Mariners vs Astros Game Breakdown
Mariners
18W-15L
May 05, 2024
02:10PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Astros
12W-21L
Get ready to dive into the action as the Seattle Mariners, boasting a solid 18-15 record, sail into Minute Maid Park to clash with the struggling 12-21 Houston Astros in a game that’s buzzing with anticipation! With the first pitch set to fly at 02:10 PM EST, the stakes are high as the Mariners look to tighten their grip on the American League, while the Astros aim to claw their way out of a 6-game deficit. The betting world is on edge too, with an over/under of 8.5 and Seattle slightly edging out as the underdogs. Fresh off a shutout victory against these very Astros, the Mariners are riding a wave of confidence. Meanwhile, Houston, still licking their wounds from that 0-5 defeat, hopes the home advantage and a rainy, breezy day will turn their fortunes. So, as the Mariners hope to ‘sea’ victory and the Astros look to ‘launch’ a comeback, expect every pitch to have a little extra pop!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 05, 2024 02:10PM EST
Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Weather: Light rain with winds from the NE at 13.6 mph. Temperature is at 75.9° with 88% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| SEA ML | HOU ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +103 | -123 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +118 | -141 | 7.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | +15 | -18 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance
45.9% Win Probability
54.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 5 | ||||
| 05/04/24 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 0 | ||||
| 05/05/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 6 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 4 | ||||
| 05/06/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 5 | Over | +3.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | ||||
| 05/07/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 1 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | ||||
| 07/06/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 5 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 07/07/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 07/08/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 3 | ||||
| 07/09/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 | Under | -4.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 1 | ||||
| 08/18/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 2 | Under | -6.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 0 | ||||
| 08/19/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 10 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 3 | ||||
| 08/20/23 | Seattle Mariners SEA | 7 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Houston Astros HOU | 6 | ||||
| 09/25/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 5 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 1 | ||||
| 09/26/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 2 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 6 | ||||
| 09/27/23 | Houston Astros HOU | 8 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Seattle Mariners SEA | 3 |
Mariners Vs Over/Under
Astros Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29-24 | vsATL | 1-2W | 7.0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | Under |
| 04-24-24 | @TEX | 1-5L | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 04-17-24 | vsCIN | 1-5W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Under |
| 04-12-24 | vsCHC | 2-4W | 6.3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Under |
| 04-06-24 | @MIL | 5-3W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | Over |
| 03-31-24 | vsBOS | 5-1L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 6 | Under |
| 09-27-23 | vsHOU | 8-3L | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | Over |
| 09-22-23 | @TEX | 5-8L | 4.3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | vsLAD | 6-2L | 5.3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | Over |
| 09-10-23 | @TB | 3-6L | 5.0 | 9 | 5 | 7 | Over |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30-24 | vsCLE | 9-10W | 5.3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Over |
| 04-21-24 | @WAS | 0-6L | 4.0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Under |
| 04-16-24 | vsATL | 6-2L | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | Over |
| 04-11-24 | @KC | 3-13L | 0.7 | 11 | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 04-05-24 | @TEX | 2-10L | 3.0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | Over |
| 03-30-24 | vsNYY | 5-3L | 4.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | Over |
| 10-01-23 | @ARI | 8-1W | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Over |
| 09-24-23 | vsKC | 6-5L | 3.0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | Over |
| 09-19-23 | vsBAL | 9-5L | 5.3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | Over |
| 09-13-23 | vsOAK | 2-6W | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Over |
Mariners Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | vs HOU | 5-0W | 10 | 2 | Under |
| 05/05 | vs HOU | 3-5L | 7 | 2 | Over |
| 05/03 | @ ATL | 2-5L | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 05/02 | @ ATL | 3-2W | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 05/01 | @ ATL | 2-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/30 | @ ARI | 2-3L | 5 | 1 | Under |
| 04/29 | @ ARI | 3-1W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/28 | @ ARI | 6-1W | 5 | 3 | Under |
| 04/27 | vs TEX | 4-3W | 5 | 2 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs TEX | 1-5L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs TEX | 4-0W | 6 | 2 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs COL | 10-2W | 13 | 1 | Over |
| 04/23 | vs COL | 1-2L | 6 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs COL | 7-0W | 16 | 1 | Under |
| 04/19 | @ CIN | 5-1W | 7 | 3 | Under |
Astros Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | @ SEA | 0-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 05/05 | @ SEA | 5-3W | 7 | 0 | Over |
| 05/04 | @ CLE | 8-2W | 10 | 1 | Over |
| 05/03 | @ CLE | 2-3L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 05/02 | @ CLE | 10-9W | 12 | 3 | Over |
| 04/30 | vs COL | 8-2W | 8 | 3 | Over |
| 04/29 | vs COL | 12-4W | 15 | 3 | Over |
| 04/27 | vs CHC | 1-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | vs CHC | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs CHC | 2-7L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/23 | vs WAS | 0-6L | 4 | 0 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs WAS | 4-5L | 9 | 0 | Over |
| 04/21 | vs WAS | 5-3W | 13 | 0 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ ATL | 4-5L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/18 | @ ATL | 2-6L | 7 | 1 | Over |
Team’s Batting Order
| Seattle Mariners | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Josh Rojas
|
8.7 | 11.1 | 0.338 | 0.535 | 47.9% | 101.4% | 4.2% |
| 11.1 | 13.7 | 0.269 | 0.323 | 33.1% | 65.4% | 0.8% | |
| 8.3 | 11.1 | 0.193 | 0.333 | 37.7% | 71.1% | 4.4% | |
| 7.9 | 10.5 | 0.212 | 0.354 | 30.1% | 65.5% | 3.5% | |
|
#5
Cal Raleigh
|
8.0 | 10.7 | 0.21 | 0.42 | 33.0% | 75.0% | 7.0% |
|
#6
Ty France
|
7.0 | 8.9 | 0.255 | 0.349 | 34.0% | 68.9% | 1.9% |
|
#7
Mitch Garver
|
7.2 | 9.8 | 0.152 | 0.315 | 30.4% | 62.0% | 3.3% |
|
#8
Luke Raley
|
8.1 | 9.8 | 0.224 | 0.276 | 25.9% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
|
#9
Dylan Moore
|
6.6 | 8.6 | 0.194 | 0.358 | 37.3% | 73.1% | 3.0% |
| Houston Astros | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Jose Altuve
|
8.4 | 10.6 | 0.338 | 0.559 | 44.1% | 100.0% | 5.1% |
|
#2
Kyle Tucker
|
9.4 | 12.5 | 0.274 | 0.524 | 46.0% | 98.4% | 6.5% |
| 10.2 | 13.5 | 0.256 | 0.45 | 37.2% | 82.2% | 5.4% | |
|
#3
Luis Garcia
|
10.0 | 10.0 | nan | nan | nan% | nan% | nan% |
|
#4
Alex Bregman
|
7.2 | 9.3 | 0.2 | 0.27 | 32.2% | 59.1% | 0.9% |
|
#5
Jeremy Pena
|
6.8 | 8.6 | 0.325 | 0.452 | 39.7% | 84.9% | 2.4% |
| 6.1 | 7.9 | 0.241 | 0.379 | 36.2% | 74.1% | 3.4% | |
|
#7
Yainer Diaz
|
6.3 | 8.1 | 0.283 | 0.417 | 34.2% | 75.8% | 2.5% |
| 5.7 | 7.2 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 38.5% | 69.2% | 0.0% | |
|
#9
Trey Cabbage
|
5.4 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 150.0% | 0.0% |
Mariners Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Astros Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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