Phillies vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready to slide into the weekend as the red-hot Philadelphia Phillies, boasting an impressive 27-12 record, cruise into LoanDepot Park to face off against the struggling Miami Marlins, who are trying to find their footing at 10-30. The clash is set for a 4:10 PM EST start in sunny Miami, where the weather is as sizzling as the Phillies’ bats, promising partly cloudy skies and a warm breeze. With the Phillies sitting pretty at the top of the National League and the Marlins swimming upstream, 17.5 games back, today’s matchup is teed up to be a fascinating contrast in fortunes. Vegas has the line drawn with the Phillies as the favorites and an over/under that suggests a tight game. Fresh off a decisive victory against these very Marlins, the Phillies are looking to keep their momentum, while the Marlins hope to flip the script from their last outing. So, as the Phillies aim to school the Marlins once more, it’s clear we’re in for a game that’s anything but fishy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 11, 2024 04:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the WSW at 9.4 mph. Temperature is at 86.0° with 63% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PHI ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+108	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-136	+114	7.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-6	+6	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

128W-128L

57.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

123W-136L

42.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+2.5
05/10/24	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Over	+2.5
04/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Over	+10.5
04/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	15	Over	+10.5
04/11/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
04/11/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+4.5
04/12/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
04/12/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
07/07/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-0.5
07/07/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-0.5
07/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+0.5
07/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
07/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Over	+2.5
07/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	7	Over	+2.5
07/31/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
07/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
08/01/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	3	Under	-3.5
08/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-3.5
08/02/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+9.5
08/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+9.5
08/03/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Under	-1.5
08/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-1.5
09/08/23	Miami Marlins MIA	3	Under	-2.5
09/08/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	2	Under	-2.5
09/09/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+4.5
09/09/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	8	Over	+4.5
09/10/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+1.5
09/10/23	Philadelphia Phillies PHI	4	Over	+1.5

Phillies Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Taijuan Walker

ERA 6.395 | IP 12.7 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-05-24	vsSF	4-5W	6.3	5	3	7	Over
04-28-24	@SD	8-6W	6.3	8	6	4	Over
09-30-23	@NYM	3-4L	7.0	4	4	3	Under
09-22-23	vsNYM	4-5W	6.0	5	2	4	Over
09-17-23	@STL	5-6L	7.0	8	5	3	Over
09-11-23	vsATL	10-8L	5.3	6	6	5	Over
09-04-23	@SD	9-7W	5.0	5	4	4	Over
08-28-23	vsLAA	4-6W	5.7	8	3	6	Over
08-22-23	vsSF	3-4W	5.0	6	3	7	Under
08-12-23	vsMIN	8-1L	5.0	3	3	2	Over

Jesus Luzardo

ERA 6.577 | IP 26.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	3	2	6	Under
04-14-24	vsATL	9-7L	5.0	7	5	4	Over
04-08-24	@NYY	0-7L	4.7	8	7	4	Under
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over
10-02-23	@NYM	0-1L	7.3	4	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	4	Over
09-17-23	vsATL	2-16W	6.0	4	0	8	Over
09-11-23	@MIL	0-12L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
09-05-23	vsLAD	3-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Over

Phillies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	vs MIA	8-2W	15	2	Over
05/10	@ TOR	3-5L	7	0	Over
05/09	@ TOR	10-1W	11	2	Over
05/08	@ SF	6-1W	10	2	Under
05/07	@ SF	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/06	@ SF	14-3W	12	1	Over
05/05	@ SF	3-3L	6	0	Under
05/03	vs LAA	2-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	vs LAA	7-5W	11	3	Over
05/01	vs LAA	5-6L	6	0	Over
04/30	vs SD	8-6W	12	3	Over
04/29	vs SD	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/28	vs SD	9-3W	13	5	Over
04/27	vs CIN	5-0W	11	1	Under
04/26	vs CIN	4-7L	11	0	Over

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/12	@ PHI	2-8L	5	0	Over
05/10	vs LAD	1-3L	6	1	Under
05/09	vs LAD	2-8L	6	2	Over
05/08	vs LAD	3-6L	7	1	Over
05/07	vs OAK	12-3W	14	1	Over
05/06	vs OAK	4-20L	7	2	Over
05/05	vs OAK	1-3L	7	0	Under
05/04	@ COL	5-4W	9	1	Over
05/03	@ COL	4-1W	7	0	Under
05/02	@ COL	7-6W	9	0	Over
05/01	@ WAS	2-7L	4	1	Over
04/30	@ WAS	9-12L	12	1	Over
04/29	@ WAS	4-11L	13	1	Over
04/28	@ WAS	1-3L	6	0	Under
04/26	vs ATL	3-4L	7	1	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Philadelphia Phillies	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Kyle Schwarber	8.8	11.9	0.217	0.401	38.2%	78.3%	5.9%
#2 J.T. Realmuto	8.6	11.1	0.275	0.45	35.1%	80.2%	3.8%
#3 Bryce Harper	8.9	12.1	0.262	0.524	46.8%	99.2%	7.1%
#4 Alec Bohm	7.4	9.8	0.341	0.543	45.7%	100.0%	2.9%
#5 Nick Castellanos	8.1	10.5	0.207	0.303	29.0%	59.3%	2.1%
#6 Whit Merrifield	7.5	9.7	0.21	0.339	30.6%	64.5%	3.2%
#7 Edmundo Sosa	6.1	8.0	0.278	0.472	44.4%	91.7%	2.8%
#8 Cristian Pache	5.3	7.2	0.182	0.227	45.5%	68.2%	0.0%
#9 Johan Rojas	5.6	7.1	0.234	0.336	29.9%	63.6%	1.9%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	8.3	10.8	0.231	0.399	34.3%	74.1%	3.5%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.6	9.9	0.27	0.478	34.6%	82.4%	5.0%
#3 Jake Burger	7.0	9.6	0.192	0.342	26.0%	60.3%	4.1%
#4 Josh Bell	6.8	9.0	0.204	0.313	33.3%	64.6%	2.7%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	6.8	8.7	0.235	0.316	30.6%	62.2%	2.0%
#6 Tim Anderson	5.7	7.0	0.197	0.221	24.6%	46.7%	0.0%
#7 Nick Gordon	5.3	7.1	0.198	0.396	24.2%	63.7%	5.5%
#8 Vidal Brujan	4.8	6.0	0.254	0.373	35.8%	73.1%	0.0%
#9 Nick Fortes	4.9	6.4	0.129	0.2	17.1%	37.1%	1.4%