Boston Red Sox

56-51

Athletics

45-63

9:40 PM ET Sutter Health Park NESN

Back Boston behind Sonny Gray, the clear pitching edge in this Sutter Health Park mismatch.

Gray's 2.78 ERA and elite command tower over Barnett's shaky 4.83 BB/9.

SidePASS

TotalPASS

Strong7/10

Confidence

Gray owns a 2.78 ERA and 12-2 record over 106.2 innings.
Barnett walks 4.83 per nine with a 4.74 ERA.
Athletics strike out 8.66 per game, rank 8/30 in whiffs.

Best Bet If a line appears, Boston moneyline behind Sonny Gray is the play.

Total—

BOS Win—

ATH Win—

Vegas / Market

Total

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Run line

ATH —

BOS ML

—

ATH ML

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No game odds, total, or moneyline are available in the brief, so there is no de-vigged edge or implied team total to price. Without a posted number, the market cannot be graded against the read. Treat any bet as advisory only until a line is confirmed.

Pitching Matchup

BOS

Sonny Gray

12-2 · 106.2 IP

ERA

2.78

WHIP

1.16

K/9

7.9

BB/9

2.4

ATH

Mason Barnett

1-1 · 24.2 IP

ERA

4.74

WHIP

1.38

K/9

8.6

BB/9

4.8

Gray is the decisive edge, pairing a 2.78 ERA with sharp control at just 2.37 BB/9 and a manageable 1.16 WHIP across 19 starts. Barnett misses bats at 8.55 K/9 but his 4.83 BB/9 is a glaring command problem that fuels a 1.38 WHIP. This is a veteran ace versus a wild, low-inning arm, and the gap is wide.

Offense Comparison

BOSrank of 30ATH

4.2 21 Runs / G 15 4.5

0.245 15 AVG 12 0.246

0.94 29 HR / G 11 1.22

8.21 18 K / G 8 8.66

Boston is a contact-first, low-power group that ranks 29/30 in homers, so they profit more from Barnett's free passes than from slugging. The Athletics carry slightly more thump at 11/30 in HR/game but their 8/30 strikeout rate plays right into Gray's precision. Neither lineup is a premium stack, though Oakland's whiff tendency is the bigger liability tonight.

Weather & Park

Weather not yet available for this game.

Weather is not available for this game, so no wind or temperature read applies at outdoor Sutter Health Park.

DFS Angles

Lean a light Boston stack against Barnett's 4.83 BB/9, targeting on-base contact bats rather than power in this low-homer offense. Oakland is a secondary option given their strikeout-prone profile versus Gray.

Target Sonny Gray as a premium DFS anchor given his 2.78 ERA and matchup versus a high-strikeout lineup. Fade Barnett, whose 4.74 ERA and walk issues cap his ceiling.

BOS top bats

Willson Contreras 15.9 proj · $5,400 · 3.0x
Ceddanne Rafaela 14.4 proj · $4,400 · 3.3x
Wilyer Abreu 14.4 proj · $4,900 · 2.9x
Masataka Yoshida 12.5 proj · $3,000 · 4.2x
Caleb Durbin 12.3 proj · $3,700 · 3.3x

ATH top bats

Tyler Soderstrom 12.9 proj · $4,500 · 2.9x
Jacob Wilson 10.5 proj · $4,200 · 2.5x
Carlos Cortes 10.0 proj · $3,500 · 2.9x
Jonah Heim 9.9 proj · $3,100 · 3.2x
Donovan Walton 9.7 proj · $2,800 · 3.5x

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Players to Watch

Prop leans

Ceddanne Rafaela - hits over lean - team-high 1.95 projected hits.
Willson Contreras - RBI lean - 1.27 projected RBI, top Boston bat at 15.9 fpts.
Masataka Yoshida - hits lean - strong 4.15x value at $3000 with 1.62 projected hits.
Tyler Soderstrom - HR lean - Oakland's top power source at 0.29 projected HR.

On watch