Phillies vs Marlins Game Breakdown
Phillies
27W-12L
May 11, 2024
04:10PM EST
Odds: 7.5 o/u
Marlins
10W-30L
Get ready to slide into the weekend as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 27-12 record, cruise into LoanDepot Park to face off against the struggling Miami Marlins, who are trying to find their footing at 10-30. The clash is set for a 4:10 PM EST start in sunny Miami, where the weather is as sizzling as the Phillies’ bats, promising partly cloudy skies and a warm breeze. With the Phillies sitting pretty at the top of the National League and the Marlins swimming upstream, 17.5 games back, today’s matchup is teed up to be a fascinating contrast in fortunes. Vegas has the line drawn with the Phillies as the favorites and an over/under that suggests a tight game. Fresh off a decisive victory against these very Marlins, the Phillies are looking to keep their momentum, while the Marlins hope to flip the script from their last outing. So, as the Phillies aim to school the Marlins once more, it’s clear we’re in for a game that’s anything but fishy!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 11, 2024 04:10PM EST
Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 86.0° with 63% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| PHI ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -130 | +108 | 7.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Recent | -136 | +114 | 7.5 | -1.5/1.5 |
| Difference | -6 | +6 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
57.6% Win Probability
42.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/24 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 04/10/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Over | +10.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 15 | ||||
| 04/11/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 8 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | ||||
| 04/12/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 7 | ||||
| 07/31/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/01/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 1 | ||||
| 08/02/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | Over | +9.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 9 | ||||
| 08/03/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 09/08/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 3 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | ||||
| 09/09/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 8 | ||||
| 09/10/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 |
Phillies Vs Over/Under
Marlins Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05-24 | vsSF | 4-5W | 6.3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 04-28-24 | @SD | 8-6W | 6.3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | Over |
| 09-30-23 | @NYM | 3-4L | 7.0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | Under |
| 09-22-23 | vsNYM | 4-5W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 09-17-23 | @STL | 5-6L | 7.0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | vsATL | 10-8L | 5.3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 09-04-23 | @SD | 9-7W | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 08-28-23 | vsLAA | 4-6W | 5.7 | 8 | 3 | 6 | Over |
| 08-22-23 | vsSF | 3-4W | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 7 | Under |
| 08-12-23 | vsMIN | 8-1L | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20-24 | @CHC | 3-2W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | vsATL | 9-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 04-08-24 | @NYY | 0-7L | 4.7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | Under |
| 04-02-24 | vsLAA | 3-1L | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsPIT | 6-5L | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Over |
| 10-02-23 | @NYM | 0-1L | 7.3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | Under |
| 09-23-23 | vsMIL | 4-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 09-17-23 | vsATL | 2-16W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | @MIL | 0-12L | 5.0 | 10 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 09-05-23 | vsLAD | 3-6W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | Over |
Phillies Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12 | vs MIA | 8-2W | 15 | 2 | Over |
| 05/10 | @ TOR | 3-5L | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 05/09 | @ TOR | 10-1W | 11 | 2 | Over |
| 05/08 | @ SF | 6-1W | 10 | 2 | Under |
| 05/07 | @ SF | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 05/06 | @ SF | 14-3W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 05/05 | @ SF | 3-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 05/03 | vs LAA | 2-1W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 05/02 | vs LAA | 7-5W | 11 | 3 | Over |
| 05/01 | vs LAA | 5-6L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/30 | vs SD | 8-6W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 04/29 | vs SD | 5-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/28 | vs SD | 9-3W | 13 | 5 | Over |
| 04/27 | vs CIN | 5-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs CIN | 4-7L | 11 | 0 | Over |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12 | @ PHI | 2-8L | 5 | 0 | Over |
| 05/10 | vs LAD | 1-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 05/09 | vs LAD | 2-8L | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 05/08 | vs LAD | 3-6L | 7 | 1 | Over |
| 05/07 | vs OAK | 12-3W | 14 | 1 | Over |
| 05/06 | vs OAK | 4-20L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 05/05 | vs OAK | 1-3L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 05/04 | @ COL | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 05/03 | @ COL | 4-1W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 05/02 | @ COL | 7-6W | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 05/01 | @ WAS | 2-7L | 4 | 1 | Over |
| 04/30 | @ WAS | 9-12L | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/29 | @ WAS | 4-11L | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 04/28 | @ WAS | 1-3L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs ATL | 3-4L | 7 | 1 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Philadelphia Phillies | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8 | 11.9 | 0.217 | 0.401 | 38.2% | 78.3% | 5.9% | |
| 8.6 | 11.1 | 0.275 | 0.45 | 35.1% | 80.2% | 3.8% | |
|
#3
Bryce Harper
|
8.9 | 12.1 | 0.262 | 0.524 | 46.8% | 99.2% | 7.1% |
|
#4
Alec Bohm
|
7.4 | 9.8 | 0.341 | 0.543 | 45.7% | 100.0% | 2.9% |
| 8.1 | 10.5 | 0.207 | 0.303 | 29.0% | 59.3% | 2.1% | |
| 7.5 | 9.7 | 0.21 | 0.339 | 30.6% | 64.5% | 3.2% | |
|
#7
Edmundo Sosa
|
6.1 | 8.0 | 0.278 | 0.472 | 44.4% | 91.7% | 2.8% |
| 5.3 | 7.2 | 0.182 | 0.227 | 45.5% | 68.2% | 0.0% | |
|
#9
Johan Rojas
|
5.6 | 7.1 | 0.234 | 0.336 | 29.9% | 63.6% | 1.9% |
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3 | 10.8 | 0.231 | 0.399 | 34.3% | 74.1% | 3.5% | |
| 7.6 | 9.9 | 0.27 | 0.478 | 34.6% | 82.4% | 5.0% | |
|
#3
Jake Burger
|
7.0 | 9.6 | 0.192 | 0.342 | 26.0% | 60.3% | 4.1% |
|
#4
Josh Bell
|
6.8 | 9.0 | 0.204 | 0.313 | 33.3% | 64.6% | 2.7% |
| 6.8 | 8.7 | 0.235 | 0.316 | 30.6% | 62.2% | 2.0% | |
|
#6
Tim Anderson
|
5.7 | 7.0 | 0.197 | 0.221 | 24.6% | 46.7% | 0.0% |
|
#7
Nick Gordon
|
5.3 | 7.1 | 0.198 | 0.396 | 24.2% | 63.7% | 5.5% |
|
#8
Vidal Brujan
|
4.8 | 6.0 | 0.254 | 0.373 | 35.8% | 73.1% | 0.0% |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
4.9 | 6.4 | 0.129 | 0.2 | 17.1% | 37.1% | 1.4% |
Phillies Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Marlins Notable Injuries
- Jesus Luzardo OUT (SP): Avg: nan SLG:nan Last game: 04/22/24. Impact: 6.4
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