Strategy and Stats for 05/27/24 Daily Fantasy MLB Slate

As the clock strikes 1:05 PM EST today, the MLB fantasy slate kicks off with an exhilarating lineup of 11 games, promising a spectacle of skill and strategy. Fantasy enthusiasts should particularly mark their calendars for the high-stakes face-off at Coors Field, where the Cleveland Guardians clash with the Colorado Rockies at 4:10 PM EST. With an Over/Under set at a whopping 10.0, this game is anticipated to be a treasure trove of fantasy points, making it a critical focus for those looking to dominate their leagues. As we delve deeper into today’s matchups, keep an eye on the top projected players at each position, whose recent performances and current matchups provide tantalizing hints at potential high scores. Stay tuned as we break down each game, offering insights that could be the key to your fantasy success.

Top 1B Players to Watch in Today’s DFS Slate

Freddie Freeman ($5500), Dodgers – Projected 14.1 pts

Freddie Freeman’s recent performance shows a slight dip compared to his previous games, with a decrease in DraftKings points per game from 8.67 to 6.7, marking a -22.7% change. Despite this, Freeman’s ability to adapt and score against pitchers like Tylor Megill, who ranks #13 in hits allowed per game, cannot be underestimated. His projected DFS value score of 2.6 positions him as a strong value pick for today’s games. His consistency in doubles and his potential for recovery in other areas make him a compelling choice for DFS players looking for reliability and potential upside.

Josh Naylor ($5600), Indians – Projected 13.1 pts

Josh Naylor has experienced a significant downturn in his performance, with a stark drop in hits per game from 1.11 to 0.4, a -64.0% decrease. His overall DraftKings points have also fallen by -41.6%, reflecting his struggle in the batter’s box. However, facing Austin Gomber might provide a chance to turn things around, considering Gomber’s tendency to allow 7.36 hits per game. Naylor’s DFS value score of 2.3 categorizes him as a core value pick, suggesting that while he carries risk, he also holds potential for DFS rosters, especially if he can capitalize on Gomber’s weaknesses.

Top Second Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Andres Gimenez ($5400), Cleveland – Projected 12.7 pts

Andres Gimenez has been on a notable upswing, with a significant improvement in his performance metrics over the last ten games. His DraftKings points per game have surged to 10.5 from 5.67, marking an 85.2% increase. Similarly, his FanDuel points have risen by 81.5%. His hits per game have more than doubled, jumping from 0.56 to 1.3, a 132.1% increase. Despite a drop in walks and doubles, Gimenez’s overall production has been robust. Facing Austin Gomber, who ranks 12th in hits allowed per game, Gimenez’s matchup looks favorable. With a DFS Value Score of 2.4, he stands out as a core value pick for today’s games.

Gavin Lux ($3200), Los Angeles – Projected 11.7 pts

Gavin Lux presents an intriguing option at a lower salary. Over the last ten games, Lux has seen a slight decline in performance compared to his previous ten games, with his DraftKings points dropping to 4.1 from 5.78. However, his hits have remained consistent, and he’s maintained a steady rate of triples. The matchup against Tylor Megill, who is 13th in hits allowed per game, could be advantageous for Lux. Despite recent dips, Lux’s projected points stand at 11.7, giving him a DFS Value Score of 3.7, categorizing him as an elite value pick for today’s slate.

Top Third Basemen Picks for Today’s DFS Slate

Jose Ramirez ($6400), Cleveland – Projected 14.4 pts

Jose Ramirez continues to be a pivotal player for Cleveland, especially in daily fantasy sports. Over the last ten games, Ramirez has shown a consistent uptick in performance, with an average of 14.8 DraftKings points per game, a 10.1% increase from his previous ten-game stretch. His ability to hit doubles has significantly improved, evidenced by a 172.7% increase, and his home run rate has also seen a substantial rise of 36.4%. Facing Austin Gomber, who ranks 12th in hits allowed per game, Ramirez’s matchup looks favorable. His projected DFS value score is 2.2, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s games.

Nolan Arenado ($3800), St. Louis – Projected 11.0 pts

Nolan Arenado, despite St. Louis’s low rank in MLB for generating fantasy points, presents a strong value opportunity in today’s DFS contests. His recent performances have seen a dip, with a 33.2% decrease in DraftKings points per game compared to the previous ten games. However, his price adjustment on DraftKings to $3800 reflects this, and his matchup against Nick Lodolo could turn to his advantage. Lodolo ranks 15th in hits allowed per game, which might allow Arenado to capitalize and improve on his recent stats. With a DFS value score of 2.9, Arenado is a strong value pick, offering potential upside at a lower cost.

Top Shortstop Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Mookie Betts ($6000), Dodgers – Projected 14.9 pts

Mookie Betts, playing shortstop for the Dodgers, showcases a notable uptick in his performance over the last ten games. With an average of 7.5 DraftKings points per game recently, Betts has demonstrated a consistent ability to outperform his previous metrics, particularly in doubles and walks, where he’s seen increases of 172.7% and 36.4%, respectively. Despite a slight dip in runs per game, his overall contribution remains solid. Facing Tylor Megill, who ranks 13th in hits allowed per game, Betts is poised to exploit this matchup. His DraftKings salary stands at $6000, with a projected point total that suggests a 2.5 DFS value score, marking him as a strong value pick for today’s games.

Elly De La Cruz ($6100), Reds – Projected 13.7 pts

Elly De La Cruz of the Reds, although experiencing a slight regression in his last ten games compared to the previous set, still holds potential for today’s fantasy lineup. His recent performance shows a minor improvement in hits per game but a notable decrease in home runs and runs scored. Facing Lance Lynn, who is 7th in hits allowed per game, De La Cruz might find opportunities to capitalize on Lynn’s vulnerability. With a DraftKings salary of $6100 and a projected point total of 13.7, De La Cruz earns a 2.2 DFS value score, positioning him as a core value player who could provide stability to your fantasy roster.

Top Catcher Picks for Today’s MLB Daily Fantasy Slate

Will Smith ($5100), Dodgers – Projected 12.4 pts

Will Smith of the Dodgers has shown a solid uptick in his performance metrics over the last 10 games compared to the previous 10, with notable improvements in hits, singles, doubles, and home runs. His DraftKings points per game have increased by 13.7% to 7.2, and his FanDuel points are up by 6.7%. Facing Tylor Megill, who ranks 13th in hits allowed per game, Smith’s recent form suggests he could exploit this matchup. With a DraftKings salary of $5100 and a projected points tally of 12.4, Smith offers a 2.4 DFS value score, positioning him as a core value pick for today’s games.

J.T. Realmuto ($8800), Phillies – Projected 11.3 pts

J.T. Realmuto has been consistently performing well, with a slight increase in his last 10 games’ DraftKings points per game to 8.6, up 6.0% from his previous 10 games. Despite facing Blake Snell, who leads the league in hits allowed per game, Realmuto’s high salary of $8800 on DraftKings reflects his elite status but results in a lower DFS value score of 1.3. His stats show a robust number of hits and a steady run production, but his high salary and the resulting low value score make him a risky choice for today’s slate.

Analyzing Outfielder Performances for Today’s DFS Slate

Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5800), Padres – Projected 12.4 pts

Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown fluctuating performance in his recent outings, with a noticeable dip in his hitting metrics compared to his previous 10 games. His DraftKings points per game have decreased by 13.9%, and his total bases per game have seen a 22.2% drop. Despite these challenges, Tatis Jr. is facing Trevor Rogers of the Marlins, who ranks high in hits allowed per game. This matchup could provide Tatis Jr. with opportunities to capitalize on Rogers’ vulnerabilities. With a projected DFS value score of 2.1, Tatis Jr. holds core value in today’s DFS contests, making him a potential key player for fantasy lineups.

Tyler Freeman ($4100), Indians – Projected 11.9 pts

Tyler Freeman enters today’s game on a strong upward trajectory, having significantly improved his performance in the last 10 games compared to the 10 games prior. His DraftKings points per game have surged by 53.4%, and his hits per game have nearly doubled. Facing Austin Gomber of the Rockies, who has a middle-tier rank in hits allowed per game, Freeman’s recent form suggests he could continue to find success. With a DFS value score of 2.9, Freeman presents strong value and could be an astute pick for DFS players looking to maximize returns on a modest salary.