francisco Giants SF	1	Under	-2.5
07/01/23	New York Mets NYM	4	Under	-2.5
07/02/23	San Francisco Giants SF	4	Over	+4.5
07/02/23	New York Mets NYM	8	Over	+4.5

Mets Vs Over/Under

Giants Vs Over/Under

Luis Severino

ERA 3.429 | IP 21.0 | 2.0W-1.0L | KO 21.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-22-24	@SF	2-5L	5.0	7	5	4	Under
04-16-24	vsPIT	1-3W	5.0	4	1	4	Under
04-11-24	@ATL	16-4W	5.3	5	3	4	Over
04-05-24	@CIN	3-2W	5.7	5	1	4	Under
03-29-24	vsMIL	3-1L	4.7	6	2	4	Under
09-30-23	vsPHI	4-11W	4.0	7	4	5	Over
09-23-23	@PHI	5-7L	6.0	8	6	10	Over
09-17-23	vsCIN	4-8W	6.7	8	2	2	Over
09-11-23	vsARI	4-3L	5.0	5	2	4	Under
09-05-23	@WAS	11-5W	7.0	4	1	4	Over
04-17-24	vsPIT	1-9W	6.0	5	1	4	Over
04-12-24	vsKC	1-6W	5.0	1	1	4	Under
04-06-24	@CIN	6-9L	5.0	3	2	7	Over
03-30-24	vsMIL	7-6L	5.0	12	6	6	Over
09-08-23	@MIL	8-2L	4.0	4	2	5	Over
09-02-23	@HOU	5-4L	4.0	6	4	3	Over
08-28-23	@DET	4-1L	7.0	5	0	8	Under
08-23-23	@WAS	1-9W	6.7	1	0	2	Over
08-15-23	@ATL	0-5W	4.0	5	5	5	Under
08-09-23	@CWS	2-9W	2.0	5	4	2	Over

Keaton Winn

ERA 3.536 | IP 28.0 | 2.0W-3.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-18-24	vsARI	0-5W	7.0	2	0	5	Under
04-13-24	@TB	11-2W	7.0	6	1	4	Over
04-07-24	vsSD	2-3W	7.0	10	2	3	Under
04-02-24	@LAD	4-5L	3.7	7	5	5	Over
03-28-24	@SD	4-6L	6.0	5	2	5	Over
09-25-23	vsSD	1-2W	9.0	9	1	7	Under
09-20-23	@ARI	1-7L	6.0	9	3	4	Over
09-15-23	@COL	2-3L	8.0	4	1	6	Under
09-09-23	vsCOL	1-9W	6.0	3	0	4	Over
09-04-23	@CHC	0-5L	6.7	5	3	4	Under
04-22-24	vsNYM	2-5W	6.0	4	1	6	Under
04-17-24	@MIA	3-1W	6.0	4	1	4	Under
04-12-24	@TB	1-2L	5.0	5	2	6	Under
04-06-24	vsSD	4-0L	6.0	3	4	1	Under
04-01-24	@LAD	3-8L	5.0	4	3	6	Over
09-29-23	vsLAD	6-2L	5.3	6	6	5	Over
09-16-23	@COL	5-9L	4.0	3	3	5	Over
09-10-23	vsCOL	3-6W	6.0	5	3	9	Over
09-03-23	@SD	0-4L	5.0	4	0	2	Under
07-04-23	vsSEA	6-0L	4.0	6	3	2	Under

Mets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	vs SF	2-5L	4	1	Under
04/23	vs LAD	0-10L	7	0	Over
04/22	vs LAD	6-4W	8	1	Over
04/21	vs LAD	9-4W	14	2	Over
04/19	@ PIT	9-1W	10	2	Over
04/18	@ PIT	3-1W	4	0	Under
04/17	@ PIT	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/16	@ KC	2-1W	8	0	Under
04/15	@ KC	7-11L	9	3	Over
04/14	@ KC	6-1W	14	1	Under
04/13	vs ATL	16-4W	16	2	Over
04/11	vs ATL	5-6L	12	1	Over
04/10	vs ATL	8-7W	11	3	Over
04/09	vs CIN	3-1W	9	1	Under
04/08	vs CIN	6-9L	11	0	Over

Giants Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/24	@ NYM	5-2W	8	1	Under
04/23	@ ARI	3-5L	5	1	Over
04/22	@ ARI	7-3W	16	2	Over
04/21	@ ARI	1-17L	4	1	Over
04/20	@ ARI	5-0W	8	0	Under
04/19	vs MIA	3-1W	9	0	Under
04/18	vs MIA	3-6L	9	1	Over
04/17	vs MIA	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/16	vs TB	4-9L	10	1	Over
04/15	vs TB	11-2W	13	5	Over
04/14	vs TB	1-2L	6	0	Under
04/12	@ WAS	7-1W	12	0	Over
04/11	@ WAS	3-5L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ WAS	1-7L	6	0	Over
04/09	@ SD	3-2W	6	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

New York Mets	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Brandon Nimmo	8.7	11.9	0.2	0.338	45.0%	78.8%	2.5%
#2 Starling Marte	8.5	11.0	0.286	0.451	35.2%	80.2%	4.4%
#3 Francisco Lindor	8.0	10.6	0.182	0.284	31.8%	60.2%	2.3%
#4 Pete Alonso	8.1	10.8	0.253	0.517	36.8%	88.5%	8.0%
#5 Brett Baty	6.4	8.3	0.269	0.328	35.8%	68.7%	1.5%
#6 DJ Stewart	7.5	10.4	0.211	0.5	52.6%	102.6%	7.9%
#7 Jeff McNeil	6.6	8.6	0.243	0.357	38.6%	74.3%	1.4%
#8 Harrison Bader	6.6	8.2	0.294	0.368	33.8%	70.6%	1.5%
#9 Omar Narvaez	4.9	6.6	0.179	0.214	25.0%	46.4%	0.0%

San Francisco Giants	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jung Hoo Lee	7.8	9.9	0.284	0.386	38.6%	77.3%	2.3%
#1 Austin Slater	6.8	9.6	0.083	0.083	29.2%	37.5%	0.0%
#2 Wilmer Flores	8.4	11.4	0.207	0.259	34.5%	60.3%	0.0%
#2 LaMonte Wade Jr.	8.1	10.4	0.358	0.472	54.7%	101.9%	1.9%
#3 Jorge Soler	8.7	11.3	0.25	0.44	40.5%	84.5%	4.8%
#4 Matt Chapman	7.8	10.3	0.226	0.43	30.1%	73.1%	4.3%
#5 Michael Conforto	6.7	8.9	0.271	0.506	32.9%	83.5%	5.9%
#6 Patrick Bailey	6.7	8.6	0.321	0.528	45.3%	98.1%	3.8%
#6 Tom Murphy	5.8	8.2	0.074	0.111	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%
#7 Thairo Estrada	6.5	8.4	0.222	0.378	25.6%	63.3%	3.3%
#8 Tyler Fitzgerald	5.9	7.3	0.273	0.455	36.4%	81.8%	0.0%
#8 Mike Yastrzemski	6.6	8.9	0.178	0.244	31.1%	55.6%	2.2%
#9 Nick Ahmed	5.2	6.4	0.296	0.366	35.2%	71.8%	0.0%