Strategy and Stats for 05/07/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock strikes 3:37 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy landscape ignites with a thrilling 15-game slate, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Fantasy aficionados, prepare your lineups as we spotlight the crème de la crème of today’s players, poised to dominate their positions. Topping today’s watchlist, the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies clash at Coors Field at 8:40 PM EST, where the thin mountain air is ripe for a scoring spree, hinted by an enticing Over/Under of 10.5. This game not only promises high-altitude action but also serves as a fertile ground for hitters, making it a pivotal focus for those looking to capitalize in daily fantasy. Stay tuned as we dive deeper into each game, unpacking the potential fantasy goldmines and sleeper picks that could turn the tide in your favor.

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5000), Toronto Blue Jays – Projected 13.8 pts

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a beacon of consistency for the Blue Jays, and his recent performances suggest an upward trajectory in his fantasy output. Over the last ten games, Guerrero Jr. has seen a 17.8% increase in DraftKings points per game, now averaging 7.2 points. His ability to convert at-bats into valuable fantasy points is highlighted by a 53.2% increase in total bases per game compared to his previous ten games. With a DraftKings salary of $5000 and a DFS value score of 2.8, Guerrero Jr. offers strong value and is poised to capitalize against an unspecified opponent, making him a compelling choice for today’s roster.

Wilmer Flores ($4600), San Francisco Giants – Projected 13.2 pts

Wilmer Flores, while not as explosive as some of his counterparts, presents a solid option at first base. Facing Dakota Hudson of the Rockies, who ranks fifth in the MLB for hits allowed per game, Flores has a favorable matchup to exploit. His recent stats show a 14.0% increase in DraftKings points per game, now averaging 5.2 points. Notably, his runs per game have surged by 81.8%, and his total bases per game have improved by 53.8%. With a DraftKings salary of $4600 and a DFS value score of 2.9, Flores is positioned as a strong value pick who could exceed expectations in today’s game.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Thairo Estrada ($4200), Giants – Projected 13.2 pts

Thairo Estrada of the San Francisco Giants has been on a notable uptrend in his recent performances. Over the last ten games, Estrada has averaged 7.7 DraftKings points per game, showing a significant improvement from his previous set of ten games where he averaged only 4.33 points. This surge in productivity is particularly impressive considering his total bases per game jumped from 1.11 to 1.8. Facing Dakota Hudson, who ranks fifth in hits allowed per game, Estrada’s matchup is favorable, which might explain his projected DFS value score of 3.1. Given his current form and matchup, Estrada represents an elite value pick at second base today.

Ketel Marte ($5200), Diamondbacks – Projected 12.9 pts

Ketel Marte of the Arizona Diamondbacks, on the other hand, has seen a dip in his recent performance metrics. His DraftKings points per game have decreased from 10.22 to 5.8 in his last ten outings. This decline is mirrored across several categories, including a significant drop in hits per game from 1.56 to 0.9. Despite this slump, Marte’s upcoming game against Frankie Montas could be a turning point. Montas ranks fourteenth in hits allowed per game, potentially giving Marte a chance to bounce back. His DFS value score is currently at 2.5, categorizing him as a strong value pick. While not at his peak, Marte still holds considerable potential for today’s fantasy lineup.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Rafael Devers ($5100), Boston Red Sox – Projected 12.6 pts

Rafael Devers has been on a notable upswing in his recent performances, making him a compelling pick for today’s games. Over his last ten games, Devers has averaged 9.1 DraftKings points per game, a significant improvement from his previous set of ten games where he averaged 5.78 points. This increase of 57.4% in fantasy points is supported by a substantial rise in hits per game, from 0.56 to 1.4, and a runs per game increase from 0.22 to 0.6. Despite a slight decrease in walks per game, his overall performance metrics suggest a strong upward trend. With a DraftKings salary of $5100 and a projected point total of 12.6, Devers holds a DFS value score of 2.5, positioning him as a strong value pick for today’s lineup.

Matt Chapman ($5200), San Francisco Giants – Projected 12.2 pts

Matt Chapman, in contrast, has seen a downturn in his recent performance metrics. His last ten games have yielded an average of only 2.8 DraftKings points, a sharp decline of 65.0% from the previous ten-game stretch where he averaged 8.0 points. This drop is reflected across several key statistics, including a significant decrease in doubles per game from 0.56 to 0.0 and total bases per game from 1.89 to 0.6. Despite facing Dakota Hudson of the COL, who ranks fifth for hits allowed per game, Chapman’s recent form does not inspire confidence. With a DraftKings salary of $5200 and a projected point total of 12.2, his DFS value score is 2.3, making him a core value pick, albeit with some risk given his current slump.

Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis: Shortstops Spotlight

Gunnar Henderson ($5800), Orioles – Projected 14.4 pts

Gunnar Henderson’s recent performance shows a significant dip compared to his earlier games. With an average of 7.2 DraftKings points in his last 10 games, down from 13.89 in the previous set, he’s seen a -48.2% decrease. Despite this, his upcoming matchup against Trevor Williams, who ranks #18 in hits allowed per game, might offer him a chance to rebound. His DFS value score stands at 2.5, positioning him as a strong value pick for the upcoming slate.

Bobby Witt Jr. ($6100), Royals – Projected 12.9 pts

Bobby Witt Jr. has shown an impressive uptick in his performance, averaging 12.5 DraftKings points over the last 10 games, a 56.2% increase from his previous 10 games’ average of 8.0. His consistency at the plate and ability to generate runs, evidenced by a 127.3% increase in runs per game, make him a noteworthy option. Despite facing Colin Rea of the Brewers, who is relatively tough on hitters, Witt Jr.’s DFS value score is 2.1, marking him as a core value player for daily fantasy lineups.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Will Smith ($5000), Dodgers – Projected 13.4 pts

Will Smith has been on a tear recently, averaging 12.1 DraftKings points over his last ten games, a significant improvement from his previous ten-game stretch where he averaged only 6.56 points. This uptick represents an impressive 84.5% increase. His batting has also seen substantial gains, with his hits per game jumping from 0.89 to 1.4, and his total bases per game more than doubling to 2.7. Facing Edward Cabrera, who ranks 11th in hits allowed per game, Smith’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score stands at 2.7, marking him as a strong value pick at the catcher position for today’s slate.

Adley Rutschman ($5500), Orioles – Projected 13.0 pts

Adley Rutschman, while slightly less explosive than Smith in recent games, still holds solid potential for today’s DFS. He’s maintained a steady performance with 9.4 DraftKings points on average in his last ten outings, nearly matching his previous performance of 9.33 points. His consistency is evident, though his hits per game have seen a slight decline from 1.67 to 1.3. However, his power metrics remain strong, with home runs per game sustaining a 172.7% increase. Facing Trevor Williams, who is 18th in hits allowed per game, Rutschman could exploit this matchup. His DFS value score is 2.4, positioning him as a core value choice for today’s games.

Top Outfielders’ Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis

Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6200), Braves – Projected 14.5 pts

Ronald Acuna Jr. has shown a slight dip in performance in his last 10 games compared to the previous set, with a decrease in DraftKings points per game from 11.22 to 9.0, marking a -19.8% change. Despite this, his ability to generate runs has improved, showing a 12.4% increase. Facing Kutter Crawford, who ranks 22nd in hits allowed per game, Acuna’s matchup looks favorable. His DFS value score of 2.3 positions him as a core value pick for today’s slate.

None ($4800), Giants – Projected 14.4 pts

The player known as None has experienced a significant performance drop, with his DraftKings points plummeting from 8.33 to 2.9, a drastic -65.2% change. His hits and total bases have also seen notable declines. However, facing Dakota Hudson, who is 5th in hits allowed per game, might provide a rebound opportunity. Surprisingly, despite the recent downturn, None’s projected points align closely with Acuna’s, and his DFS value score is a 3.0, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s games.