Strategy and Stats for 05/11/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

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Today’s MLB fantasy slate is packed with action, featuring 15 games that kick off at 3:07 PM EST, promising a full day of baseball excitement. Fantasy managers should particularly note the Texas Rangers’ visit to Colorado, where they face the Rockies at Coors Field at 8:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.0, this game is expected to be a treasure trove of fantasy points, making it a critical focus for those looking to dominate their leagues. As we delve deeper into today’s matchups, keep an eye on the top projected players at each position, whose performances could make or break your fantasy outcomes. Stay tuned as we break down each game, providing you with the insights needed to craft your winning strategy.

GameTime Away Team Home Team O/U Fav
3:07 PM EST Twins 23-15 Blue Jays 17-21 7.5 TOR -160
4:05 PM EST Cubs 23-16 Pirates 17-22 7.0 CHC -114
4:05 PM EST Diamondbacks 18-21 Orioles 25-12 8.5 BAL -178
4:10 PM EST Braves 23-12 Mets 18-19 7.5 ATL -157
4:10 PM EST Phillies 27-12 Marlins 10-30 7.5 PHI -130
4:10 PM EST Yankees 26-14 Rays 19-20 8.0 NYY -130
4:10 PM EST Nationals 19-18 Red Sox 19-19 8.5 BOS -158
6:10 PM EST Astros 14-24 Tigers 19-19 7.0 DET -134
7:10 PM EST Guardians 24-15 White Sox 11-28 8.0 CLE -164
7:15 PM EST Cardinals 15-23 Brewers 23-15 8.0 MIL -174
7:15 PM EST Reds 17-21 Giants 17-23 7.5 CIN -118
8:10 PM EST Rangers 22-18 Rockies 10-28 10.0 TEX -175
8:40 PM EST Dodgers 26-14 Padres 21-20 9.0 LAD -155
9:38 PM EST Royals 24-16 Angels 14-25 8.0 KC -142
9:40 PM EST Athletics 18-22 Mariners 21-18 7.5 SEA -230

Top 1B Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Freddie Freeman ($5500), Dodgers – Projected 14.7 pts

Freddie Freeman’s recent performance shows a slight dip in his fantasy output, with his DraftKings points per game dropping from 9.0 to 8.1, a decrease of 10%. Despite this, his matchup against Matt Waldron, who is notably generous in allowing hits, positions Freeman as a potentially lucrative pick. His projected DFS value score of 2.7 categorizes him as a strong value pick for today’s slate. His ability to consistently get on base, evidenced by a 13.8% increase in total bases per game recently, makes him a solid choice at first base.

Nate Lowe ($4700), Rangers – Projected 13.7 pts

Nate Lowe presents an intriguing option today, especially considering his upward trajectory in performance. Over the last ten games, Lowe has seen a significant 58.3% increase in his DraftKings points per game, soaring from 6.0 to 9.5. Facing Ryan Feltner, who ranks fourth in hits allowed per game, Lowe’s chances to capitalize are high. His DFS value score of 2.9 places him in the strong value category, bolstered by a 172.7% increase in walks per game and a notable improvement in doubles per game by 263.6%. Lowe could be a key player in today’s fantasy lineups.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Marcus Semien ($6000), Texas Rangers – Projected 15.6 pts

Marcus Semien has been on a remarkable upswing, making him a pivotal player in today’s DFS lineup. Over his last ten games, Semien has doubled his fantasy output compared to the previous set, showcasing a significant increase in hits, singles, and runs scored. His performance against pitchers like Ryan Feltner, who ranks high in hits allowed, positions Semien as a potentially lucrative pick. With a DraftKings salary of $6000 and an average of 10.6 points per game recently, his projected points sit at an impressive 15.6. His DFS value score of 2.6 indicates strong value, making him a compelling choice for today’s games.

Andres Gimenez ($5300), Cleveland Indians – Projected 11.3 pts

Andres Gimenez, while not as explosive as Semien, still holds potential against Mike Clevinger of the CWS, who leads in hits allowed per game. Gimenez’s recent performance shows a steady, albeit modest, improvement in fantasy points and total bases. His consistency, coupled with a favorable matchup, suggests a potential for scoring above his average. With a DraftKings salary of $5300 and an average of 5.9 points in his recent games, Gimenez is projected to score 11.3 points today. His DFS value score of 2.1 positions him as a core value pick, suitable for those looking to balance their roster with a reliable, budget-friendly option.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Rafael Devers ($4700), Boston Red Sox – Projected 14.1 pts

Rafael Devers continues to be a pivotal player for the Boston Red Sox, and his recent performance suggests he’s in good form to deliver significant fantasy points. Over the last ten games, Devers has maintained a solid average of 8.4 DraftKings points per game. Despite a slight decrease in home runs and total bases compared to his previous ten games, Devers has shown improvements in walks and singles. Facing Jake Irvin, who ranks 10th in hits allowed per game, Devers is well-positioned to exploit this matchup. With a projected point total of 14.1 and a DFS value score of 3.0, Devers is an elite value pick for today’s games.

Jose Ramirez ($6100), Cleveland Indians – Projected 12.7 pts

Jose Ramirez of the Cleveland Indians comes at a higher price but offers robust potential in today’s DFS contests. Ramirez has averaged 9.9 DraftKings points over his last ten outings, slightly down from his previous performance. However, his power stats have seen an uptick with an increase in home runs and total bases, making him a threat at the plate. Facing Mike Clevinger, who leads the league in hits allowed per game, Ramirez could capitalize significantly. Despite the high salary, his projected points stand at 12.7 with a DFS value score of 2.1, marking him as a core value player for today.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Shortstop Analysis

Mookie Betts ($6600), Dodgers – Projected 15.3 pts

Mookie Betts, traditionally known for his outfield prowess, steps into the shortstop role for the Dodgers. Over the last ten games, Betts has seen a dip in his performance, averaging only 5.6 DraftKings points, a significant drop from his previous 12.89. Despite this, his upcoming matchup against Matt Waldron, who ranks seventh in hits allowed per game, positions Betts for a potential bounce-back. His projected DFS value score of 2.3 categorizes him as a core value pick, suggesting that while he may not reach the heights of his earlier performances, he still holds considerable upside given his salary and the favorable pitching matchup.

Corey Seager ($5900), Rangers – Projected 14.5 pts

Corey Seager of the Rangers shows a promising uptrend in his recent performances, with a notable increase in DraftKings points from 4.0 to 7.8 in his last ten games. Facing Ryan Feltner, who is fourth in hits allowed per game, Seager’s chances of capitalizing on this matchup are high. His improvement in hits, home runs, and total bases contributes to a projected DFS value score of 2.5. This strong value designation highlights Seager as a potentially lucrative option for DFS lineups, especially considering his lower salary and recent upward trajectory in fantasy scoring.

Daily Fantasy Sports: Catcher Insights

Adley Rutschman ($5400), Orioles – Projected 11.5 pts

Adley Rutschman, the promising catcher for the Orioles, has shown fluctuating performance metrics over his last 20 games. With an average of 7.5 DraftKings points in his recent ten games, down from 9.89 in the previous set, Rutschman’s output has decreased by 24.2%. Despite this dip, his matchup against the ARI, who rank third in hits allowed per game, presents a potential rebound opportunity. His recent performance includes an increase in doubles per game, up by 172.7%, although his home run rate has halved. With a DraftKings salary of $5400 and a projected point total of 11.5, Rutschman holds a 2.1 DFS value score, positioning him as a core value pick in today’s fantasy lineup.

Cal Raleigh ($3800), Mariners – Projected 11.4 pts

Cal Raleigh of the Mariners, despite his team’s low rank in fantasy point generation, has been a slightly more consistent performer than Rutschman. Raleigh’s last ten games have seen him average 8.1 DraftKings points, a decline from 10.33 points in the previous ten games. His hitting has decreased notably, with a 40% drop in hits per game and a significant 64.3% decrease in singles. However, his walk rate has improved by 13.6%. Given his lower salary of $3800 and a projected point total close to Rutschman’s at 11.4, Raleigh emerges with an 3.0 DFS value score, making him an elite value choice for today’s games, especially considering his potential for home runs and total bases.

Top Outfielder Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Evan Carter ($5000), Texas Rangers – Projected 14.7 pts

Evan Carter’s recent performance shows a mixed bag of results, but with a promising upside against Ryan Feltner, who ranks fourth in hits allowed per game. Over the last ten games, Carter has seen a slight dip in his DraftKings points per game, averaging 5.2 compared to 7.44 in the previous set. Despite a significant drop in home runs and total bases, his walks have increased dramatically. Facing a pitcher prone to giving up hits, Carter’s ability to get on base could translate into scoring opportunities, making his DFS value score of 2.9 a strong play in today’s matchups.

Adolis Garcia ($6200), Texas Rangers – Projected 13.8 pts

Adolis Garcia, another Rangers outfielder, has experienced a notable decline in his performance metrics, with his DraftKings points plummeting from 10.33 to 4.1 in his last ten games. His hits, home runs, and total bases have all decreased significantly, which is concerning. However, Garcia’s matchup against Feltner, who is generous in allowing hits, might offer a chance for redemption. Despite the recent struggles, Garcia’s ability to improve his singles and maintain a steady walk rate provides a glimmer of hope. His DFS value score stands at 2.2, positioning him as a core value pick who could potentially exceed expectations if he capitalizes on the favorable pitching matchup.

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