Blue Jays vs Yankees Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 6th 2024

Well, well, well, sports junkies, brace yourselves for a wild night of MLB action as the evenly matched Toronto Blue Jays fly south to the home of the Big Apple’s finest, the New York Yankees. With the clock set to strike 07:05PM EST, it’s going to be a battle of the birds and the bombers under the partly cloudy New York sky. The Jays, sitting two games back in the American League, are looking to build on their recent victory, while the Yanks, leading the conference, are thirsty for redemption after a shutout. The betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 8.0, the Blue Jays at -106, and the Yanks at -114. Don’t let the 43.0° temperature fool you, because the heat is on with 65% humidity and winds blowing from the NNE at 12.5 mph. After their last face-off, it’s clear the Blue Jays aren’t just here to nest, and the Yankees aren’t going to let them turn the Bronx into a birdhouse!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 06, 2024 07:05PM EST

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the NNE at 12.5 mph. Temperature is at 43.0° with 65% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	TOR ML	NYY ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-106	-114	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-105	-115	7.5	1.5/-1.5
Difference	+1	-1	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

136W-108L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

142W-98L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/05/24	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.0
04/05/24	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.0
04/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Under	-1.0
04/21/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-1.0
04/22/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-3.0
04/22/23	New York Yankees NYY	3	Under	-3.0
04/23/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	5	Under	-2.0
04/23/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-2.0
05/15/23	New York Yankees NYY	7	Over	+3.0
05/15/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	4	Over	+3.0
05/16/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Over	+1.0
05/16/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Over	+1.0
05/17/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-5.0
05/17/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Under	-5.0
05/18/23	New York Yankees NYY	4	Under	-2.0
05/18/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	2	Under	-2.0
09/19/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	7	Push	-0.0
09/19/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Push	-0.0
09/20/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Under	-1.0
09/20/23	New York Yankees NYY	1	Under	-1.0
09/21/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	3	Push	-0.0
09/21/23	New York Yankees NYY	5	Push	-0.0
09/26/23	New York Yankees NYY	2	Under	-6.0
09/26/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-6.0
09/27/23	New York Yankees NYY	6	Under	-2.0
09/27/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	0	Under	-2.0
09/28/23	New York Yankees NYY	0	Under	-2.0
09/28/23	Toronto Blue Jays TOR	6	Under	-2.0

Blue Jays Vs Over/Under

Yankees Vs Over/Under

Yusei Kikuchi

ERA 3.865 | IP 168 | 11W-6L | KO 181

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
03-31-24	@TB	9-2W	4.3	2	1	6	Over
09-26-23	vsNYY	2-0L	7.0	3	0	5	Under
09-20-23	@NYY	6-1W	6.0	3	0	10	Under
09-14-23	vsTEX	9-2L	4.7	6	4	5	Over
09-09-23	vsKC	1-5W	8.0	2	1	10	Under
09-03-23	@COL	7-5W	4.0	6	3	5	Over
08-28-23	vsWAS	3-6W	5.0	7	3	7	Over
08-23-23	@BAL	0-7L	6.0	5	2	8	Under
08-16-23	vsPHI	9-4L	5.3	7	7	4	Over
08-09-23	@CLE	1-0W	7.0	4	0	6	Under
04-05-24	@NYY	3-0W	5.3	4	0	7	Under
03-30-24	@TB	1-5L	4.3	6	3	4	Under
09-29-23	vsTB	4-11W	5.0	5	3	4	Over
09-24-23	@TB	9-5W	4.0	9	3	7	Over
09-19-23	@NYY	7-1W	5.0	4	1	7	Over
09-13-23	vsTEX	10-0L	5.0	5	6	3	Over
09-08-23	vsKC	4-5W	5.0	3	1	8	Over
09-02-23	@COL	7-8L	4.7	6	6	6	Over
08-27-23	vsCLE	10-7L	6.0	6	4	8	Over
08-22-23	@BAL	6-3W	4.7	7	3	6	Over

Clarke Schmidt

ERA 4.661 | IP 158 | 9W-9L | KO 148

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-05-24	vsTOR	3-0L	6.0	3	0	6	Under
03-30-24	@HOU	5-3W	6.0	4	3	4	Over
09-28-23	@ATL	3-5W	2.0	4	4	2	Over
09-23-23	@COL	3-6W	3.0	5	3	2	Over
09-16-23	@ARI	6-7W	1.0	1	1	1	Over
09-15-23	@ARI	4-6W	2.0	1	0	3	Over
07-31-23	@CIN	6-5L	3.0	6	6	2	Over
07-26-23	@CWS	10-7L	3.3	9	7	4	Over
07-20-23	@STL	7-2L	3.7	7	5	4	Over
07-15-23	@BOS	4-10W	6.0	3	1	3	Over
03-31-24	@HOU	4-3W	5.3	7	3	5	Under
09-30-23	@KC	5-2W	4.0	8	2	3	Under
09-25-23	vsARI	4-6W	4.0	3	2	3	Over
09-19-23	vsTOR	7-1L	5.0	4	4	1	Over
09-14-23	@BOS	8-5W	5.3	7	4	3	Over
09-06-23	vsDET	3-4W	6.3	5	3	6	Under
08-31-23	@DET	3-4L	4.7	6	3	7	Under
08-26-23	@TB	0-3L	6.7	6	3	5	Under
08-20-23	vsBOS	6-5L	5.7	4	2	8	Over
08-14-23	@ATL	3-11L	2.3	9	8	3	Over

Blue Jays Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	vs NYY	3-0W	7	1	Under
04/05	vs HOU	0-8L	1	0	Over
04/04	vs HOU	2-1W	8	1	Under
04/03	vs HOU	0-10L	0	0	Over
04/02	vs TB	9-2W	10	2	Over
04/01	vs TB	1-5L	6	0	Under
03/31	vs TB	2-8L	6	1	Over
03/30	vs TB	8-2W	7	3	Over
10/03	@ TB	8-12L	13	1	Over
10/02	@ TB	5-7L	7	1	Over
10/01	@ TB	11-4W	16	3	Over
09/30	@ NYY	6-0W	13	3	Under
09/29	@ NYY	0-6L	2	0	Under
09/28	@ NYY	0-2L	3	0	Under
09/26	vs TB	9-5W	11	4	Over

Yankees Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/07	@ TOR	0-3L	6	0	Under
04/05	vs ARI	6-5W	8	2	Over
04/04	vs ARI	0-7L	3	0	Under
04/03	vs ARI	5-2W	8	0	Under
04/02	vs HOU	4-3W	10	0	Under
04/01	vs HOU	5-3W	8	3	Over
03/31	vs HOU	7-1W	12	1	Over
03/30	vs HOU	5-4W	8	1	Over
10/03	vs KC	2-5L	7	0	Under
10/02	vs KC	5-2W	12	0	Under
10/01	vs KC	5-12L	8	1	Over
09/30	vs TOR	0-6L	7	0	Under
09/29	vs TOR	6-0W	9	2	Under
09/28	vs TOR	2-0W	5	1	Under
09/27	@ ARI	6-4W	9	2	Over

Team’s Batting Order

Toronto Blue Jays	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 George Springer	8.8	11.4	0.256	0.403	36.2%	76.5%	3.4%
#2 V. Guerrero	9.0	11.9	0.265	0.446	39.1%	83.6%	4.3%
#3 Bo Bichette	8.9	11.3	0.307	0.476	35.8%	83.4%	3.5%
#4 Justin Turner	8.2	10.9	0.276	0.454	38.6%	84.0%	4.1%
#5 Davis Schneider	7.6	10.3	0.276	0.603	49.1%	109.5%	6.9%
#6 Cavan Biggio	6.5	8.7	0.237	0.373	40.1%	77.4%	3.1%
#6 Kevin Kiermaier	7.4	9.5	0.268	0.423	35.8%	78.1%	2.2%
#7 Alejandro Kirk	6.7	8.7	0.253	0.361	38.3%	74.5%	2.2%
#8 Daulton Varsho	6.5	8.5	0.223	0.392	31.6%	70.9%	3.8%
#9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa	6.0	7.8	0.242	0.34	33.7%	67.8%	1.8%

New York Yankees	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Gleyber Torres	8.3	10.8	0.272	0.453	39.1%	84.4%	4.2%
#2 Juan Soto	9.4	12.6	0.276	0.522	51.2%	103.4%	6.2%
#3 Aaron Judge	9.8	13.3	0.267	0.613	50.7%	112.0%	10.1%
#4 Giancarlo Stanton	7.6	10.3	0.193	0.425	30.8%	73.3%	6.5%
#5 Anthony Rizzo	6.9	9.0	0.245	0.378	37.2%	75.0%	3.3%
#6 Anthony Volpe	6.7	8.8	0.209	0.378	31.5%	69.3%	3.7%
#7 Alex Verdugo	6.2	8.0	0.262	0.419	35.5%	77.5%	2.4%
#8 Jon Berti	6.1	7.7	0.293	0.404	37.3%	77.6%	1.8%
#9 Oswaldo Cabrera	5.2	6.8	0.211	0.299	30.2%	60.1%	1.7%
#9 Jose Trevino	5.0	6.5	0.21	0.312	27.4%	58.6%	2.5%