NBA GAME MATCHUP
Nuggets at Heat
08:30 PM EST
Denver Nuggets |
7W 2LSeason |
100.0%Home |
60.0%Away |
7W 2LLast 10 |
Miami Heat |
6W 2LSeason |
100.0%Home |
60.0%Away |
6W 2LLast 10 |
210.5
Over/Under
5 out of 8 (62.5%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
8 out of 9 (88.9%) of Nuggets games in last two years have hit the over
2 out of the last 3 (66.7%) Heat home games hit the over
5 out of the last 5 (100.0%) Nuggets away games hit the over
The Heat rank #3 at scoring averaging 111.5 points per game which is 3.0 over avg
The Heat rank #9 at defense allowing 104.2 points per game which is -6.8 below avg
The Nuggets rank #1 at scoring averaging 116.7 points per game which is 8.2 over avg
The Nuggets rank #5 at defense allowing 109.7 points per game which is -1.3 below avg
DEN -3.5 | MIA +3.5
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Nuggets (-3.5) wins today's game is 56.5%
The implied probability the Heat (+3.5) wins today's game is 50.0%
The Heat rank #3 in scoring baskets at 111.5/gm. The Nuggets
gives up 109.7 pts a game a difference of 1.8 pts per game.
The Nuggets rank #1 in scoring baskets at 116.7/gm. The Heat
gives up 104.2 pts a game a difference of 12.5 pts per game.
The Nuggets average +10.7 when they win and trail their opponent by -6.0 when they lose. They cover today's spread 66.7% of all games
The Heat average +12.2 when they win and trail their opponent by -7.5 when they lose. They cover today's spread 75.0% of all games
Nuggets Offense vs Heat Defense
| Stat | DEN OFF | vs NBA | DEN Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | MIA Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
232.7 |
+14.2 |
#2 |
207.0 |
-16.7 |
#22 |
FanDuel Pts |
229.9 |
+11.4 |
#2 |
200.6 |
-23.1 |
#22 |
Points |
116.7 |
+8.2 |
#1 |
104.2 |
-6.8 |
#22 |
Rebounds |
43.3 |
+0.2 |
#4 |
44.6 |
+0.9 |
#28 |
Assists |
26.8 |
+3.3 |
#2 |
21.4 |
-2.8 |
#23 |
Steals |
6.2 |
+0.6 |
#4 |
4.5 |
-1.3 |
#23 |
Blocks |
4.6 |
-0.1 |
#5 |
4.0 |
-0.9 |
#23 |
Turnovers |
11.2 |
-0.5 |
#6 |
14.8 |
+3.5 |
#30 |
Shots |
86.9 |
-0.5 |
#4 |
83.0 |
-4.7 |
#22 |
Three Pointers |
11.4 |
-0.5 |
#6 |
10.5 |
-1.7 |
#25 |
Heat Offense vs Nuggets Defense
| Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | Rank | DEN DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
220.0 |
+1.5 |
#5 |
213.0 |
-10.7 |
#23 |
FanDuel Pts |
216.9 |
-1.6 |
#4 |
211.1 |
-12.6 |
#24 |
Points |
111.5 |
+3.0 |
#3 |
109.7 |
-1.3 |
#26 |
Rebounds |
39.5 |
-3.6 |
#8 |
37.9 |
-5.8 |
#22 |
Assists |
23.8 |
+0.3 |
#4 |
24.4 |
+0.2 |
#27 |
Steals |
7.2 |
+1.6 |
#2 |
5.1 |
-0.7 |
#24 |
Blocks |
4.0 |
-0.7 |
#8 |
4.8 |
-0.1 |
#27 |
Turnovers |
11.4 |
-0.3 |
#5 |
10.3 |
-1.0 |
#23 |
Shots |
86.4 |
-1.0 |
#5 |
86.0 |
-1.7 |
#26 |
Three Pointers |
13.4 |
+1.5 |
#2 |
9.4 |
-2.8 |
#23 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
Nuggets Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | Nikola Jokic | 26.7 | 12.8 | 10.4 | 62.8 | 61.7 |
| PG | Jamal Murray | 24.0 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 44.9 | 43.4 |
| SF | Michael Porter Jr. | 14.8 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 26.3 | 25.2 |
| PF | Aaron Gordon | 12.6 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| PG/SF | Bruce Brown | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 20.7 | 20.9 |
| SG | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 9.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 19.2 | 19.5 |
| SG/SF | Christian Braun | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 7.3 | 7.4 |
| PF/C | Jeff Green | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7.3 | 7.2 |
Heat Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 27.4 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 50.3 | 51.2 |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 20.6 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 42.1 | 42.4 |
| PG | Kyle Lowry | 8.5 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 20.8 | 20.4 |
| PG/SG | Gabe Vincent | 10.0 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 19.7 | 18.9 |
| SG/SF | Caleb Martin | 8.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | 19.4 |
| PF/C | Kevin Love | 6.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 16.6 | 15.7 |
| SG/SF | Max Strus | 9.1 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 16.6 | 15.7 |
| SG/SF | Duncan Robinson | 7.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 12.6 | 11.6 |
| C | Cody Zeller | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| PF | Haywood Highsmith | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Nuggets Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-2023 |
LAL |
113-111W |
113 |
40 |
25 |
225.0 |
223.5 |
05-20-2023 |
LAL |
119-108W |
119 |
39 |
30 |
234.25 |
228.8 |
05-18-2023 |
LAL |
108-103W |
108 |
49 |
27 |
228.25 |
220.3 |
05-16-2023 |
LAL |
132-126W |
132 |
47 |
29 |
260.25 |
256.9 |
05-11-2023 |
PHX |
125-100W |
125 |
41 |
24 |
236.75 |
238.2 |
05-09-2023 |
PHX |
118-102W |
118 |
50 |
32 |
254.0 |
252.0 |
05-07-2023 |
PHX |
124-129L |
124 |
32 |
28 |
221.0 |
219.4 |
05-05-2023 |
PHX |
114-121L |
114 |
51 |
27 |
238.75 |
235.7 |
05-01-2023 |
PHX |
97-87W |
97 |
41 |
19 |
195.75 |
194.7 |
Heat Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-21-2023 |
BOS |
128-102W |
128 |
35 |
25 |
235.75 |
230.5 |
05-19-2023 |
BOS |
111-105W |
111 |
45 |
23 |
228.75 |
230.5 |
05-17-2023 |
BOS |
123-116W |
123 |
35 |
20 |
227.25 |
225.0 |
05-10-2023 |
NYK |
103-112L |
103 |
34 |
27 |
216.5 |
217.3 |
05-08-2023 |
NYK |
109-101W |
109 |
44 |
28 |
228.0 |
223.8 |
05-06-2023 |
NYK |
105-86W |
105 |
50 |
17 |
205.5 |
200.5 |
05-02-2023 |
NYK |
105-111L |
105 |
34 |
24 |
194.5 |
183.8 |
04-30-2023 |
NYK |
108-101W |
108 |
39 |
26 |
223.75 |
223.8 |