Nationals vs Marlins Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at LoanDepot Park as the Washington Nationals, sitting just shy of .500, roll into Miami to clash with the struggling Marlins in a game that promises more twists than a Florida hurricane. With the first pitch slated for 06:40 PM EST, the Nationals are looking to build on their recent victory and keep climbing up the National League ladder, while the Marlins, deep in the conference’s basement, are desperate to turn their fortunes around after their last soggy performance. The stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that suggests runs might be as plentiful as the humidity in tonight’s partly cloudy, breezy backdrop. After their last explosive encounter, where the Nationals emerged victorious, tonight’s matchup could be anyone’s game. So, as these two teams dive back into the fray, let’s see if the Marlins can swim upstream or if the Nationals have truly set up camp in victory lane!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 29, 2024 06:40PM EST

Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami

Weather: Partly cloudy with winds from the E at 10.5 mph. Temperature is at 78.1° with 60% humidity.

Vegas Odds

	WAS ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-155	8.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-900	+500	6.0	1.5/-1.5
Difference	-1030	+655	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

104W-149L

90.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

120W-134L

10.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Runs	O/U	O/U DIFF
04/26/24	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-4.5
04/26/24	Miami Marlins MIA	1	Under	-4.5
04/27/24	Washington Nationals WAS	11	Over	+6.5
04/27/24	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+6.5
04/28/24	Washington Nationals WAS	12	Over	+12.5
04/28/24	Miami Marlins MIA	9	Over	+12.5
05/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+0.5
05/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Over	+0.5
05/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-1.5
05/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-1.5
05/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-0.5
05/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-0.5
06/16/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+2.5
06/16/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+2.5
06/17/23	Miami Marlins MIA	5	Under	-1.5
06/17/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-1.5
06/18/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Under	-2.5
06/18/23	Washington Nationals WAS	2	Under	-2.5
08/25/23	Washington Nationals WAS	7	Over	+2.5
08/25/23	Miami Marlins MIA	4	Over	+2.5
08/26/23	Washington Nationals WAS	3	Under	-3.5
08/26/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-3.5
08/27/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-5.5
08/27/23	Miami Marlins MIA	2	Under	-5.5
08/31/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Under	-1.5
08/31/23	Washington Nationals WAS	1	Under	-1.5
09/01/23	Miami Marlins MIA	8	Over	+4.5
09/01/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+4.5
09/02/23	Miami Marlins MIA	11	Over	+7.5
09/02/23	Washington Nationals WAS	5	Over	+7.5
09/03/23	Miami Marlins MIA	6	Over	+1.5
09/03/23	Washington Nationals WAS	4	Over	+1.5

Nationals Vs Over/Under

Marlins Vs Over/Under

Jake Irvin

ERA 4.554 | IP 27.7 | 1.0W-2.0L | KO 23.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-24-24	vsLAD	11-2L	4.7	12	6	3	Over
04-17-24	@LAD	2-0W	6.0	4	0	6	Under
04-12-24	@OAK	1-2L	6.0	1	1	5	Under
04-06-24	vsPHI	5-2L	6.0	5	4	5	Over
03-31-24	@CIN	5-6L	5.0	7	3	4	Over
09-21-23	vsATL	10-3L	2.7	7	5	1	Over
09-15-23	@MIL	3-5L	4.7	3	4	6	Over
09-09-23	vsLAD	6-7W	6.0	3	1	4	Over
09-01-23	vsMIA	8-5L	5.0	4	3	4	Over
08-26-23	@MIA	3-2W	6.0	4	1	3	Under

Trevor Rogers

ERA 4.101 | IP 26.3 | 0.0W-3.0L | KO 24.0

Date	Matchup	Result	IP	Hits	Runs	KO	Over
04-23-24	@ATL	0-5L	5.7	7	5	4	Under
04-17-24	vsSF	3-1L	5.7	4	1	6	Under
04-12-24	vsATL	8-1L	5.0	8	2	5	Over
04-06-24	@STL	1-3L	5.0	5	3	3	Under
03-31-24	vsPIT	9-7L	5.0	7	4	6	Over
04-19-23	vsSF	5-2L	3.0	3	1	3	Over
04-14-23	vsARI	1-5W	6.0	5	1	7	Push
04-08-23	@NYM	2-5L	4.7	4	3	5	Over
04-02-23	vsNYM	5-1L	4.3	4	4	4	Push
09-17-22	vsWAS	5-1L	1.0	3	2	1	Push

Nationals Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/30	vs MIA	12-9W	14	2	Over
04/29	vs MIA	11-4W	11	3	Over
04/28	vs MIA	3-1W	8	0	Under
04/27	@ LAD	1-2L	7	0	Under
04/26	@ LAD	2-11L	3	1	Over
04/25	@ LAD	1-4L	7	0	Under
04/23	@ HOU	6-0W	11	1	Push
04/22	@ HOU	5-4W	9	1	Over
04/21	@ HOU	3-5L	8	1	Over
04/19	vs LAD	2-0W	4	1	Under
04/18	vs LAD	2-6L	6	1	Over
04/17	vs LAD	6-4W	8	2	Over
04/16	vs OAK	6-7L	12	1	Over
04/15	vs OAK	3-1W	10	0	Under
04/14	vs OAK	1-2L	8	1	Under

Marlins Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Hits	HR	O/U
04/30	@ WAS	9-12L	12	1	Over
04/29	@ WAS	4-11L	13	1	Over
04/28	@ WAS	1-3L	6	0	Under
04/26	vs ATL	3-4L	7	1	Over
04/25	vs ATL	0-5L	3	0	Under
04/24	vs ATL	0-3L	8	0	Under
04/23	vs CHC	6-3W	11	1	Over
04/22	vs CHC	3-5L	8	1	Over
04/22	vs CHC	3-2W	8	1	Under
04/21	vs CHC	3-8L	6	1	Over
04/19	@ SF	1-3L	6	1	Under
04/18	@ SF	6-3W	8	0	Over
04/17	@ SF	3-4L	10	1	Over
04/16	@ ATL	7-9L	9	2	Over
04/15	@ ATL	5-1W	8	1	Push

Team’s Batting Order

Washington Nationals	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 CJ Abrams	8.2	10.6	0.296	0.612	40.8%	102.0%	6.1%
#2 Nick Senzel	6.9	9.4	0.222	0.639	27.8%	91.7%	13.9%
#3 Joey Meneses	7.2	9.2	0.236	0.258	34.8%	60.7%	0.0%
#4 Keibert Ruiz	6.7	8.8	0.167	0.31	28.6%	59.5%	4.8%
#5 Ildemaro Vargas	7.1	9.1	0.304	0.413	45.7%	87.0%	0.0%
#6 Trey Lipscomb	6.8	8.6	0.292	0.354	40.0%	75.4%	1.5%
#7 Alex Call	5.9	8.0	1.0	1.0	250.0%	350.0%	0.0%
#9 Jacob Young	5.9	7.5	0.333	0.4	40.0%	80.0%	0.0%

Miami Marlins	DK	FD	AVG	SLG	OBP	OPP	HR/Rate
#1 Luis Arraez	9.6	11.8	0.305	0.364	39.0%	75.4%	0.0%
#2 Bryan De La Cruz	7.4	9.5	0.261	0.437	31.1%	74.8%	4.2%
#3 Jazz Chisholm Jr.	9.4	12.4	0.235	0.373	38.2%	75.5%	2.9%
#4 Josh Bell	8.5	11.5	0.176	0.287	30.6%	59.3%	2.8%
#5 Jesus Sanchez	9.8	12.5	0.227	0.318	28.8%	60.6%	3.0%
#6 Tim Anderson	6.5	8.0	0.223	0.255	28.7%	54.3%	0.0%
#7 Nick Gordon	7.0	9.4	0.197	0.377	24.6%	62.3%	4.9%
#9 Nick Fortes	5.0	6.4	0.132	0.17	18.9%	35.8%	0.0%