Pirates vs Cubs Game Breakdown

It’s a showdown at Wrigley Field tonight as the Pittsburgh Pirates sail into Chicago, hoping to plunder a win from the hometown Cubs at 07:40 PM EST. With the Pirates struggling to find their treasure map, sitting 7.5 games back, and the Cubs clawing just 1.5 games behind the top spot in the National League, this matchup is more than just a game—it’s a quest for late May dominance. The stakes are high with the Cubs fresh off a commanding victory and the Pirates looking to shake off the dust of a recent defeat. The weather gods are smiling with a perfect blend of clouds and breeze, setting the stage for what promises to be an explosive encounter. Betting lines are buzzing, and fans are ready, so let’s see if the Cubs can keep their den safe or if the Pirates manage to hoist their flag in enemy territory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 16, 2024 07:40PM EST

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the SSW at 5.6 mph. Temperature is at 64.0° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	PIT ML	CHC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+117	-140	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+115	-138	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-2	+2	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

95W-166L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

130W-125L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/10/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.5
05/10/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
05/11/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	9	Over	+11.5
05/11/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	10	Over	+11.5
05/12/24	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.5
05/12/24	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.5
06/13/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+6.5
06/13/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	11	Over	+6.5
06/14/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+8.5
06/14/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+8.5
06/15/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Over	+1.5
06/15/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+1.5
06/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+0.5
06/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Over	+0.5
06/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	4	Under	-3.5
06/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	0	Under	-3.5
06/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	8	Over	+3.5
06/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	3	Over	+3.5
08/24/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	5	Over	+1.5
08/24/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	4	Over	+1.5
08/25/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	1	Under	-4.5
08/25/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	2	Under	-4.5
08/26/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+8.5
08/26/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	6	Over	+8.5
08/27/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	10	Over	+3.5
08/27/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+3.5
09/19/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	1	Over	+7.5
09/19/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	14	Over	+7.5
09/20/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	13	Over	+12.5
09/20/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	7	Over	+12.5
09/21/23	Pittsburgh Pirates PIT	8	Over	+6.5
09/21/23	Chicago Cubs CHC	6	Over	+6.5

Pirates Vs Over/Under

Cubs Vs Over/Under

Jared Jones

ERA 2.681 | IP 47.0 | 2.0W-4.0L | KO 56.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-10-24	vsCHC	7-2L	6.0	7	3	4	Over
05-04-24	vsCOL	0-1W	7.0	1	0	10	Under
04-28-24	@SF	2-3L	5.0	6	3	3	Under
04-22-24	vsMIL	2-4W	6.0	4	1	7	Under
04-16-24	@NYM	1-3L	5.0	1	0	7	Under
04-11-24	@PHI	1-5L	6.3	6	3	8	Under
04-05-24	vsBAL	5-2L	6.0	6	2	7	Under
03-30-24	@MIA	9-3W	5.7	3	3	10	Over

Justin Steele

ERA 4.725 | IP 13.3 | 0.0W-0.0L | KO 11.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
05-11-24	@PIT	9-10L	4.0	6	6	3	Over
05-06-24	vsSD	6-3L	4.7	3	0	2	Over
03-28-24	@TEX	3-4L	4.7	3	1	6	Under
09-26-23	@ATL	6-7L	5.3	6	3	6	Over
09-20-23	vsPIT	13-7L	3.0	8	6	6	Over
09-15-23	@ARI	4-6L	6.0	7	6	5	Over
09-09-23	vsARI	3-2L	7.0	6	1	6	Under
09-04-23	vsSF	0-5W	8.0	2	0	12	Under
08-29-23	vsMIL	0-1W	6.0	6	0	8	Under
08-24-23	@PIT	5-4W	6.0	6	3	6	Over

Pirates Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/17	vs MIL	2-10L	8	1	Over
05/16	vs MIL	3-4L	3	2	Under
05/15	vs MIL	8-6W	13	3	Over
05/14	@ CHC	4-5L	8	2	Over
05/13	@ CHC	10-9W	11	5	Over
05/12	@ CHC	2-7L	7	0	Over
05/10	@ LAA	4-5L	6	0	Over
05/09	@ LAA	0-9L	3	0	Over
05/08	@ LAA	4-1W	6	1	Under
05/07	@ COL	5-3W	9	1	Push
05/06	@ COL	1-0W	6	0	Under
05/05	@ COL	2-3L	4	1	Under
05/03	vs OAK	0-4L	4	0	Under
05/02	vs OAK	2-5L	5	1	Under
05/01	vs OAK	1-5L	2	0	Under

Cubs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
05/17	vs ATL	7-1W	13	2	Push
05/16	vs ATL	0-7L	3	0	Under
05/15	vs ATL	0-2L	5	0	Under
05/14	vs PIT	5-4W	9	2	Over
05/13	vs PIT	9-10L	10	1	Over
05/12	vs PIT	7-2W	14	1	Over
05/10	@ SD	0-3L	1	0	Under
05/09	@ SD	3-2W	10	2	Under
05/08	@ SD	3-6L	7	2	Over
05/07	@ MIL	5-0W	7	1	Under
05/06	@ MIL	6-5W	8	3	Over
05/05	@ MIL	1-3L	8	1	Under
05/04	vs NYM	6-7L	9	1	Over
05/03	vs NYM	1-0W	5	0	Under
05/02	vs NYM	2-4L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Pittsburgh Pirates	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Andrew McCutchen	8.3	11.0	0.211	0.358	36.6%	72.4%	4.1%
#2 Bryan Reynolds	8.1	10.5	0.25	0.413	39.0%	80.2%	2.9%
#3 Connor Joe	7.3	9.8	0.286	0.508	40.5%	91.3%	4.8%
#4 Oneil Cruz	7.3	9.4	0.266	0.456	33.5%	79.1%	4.4%
#5 Edward Olivares	6.8	8.9	0.225	0.382	31.5%	69.7%	4.5%
#6 Nick Gonzales	5.7	7.5	0.222	0.389	27.8%	66.7%	5.6%
#7 Yasmani Grandal	5.7	7.7	0.2	0.48	24.0%	72.0%	8.0%
#8 Jared Triolo	5.0	6.4	0.193	0.229	32.9%	55.7%	0.7%
#9 Michael A. Taylor	6.0	7.6	0.219	0.276	28.6%	56.2%	1.0%

Chicago Cubs	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Mike Tauchman	6.8	9.0	0.266	0.43	47.7%	90.6%	3.1%
#2 Seiya Suzuki	7.5	10.0	0.28	0.488	37.8%	86.6%	4.9%
#3 Cody Bellinger	6.7	8.9	0.263	0.492	39.0%	88.1%	5.9%
#4 Christopher Morel	7.2	9.7	0.212	0.417	34.0%	75.6%	5.8%
#5 Michael Busch	7.0	9.3	0.252	0.468	36.0%	82.7%	5.0%
#6 Miles Mastrobuoni	4.8	6.7	0.154	0.192	34.6%	53.8%	0.0%
#7 Nick Madrigal	5.0	6.5	0.234	0.281	32.8%	60.9%	0.0%
#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong	5.4	7.0	0.255	0.392	35.3%	74.5%	2.0%
#9 Miguel Amaya	4.7	6.2	0.188	0.271	28.2%	55.3%	1.2%