Tip-Off Titans: Heat vs. Nuggets – Unraveling Game 4 of the NBA Finals with Expert Picks and Projections

Denver Nuggets -3.5 vs Miami Heat +3.5
It's a match to remember as the Nuggets and their 14-4 record face off against the capable Heat and their 14-9 record in Miami. Nuggets are struggling as a #23 ranked defense, while they boast a dynamic #2 ranked offense. Heat field a bottom-tier #22 defense, while they are powered by a top-5 offense. The Nuggets are one of the top teams in the NBA at generating DFS points at a whopping 233 per game which is 6.5% above the NBA avg. The Nuggets run a quick pace ranking #1 in the league with 116.7 points per game which is 7.6% above the NBA avg. We have an imbalance at the boards as the Nuggets rank #4 at grabbing a rebound while the Heat struggle ranking #28 in the league at grabbing them. The Heat rank #3 at putting points on the board with 111.5/gm, 2.8% above the average, while the Nuggets rank #26 at defending them allowing an average of 109.7 pts per game.

Heat hit the over 5 out of the last 8 games
Nuggets hit the over 8 out of the last 9 games