Phillies vs Reds Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 24th 2024

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Great American Ball Park as the Philadelphia Phillies, just a couple of swings behind in the National League standings, gear up to challenge the Cincinnati Reds, who are also hot on the heels of the conference lead. The stakes are high with the first pitch set to fly at 06:40 PM EST today. Fresh off their latest encounters, where the Reds dominated the Phillies in an 8-1 victory just yesterday, the tension is palpable. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under teetering at 8.5, all eyes will be on this matchup under the partly cloudy skies of Cincinnati. Keep your jerseys on and your stats ready, because tonight, it’s not just about baseball—it’s about pride, performance, and a chance to see if the Phillies can truly ‘steal’ the spotlight or if the Reds will continue to ‘run’ the show!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 24, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 55.0° with 80% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	CIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-104	-116	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+103	-123	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+207	-7	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

121W-126L

49.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

120W-133L

50.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/01/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+0.5
04/01/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
04/02/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Over	+4.5
04/02/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	9	Over	+4.5
04/03/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	4	Under	-3.5
04/03/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Under	-3.5
04/22/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	7	Under	-1.5
04/22/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	0	Under	-1.5
04/23/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	1	Over	+0.5
04/23/24	Cincinnati Reds CIN	8	Over	+0.5
04/07/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-1.5
04/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	5	Under	-1.5
04/08/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	2	Under	-3.5
04/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
04/09/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Over	+1.5
04/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5
04/13/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-0.5
04/13/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	6	Under	-0.5
04/14/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.5
04/14/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+2.5
04/15/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	0	Over	+4.5
04/15/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	13	Over	+4.5
04/16/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	14	Over	+8.5
04/16/23	Cincinnati Reds CIN	3	Over	+8.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Reds Vs Over/Under

Spencer Turnbull

ERA 1.227 | IP 22.0 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 22.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	@CIN	1-8L	3.0	4	5	3	Over
04-17-24	vsCOL	6-7W	6.0	5	1	10	Over
04-12-24	vsPIT	5-2L	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-07-24	@WAS	2-3L	4.3	6	3	1	Under
04-01-24	vsCIN	6-3L	5.0	5	2	8	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	4-11L	1.0	0	0	1	Over
09-24-23	vsNYM	2-5W	7.0	3	2	10	Under
09-19-23	@ATL	3-9L	4.0	7	3	2	Over
09-13-23	vsATL	4-1L	7.3	8	4	10	Under
09-08-23	vsMIA	3-2L	5.0	4	0	4	Under
04-19-24	vsCWS	0-7W	7.0	1	0	6	Under
04-13-24	vsPIT	3-4W	4.0	4	3	3	Under
04-08-24	@STL	5-3W	6.0	2	0	6	Under
04-02-24	vsCIN	4-9W	5.0	3	1	7	Over
05-06-23	@STL	6-5L	4.7	7	5	6	Over
04-30-23	@BAL	5-3L	4.0	5	3	3	Under
04-25-23	@MIL	4-3L	4.0	3	2	2	Under
04-19-23	@CLE	3-2L	5.3	3	3	3	Under
04-13-23	@TOR	3-1L	5.0	6	1	6	Under
04-06-23	@BOS	6-3L	5.7	5	5	1	Over

Andrew Abbott

ERA 2.602 | IP 27.7 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 20.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-19-24	vsLAA	1-7W	6.3	7	1	6	Under
04-13-24	@CWS	5-0W	5.7	1	0	10	Under
05-06-23	vsCWS	3-5W	3.7	6	3	3	Under
04-30-23	@OAK	4-5L	5.0	5	3	7	Over
04-24-23	vsTEX	6-7W	4.0	9	6	6	Over
04-18-23	vsTB	10-0L	4.7	12	8	4	Over
04-13-23	vsPHI	2-6W	5.0	8	2	6	Under
04-08-23	@PHI	2-3L	7.0	3	0	12	Under
04-01-23	vsPIT	2-6W	5.0	7	2	9	Under
10-01-22	vsCHC	2-6W	5.0	2	1	5	Under
04-23-24	vsPHI	1-8W	4.3	2	1	3	Over
04-17-24	@SEA	1-5L	6.0	4	2	6	Under
04-12-24	@CWS	11-1W	7.0	4	1	3	Over
04-07-24	vsNYM	3-1L	5.0	7	3	4	Under
04-01-24	@PHI	6-3W	5.3	3	2	4	Over
09-27-23	@CLE	3-4L	2.3	8	3	1	Under
09-22-23	vsPIT	7-5L	4.3	4	2	7	Over
09-16-23	@NYM	3-2W	3.7	6	2	5	Under
09-08-23	vsSTL	9-4L	4.0	4	6	3	Over
09-02-23	vsCHC	1-2W	6.3	4	1	5	Under

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	vs CIN	1-8L	5	0	Over
04/24	vs CIN	7-0W	9	1	Under
04/23	@ CWS	8-2W	11	1	Over
04/22	@ CWS	9-5W	12	1	Over
04/21	@ CWS	7-0W	7	3	Under
04/19	@ COL	7-6W	12	3	Over
04/18	@ COL	5-0W	7	2	Under
04/17	@ COL	2-1W	6	0	Under
04/16	@ PIT	2-8L	8	1	Over
04/15	@ PIT	4-3W	9	1	Under
04/14	@ PIT	2-5L	7	0	Under
04/13	@ PIT	5-1W	7	3	Under
04/12	vs STL	4-3W	8	0	Under
04/11	vs STL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/10	vs STL	5-3W	10	1	Under

Reds Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/25	@ PHI	8-1W	9	2	Over
04/24	@ PHI	0-7L	2	0	Under
04/23	@ LAA	3-0W	5	0	Under
04/22	@ LAA	7-5W	8	1	Over
04/21	@ LAA	7-1W	5	2	Under
04/19	vs SEA	1-5L	1	1	Under
04/18	vs SEA	1-3L	4	0	Under
04/17	vs SEA	3-9L	7	2	Over
04/16	vs CWS	11-4W	11	2	Over
04/15	vs CWS	5-0W	4	0	Under
04/14	vs CWS	11-1W	12	2	Over
04/12	@ MIL	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/11	@ MIL	5-9L	10	0	Over
04/10	@ MIL	10-8W	10	3	Over
04/09	@ NYM	1-3L	3	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.4	11.4	0.2	0.4	37.8%	77.8%	6.7%
#2 Trea Turner	10.0	12.7	0.327	0.469	40.8%	87.8%	2.0%
#3 J.T. Realmuto	9.3	12.1	0.232	0.366	29.3%	65.9%	3.7%
#4 Alec Bohm	8.6	11.5	0.305	0.524	46.3%	98.8%	3.7%
#5 Nick Castellanos	9.1	11.6	0.184	0.207	26.4%	47.1%	0.0%
#6 Whit Merrifield	7.5	9.4	0.143	0.229	20.0%	42.9%	2.9%
#7 Cristian Pache	6.3	8.6	0.154	0.154	38.5%	53.8%	0.0%
#8 Edmundo Sosa	6.1	8.2	0.25	0.5	41.7%	91.7%	8.3%
#9 Johan Rojas	6.3	7.8	0.267	0.333	36.7%	70.0%	0.0%

Cincinnati Reds	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Stuart Fairchild	7.2	9.2	0.229	0.25	33.3%	58.3%	0.0%
#2 Spencer Steer	8.7	11.7	0.277	0.482	45.8%	94.0%	3.6%
#3 Tyler Stephenson	7.5	10.3	0.207	0.414	34.5%	75.9%	5.2%
#4 Jeimer Candelario	8.1	10.9	0.188	0.377	31.9%	69.6%	2.9%
#4 Jake Fraley	8.2	10.5	0.34	0.489	44.7%	93.6%	2.1%
#5 C. Encarnacion-Strand	7.0	9.4	0.216	0.352	22.7%	58.0%	2.3%
#6 Elly De La Cruz	8.1	10.7	0.295	0.641	47.4%	111.5%	9.0%
#7 Jonathan India	6.7	9.0	0.174	0.232	40.6%	63.8%	0.0%
#7 Nick Martini	5.3	7.3	0.196	0.431	23.5%	66.7%	5.9%
#8 Santiago Espinal	6.1	8.1	0.174	0.261	30.4%	56.5%	2.2%
#9 Will Benson	5.8	7.5	0.189	0.392	32.4%	71.6%	2.7%