Nationals vs Marlins Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024

Get ready to dive into the thrill at LoanDepot Park tonight as the Washington Nationals, trying to claw their way up from a 10W-14L record, face off against the Miami Marlins, who are swimming upstream with a 6W-20L record. The first pitch is set to fly at 07:10 PM EST under a partly cloudy sky with a gentle eastern breeze tickling the field. With the Nationals looking to gain ground in the National League and the Marlins hoping to flip their recent fortunes, the stakes are as high as the humidity. Betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 8.5, hinting at a game that could go either way. Both teams are shaking off narrow losses and are hungry for a win. So, as the Nationals try to ‘cap’italize and the Marlins aim to ‘fin’ish strong, tonight’s game promises to be more than just peanuts and Cracker Jacks!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 26, 2024 07:10PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 11.9 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 58% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+141	-170	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+127	-152	8.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-14	+18	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

101W-149L

44.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

120W-131L

55.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
05/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
05/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
05/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.5
05/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
05/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
05/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-0.5
06/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+2.5
06/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.5
06/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.5
06/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.5
08/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
08/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
08/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
08/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
08/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Under	-1.5
08/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
09/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
09/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.5
09/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
09/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Trevor Williams

ERA 2.908 | IP 21.7 | 2.0W-0.0L | KO 18.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	vsHOU	4-5W	6.0	3	1	4	Over
04-14-24	@OAK	6-7L	5.3	6	3	7	Over
04-08-24	@SF	8-1W	5.0	3	1	2	Over
04-03-24	vsPIT	3-5W	5.3	3	2	5	Push
09-29-23	@ATL	10-6W	3.3	7	2	4	Over
09-16-23	@MIL	5-9L	2.0	5	3	1	Over
09-10-23	vsLAD	7-3L	4.3	8	6	4	Over
09-02-23	vsMIA	11-5L	4.0	12	9	3	Over
08-27-23	@MIA	1-2L	7.0	5	2	5	Under
08-20-23	vsPHI	3-4W	6.0	2	0	4	Under

Jesus Luzardo

ERA 6.577 | IP 26.0 | 0.0W-2.0L | KO 27.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-20-24	@CHC	3-2W	6.0	3	2	6	Under
04-14-24	vsATL	9-7L	5.0	7	5	4	Over
04-08-24	@NYY	0-7L	4.7	8	7	4	Under
04-02-24	vsLAA	3-1L	5.3	4	3	5	Under
03-28-24	vsPIT	6-5L	5.0	2	2	8	Over
10-02-23	@NYM	0-1L	7.3	4	0	10	Under
09-23-23	vsMIL	4-5W	5.0	3	3	4	Over
09-17-23	vsATL	2-16W	6.0	4	0	8	Over
09-11-23	@MIL	0-12L	5.0	10	6	5	Over
09-05-23	vsLAD	3-6W	6.0	4	2	6	Over

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/27	@ LAD	1-2L	7	0	Under
04/26	@ LAD	2-11L	3	1	Over
04/25	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/23	@ HOU	6-0W	11	1	Under
04/22	@ HOU	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/21	@ HOU	3-5L	8	1	Push
04/19	vs LAD	2-0W	4	1	Under
04/18	vs LAD	2-6L	6	1	Push
04/17	vs LAD	6-4W	8	2	Over
04/16	vs OAK	6-7L	12	1	Over
04/15	vs OAK	3-1W	10	0	Under
04/14	vs OAK	1-2L	8	1	Under
04/12	vs SF	1-7L	4	1	Push
04/11	vs SF	5-3W	8	1	Push
04/10	vs SF	7-1W	10	1	Push

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/26	vs ATL	3-4L	7	1	Under
04/25	vs ATL	0-5L	3	0	Under
04/24	vs ATL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/23	vs CHC	6-3W	11	1	Over
04/22	vs CHC	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/22	vs CHC	3-5L	8	1	Push
04/21	vs CHC	3-8L	6	1	Over
04/19	@ SF	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Under
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Under
04/14	@ ATL	1-8L	6	0	Over
04/12	vs NYY	5-2W	6	1	Under
04/11	vs NYY	2-3L	4	0	Under

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.0	10.3	0.302	0.628	39.5%	102.3%	7.0%
#2 Joey Meneses	8.2	10.5	0.257	0.284	39.2%	67.6%	0.0%
#3 Jesse Winker	6.8	9.0	0.282	0.436	48.7%	92.3%	2.6%
#4 Riley Adams	6.9	9.0	0.25	0.458	33.3%	79.2%	4.2%
#5 Keibert Ruiz	6.9	8.9	0.171	0.257	25.7%	51.4%	2.9%
#6 Ildemaro Vargas	6.7	8.6	0.293	0.39	46.3%	85.4%	0.0%
#7 Nick Senzel	6.0	7.7	0.2	0.44	28.0%	72.0%	8.0%
#8 Trey Lipscomb	5.5	7.0	0.208	0.264	30.2%	56.6%	1.9%
#9 Jacob Young	5.8	7.2	0.271	0.333	33.3%	66.7%	0.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	8.8	10.9	0.299	0.364	38.3%	74.8%	0.0%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	8.4	10.8	0.262	0.439	29.9%	73.8%	4.7%
#3 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	9.2	12.0	0.237	0.355	36.6%	72.0%	2.2%
#4 Josh Bell	7.8	10.5	0.179	0.305	31.6%	62.1%	3.2%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	7.5	9.7	0.224	0.328	29.3%	62.1%	3.4%
#6 Tim Anderson	7.0	8.5	0.229	0.253	27.7%	53.0%	0.0%
#7 Nick Gordon	6.5	8.8	0.204	0.407	25.9%	66.7%	5.6%
#8 Emmanuel Rivera	6.2	7.7	0.234	0.255	36.2%	61.7%	0.0%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.2	6.7	0.109	0.152	17.4%	32.6%	0.0%