Nationals vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024
Nationals
10W-14L
April 26, 2024
07:10PM EST
Odds: 8.5 o/u
Marlins
6W-20L
Get ready to dive into the thrill at LoanDepot Park tonight as the Washington Nationals, trying to claw their way up from a 10W-14L record, face off against the Miami Marlins, who are swimming upstream with a 6W-20L record. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:10 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky with a gentle eastern breeze tickling the field. With the Nationals looking to gain ground in the National League and the Marlins hoping to flip their recent fortunes, the stakes are as high as the humidity. Betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, hinting at a game that could go either way. Both teams are shaking off narrow losses and are hungry for a win. So, as the Nationals try to ‘cap’italize and the Marlins aim to ‘fin’ish strong, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 26, 2024 07:10PM EST
Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami
Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 58% humidity.
Vegas Odds
| WAS ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +141 | -170 | 8.5 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | +127 | -152 | 8.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Difference | -14 | +18 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
44.1% Win Probability
55.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Runs | O/U | O/U DIFF | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/16/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 4 | Over | +0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 05/17/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
| 05/18/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -0.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | ||||
| 06/16/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 06/17/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 5 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | ||||
| 06/18/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | Under | -2.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 2 | ||||
| 08/25/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 7 | Over | +2.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 4 | ||||
| 08/26/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 3 | Under | -3.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/27/23 | Washington Nationals WAS | 1 | Under | -5.5 | |
| Miami Marlins MIA | 2 | ||||
| 08/31/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | Under | -1.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 1 | ||||
| 09/01/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 8 | Over | +4.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 09/02/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 11 | Over | +7.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 5 | ||||
| 09/03/23 | Miami Marlins MIA | 6 | Over | +1.5 | |
| Washington Nationals WAS | 4 |
Nationals Vs Over/Under
Marlins Vs Over/Under
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20-24 | vsHOU | 4-5W | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Over |
| 04-14-24 | @OAK | 6-7L | 5.3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | Over |
| 04-08-24 | @SF | 8-1W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Over |
| 04-03-24 | vsPIT | 3-5W | 5.3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | Push |
| 09-29-23 | @ATL | 10-6W | 3.3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | Over |
| 09-16-23 | @MIL | 5-9L | 2.0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 09-10-23 | vsLAD | 7-3L | 4.3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | Over |
| 09-02-23 | vsMIA | 11-5L | 4.0 | 12 | 9 | 3 | Over |
| 08-27-23 | @MIA | 1-2L | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | Under |
| 08-20-23 | vsPHI | 3-4W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | Under |
| Date | Matchup | Result | IP | Hits | Runs | KO | Over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20-24 | @CHC | 3-2W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | Under |
| 04-14-24 | vsATL | 9-7L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | Over |
| 04-08-24 | @NYY | 0-7L | 4.7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | Under |
| 04-02-24 | vsLAA | 3-1L | 5.3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Under |
| 03-28-24 | vsPIT | 6-5L | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Over |
| 10-02-23 | @NYM | 0-1L | 7.3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | Under |
| 09-23-23 | vsMIL | 4-5W | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | Over |
| 09-17-23 | vsATL | 2-16W | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | Over |
| 09-11-23 | @MIL | 0-12L | 5.0 | 10 | 6 | 5 | Over |
| 09-05-23 | vsLAD | 3-6W | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | Over |
Nationals Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/27 | @ LAD | 1-2L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/26 | @ LAD | 2-11L | 3 | 1 | Over |
| 04/25 | @ LAD | 1-4L | 7 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | @ HOU | 6-0W | 11 | 1 | Under |
| 04/22 | @ HOU | 5-4W | 9 | 1 | Over |
| 04/21 | @ HOU | 3-5L | 8 | 1 | Push |
| 04/19 | vs LAD | 2-0W | 4 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | vs LAD | 2-6L | 6 | 1 | Push |
| 04/17 | vs LAD | 6-4W | 8 | 2 | Over |
| 04/16 | vs OAK | 6-7L | 12 | 1 | Over |
| 04/15 | vs OAK | 3-1W | 10 | 0 | Under |
| 04/14 | vs OAK | 1-2L | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/12 | vs SF | 1-7L | 4 | 1 | Push |
| 04/11 | vs SF | 5-3W | 8 | 1 | Push |
| 04/10 | vs SF | 7-1W | 10 | 1 | Push |
Marlins Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Hits | HR | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/26 | vs ATL | 3-4L | 7 | 1 | Under |
| 04/25 | vs ATL | 0-5L | 3 | 0 | Under |
| 04/24 | vs ATL | 0-3L | 8 | 0 | Under |
| 04/23 | vs CHC | 6-3W | 11 | 1 | Over |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-2W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/22 | vs CHC | 3-5L | 8 | 1 | Push |
| 04/21 | vs CHC | 3-8L | 6 | 1 | Over |
| 04/19 | @ SF | 1-3L | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/18 | @ SF | 6-3W | 8 | 0 | Over |
| 04/17 | @ SF | 3-4L | 10 | 1 | Under |
| 04/16 | @ ATL | 7-9L | 9 | 2 | Over |
| 04/15 | @ ATL | 5-1W | 8 | 1 | Under |
| 04/14 | @ ATL | 1-8L | 6 | 0 | Over |
| 04/12 | vs NYY | 5-2W | 6 | 1 | Under |
| 04/11 | vs NYY | 2-3L | 4 | 0 | Under |
Team’s Batting Order
| Washington Nationals | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
CJ Abrams
|
8.0 | 10.3 | 0.302 | 0.628 | 39.5% | 102.3% | 7.0% |
|
#2
Joey Meneses
|
8.2 | 10.5 | 0.257 | 0.284 | 39.2% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
|
#3
Jesse Winker
|
6.8 | 9.0 | 0.282 | 0.436 | 48.7% | 92.3% | 2.6% |
|
#4
Riley Adams
|
6.9 | 9.0 | 0.25 | 0.458 | 33.3% | 79.2% | 4.2% |
|
#5
Keibert Ruiz
|
6.9 | 8.9 | 0.171 | 0.257 | 25.7% | 51.4% | 2.9% |
| 6.7 | 8.6 | 0.293 | 0.39 | 46.3% | 85.4% | 0.0% | |
|
#7
Nick Senzel
|
6.0 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 0.44 | 28.0% | 72.0% | 8.0% |
| 5.5 | 7.0 | 0.208 | 0.264 | 30.2% | 56.6% | 1.9% | |
|
#9
Jacob Young
|
5.8 | 7.2 | 0.271 | 0.333 | 33.3% | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| Miami Marlins | DK | FD | AVG | SLG | OBP | OPP | HR/Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
#1
Luis Arraez
|
8.8 | 10.9 | 0.299 | 0.364 | 38.3% | 74.8% | 0.0% |
| 8.4 | 10.8 | 0.262 | 0.439 | 29.9% | 73.8% | 4.7% | |
| 9.2 | 12.0 | 0.237 | 0.355 | 36.6% | 72.0% | 2.2% | |
|
#4
Josh Bell
|
7.8 | 10.5 | 0.179 | 0.305 | 31.6% | 62.1% | 3.2% |
| 7.5 | 9.7 | 0.224 | 0.328 | 29.3% | 62.1% | 3.4% | |
|
#6
Tim Anderson
|
7.0 | 8.5 | 0.229 | 0.253 | 27.7% | 53.0% | 0.0% |
|
#7
Nick Gordon
|
6.5 | 8.8 | 0.204 | 0.407 | 25.9% | 66.7% | 5.6% |
| 6.2 | 7.7 | 0.234 | 0.255 | 36.2% | 61.7% | 0.0% | |
|
#9
Nick Fortes
|
5.2 | 6.7 | 0.109 | 0.152 | 17.4% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
Nationals Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
Marlins Notable Injuries
- No notable injuries for players that have played at least once in the last four weeks.
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