Pirates vs Phillies Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024
Pirates
9W-4L
April 12, 2024
06:40PM EST
Odds: 9.0 o/u
Phillies
7W-6L
Alright sports junkies, strap in, because we’re setting sail on the high seas of baseball as the 9W-4L Pittsburgh Pirates drop anchor at Citizens Bank Park, ready to cross bats with the 7W-6L Philadelphia Phillies. The first pitch is set to fly at 06:40PM EST, so make sure you’re planted firmly on your barstool, beer in hand. Both teams are hot on the heels of the National League conference leaders, with the Pirates just a whisper away and the Phillies trailing by a single game. The over/under is pegged at 9.0, and if you’re a betting man or woman, the Pirates are sitting pretty at +134 while the Phillies are the chalk at -160. The Phillies are riding high on their recent 5-1 victory over the Pirates, who will be looking to turn the tide after their loss. The weather’s shaping up to be a classic baseball evening; partly cloudy skies, a brisk westerly wind at 17.4 mph, and a comfortable 60.1°. Just remember, in this battle of Pirates and Phillies, it’s not just about stealing bases, it’s about stealing the show!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 12, 2024 06:40PM EST
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the W at 17.4 mph. Temperature is at 60.1° with 86% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| PIT ML | PHI ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +134 | -160 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +139 | -165 | 9.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +5 | -5 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
41.8% Win Probability
58.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/24 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | Under | -3.0 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 5 | ||||
| 07/28/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 | Under | -6.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 1 | ||||
| 07/29/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 7 | ||||
| 07/30/23 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 4 | Over | +1.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 6 | ||||
| 09/26/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 2 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 3 | ||||
| 09/27/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 6 | Over | +4.0 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 7 | ||||
| 09/28/23 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | 3 | Under | -4.0 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies PHI | 2 |
Pirates Vs Over/Under
Phillies Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06-24 | vsBAL | 4-5W | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Push |
| 03-31-24 | @MIA | 9-7W | 4.0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 09-23-23 | @CIN | 13-12W | 2.0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 09-19-23 | @CHC | 1-14L | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Over |
| 09-12-23 | vsWAS | 1-5W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 09-06-23 | vsMIL | 4-5W | 3.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Push |
| 09-02-23 | @STL | 7-6W | 3.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 08-27-23 | vsCHC | 10-1L | 4.7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | Over |
| 08-21-23 | vsSTL | 1-11W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | Over |
| 08-15-23 | @NYM | 7-4W | 5.3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07-24 | @WAS | 2-3L | 4.3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | Under |
| 04-01-24 | vsCIN | 6-3L | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | Push |
| 09-30-23 | @NYM | 4-11L | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Over |
| 09-24-23 | vsNYM | 2-5W | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | Under |
| 09-19-23 | @ATL | 3-9L | 4.0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | Over |
| 09-13-23 | vsATL | 4-1L | 7.3 | 8 | 4 | 10 | Under |
| 09-08-23 | vsMIA | 3-2L | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| 08-30-23 | vsLAA | 10-8L | 4.7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | Over |
| 08-25-23 | vsSTL | 2-7W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | Push |
| 08-19-23 | @WAS | 12-3W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | Over |
| 04-11-24 | vsPIT | 1-5W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | Under |
| 04-06-24 | @WAS | 5-2W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Under |
| 03-31-24 | vsATL | 4-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | Push |
| 09-27-23 | vsPIT | 6-7W | 4.7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | Over |
| 09-21-23 | vsNYM | 4-5W | 6.7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | Push |
| 09-16-23 | @STL | 6-1W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Under |
| 09-10-23 | vsMIA | 5-4L | 6.3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | Push |
| 09-03-23 | @MIL | 4-2W | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 08-13-23 | vsMIN | 3-0L | 6.3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | Under |
| 08-08-23 | vsWAS | 5-4L | 5.7 | 6 | 2 | 5 | Push |
Pirates Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/13 | vs PHI | 1-5L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/11 | @ DET | 3-5L | 8 | 2 | Under |
| 04/10 | @ DET | 7-4W | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/09 | @ BAL | 3-2W | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/08 | @ BAL | 5-4W | 11 | 1 | Push |
| 04/07 | @ BAL | 2-5L | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 04/06 | vs WAS | 7-4W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/05 | vs WAS | 3-5L | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/03 | vs WAS | 8-4W | 15 | 0 | Over |
| 04/02 | vs MIA | 9-7W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/01 | vs MIA | 9-3W | 16 | 0 | Over |
| 03/31 | vs MIA | 7-2W | 10 | 0 | Push |
| 03/30 | vs MIA | 6-5W | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 10/03 | @ MIA | 3-0W | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 10/02 | @ MIA | 3-7L | 12 | 0 | Over |
Phillies Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/13 | @ PIT | 5-1W | 7 | 3 | Under |
| 04/12 | vs STL | 4-3W | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/11 | vs STL | 0-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/10 | vs STL | 5-3W | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/09 | vs WAS | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/08 | vs WAS | 5-2W | 9 | 1 | Under |
| 04/07 | vs WAS | 4-0W | 9 | 0 | Under |
| 04/05 | @ CIN | 1-4L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/04 | @ CIN | 9-4W | 9 | 4 | Over |
| 04/03 | @ CIN | 3-6L | 7 | 0 | Push |
| 04/02 | @ ATL | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Push |
| 04/01 | @ ATL | 4-12L | 8 | 1 | Over |
| 03/31 | @ ATL | 3-9L | 5 | 1 | Over |
| 10/03 | vs NYM | 9-1W | 12 | 2 | Over |
| 10/02 | vs NYM | 3-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Pittsburgh Pirates | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Connor Joe
|
9.0 | 11.8 | 0.244 | 0.416 | 38.4% | 80.0% | 2.7% |
| 8.4 | 11.0 | 0.264 | 0.464 | 37.0% | 83.4% | 4.2% | |
| 8.2 | 10.5 | 0.271 | 0.449 | 32.7% | 77.6% | 2.9% | |
| 8.2 | 10.8 | 0.256 | 0.391 | 45.9% | 85.0% | 2.8% | |
| 7.2 | 9.3 | 0.263 | 0.452 | 34.5% | 79.7% | 3.4% | |
|
#6
Henry Davis
|
6.7 | 8.8 | 0.215 | 0.354 | 33.6% | 69.1% | 3.1% |
|
#7
Oneil Cruz
|
6.6 | 8.7 | 0.25 | 0.375 | 46.9% | 84.4% | 3.1% |
| 6.4 | 8.4 | 0.218 | 0.441 | 29.9% | 74.0% | 5.9% | |
|
#9
Jared Triolo
|
5.5 | 7.2 | 0.299 | 0.401 | 45.2% | 85.3% | 1.7% |
| Philadelphia Phillies | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4 | 13.0 | 0.198 | 0.477 | 42.5% | 90.2% | 8.1% | |
|
#2
Trea Turner
|
9.0 | 11.6 | 0.268 | 0.461 | 34.8% | 80.9% | 4.1% |
|
#3
Bryce Harper
|
8.9 | 11.8 | 0.293 | 0.499 | 47.9% | 97.8% | 4.6% |
| 8.4 | 11.0 | 0.252 | 0.454 | 34.4% | 79.8% | 4.1% | |
|
#5
Alec Bohm
|
6.8 | 9.0 | 0.276 | 0.44 | 35.9% | 79.8% | 3.6% |
| 7.4 | 9.8 | 0.279 | 0.461 | 43.6% | 89.8% | 3.0% | |
| 6.6 | 8.6 | 0.273 | 0.478 | 33.4% | 81.2% | 4.7% | |
| 6.9 | 8.9 | 0.271 | 0.382 | 34.3% | 72.5% | 2.0% | |
|
#8
Edmundo Sosa
|
6.7 | 8.6 | 0.25 | 0.417 | 31.2% | 72.8% | 3.3% |
|
#8
Bryson Stott
|
6.5 | 8.3 | 0.278 | 0.418 | 35.6% | 77.3% | 2.6% |
|
#9
Johan Rojas
|
6.0 | 7.7 | 0.302 | 0.43 | 36.2% | 79.2% | 1.3% |
Pirates Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Phillies Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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