Detroit Tigers

51-58

Athletics

45-64

9:40 PM ET Sutter Health Park NBCSCA

Ride Detroit and Casey Mize as the sharpest edge in a lopsided pitching matchup at Sutter Health Park.

Mize's elite ratios tower over Springs' bloated line, and the Tigers already own this season series.

SidePASS

TotalPASS

Lean6/10

Confidence

Mize carries a 2.70 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over 86.2 innings.
Springs owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP across 104 innings.
Detroit leads the season series 3-0 versus these Athletics.

Best Bet For DFS, roster Casey Mize as the premier arm given his 2.70 ERA and 0.99 WHIP against a shaky Athletics offense.

Total—

DET Win—

ATH Win—

Vegas / Market

Total

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Run line

ATH —

DET ML

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ATH ML

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No game odds, total, spread, or moneyline were provided in the brief, so there is no line to grade for softness or de-vigged edge. Without a posted number, implied team totals cannot be calculated. Any market-based conclusion here would be invented, so we withhold a price-based read.

Pitching Matchup

DET

Casey Mize

4-6 · 86.2 IP

ERA

2.70

WHIP

0.99

K/9

8.9

BB/9

2.0

ATH

Jeffrey Springs

3-10 · 104.0 IP

ERA

6.23

WHIP

1.45

K/9

7.4

BB/9

3.4

Mize is the clear edge, pairing an 8.87 K/9 with pristine 1.98 BB/9 command and a stingy 7.00 H/9. Springs misses fewer bats at 7.44 K/9 while walking 3.38 per nine and surrendering hits at a 9.69 H/9 clip. This is a strong-arm-versus-struggling-arm gap that favors Detroit heavily.

Offense Comparison

DETrank of 30ATH

4.3 18 Runs / G 15 4.4

0.238 22 AVG 12 0.245

1.20 12 HR / G 11 1.22

8.65 10 K / G 9 8.71

Detroit's lineup, fronted by Torres, McGonigle, and Dingler, projects to feast on a Springs profile that allows contact and traffic. The Athletics counter with Soderstrom and Wilson but both offenses strike out often, ranking 10th and 9th in K/game. Detroit's slight power edge and better matchup make the Tigers the stronger stack against the weaker starter.

Weather & Park

Weather not yet available for this game.

Weather is not available for this game, so no wind or temperature effect can be assessed. Sutter Health Park is an outdoor venue, but no park-factor number is provided to lean on.

DFS Angles

Stack the Tigers against Springs, whose 6.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP invite the Torres-McGonigle-Dingler top of the order to produce.

Target Mize as an elite play and fade Springs, whose ratios make him a liability. Value bats include Torres at $4500 (3.46x) and Torkelson at $3800 (3.41x).

DET top bats

Dillon Dingler 15.6 proj · $5,800 · 2.7x
Gleyber Torres 15.6 proj · $4,500 · 3.5x
Kevin McGonigle 14.4 proj · $5,000 · 2.9x
Riley Greene 14.1 proj · $4,900 · 2.9x
Spencer Torkelson 13.0 proj · $3,800 · 3.4x

ATH top bats

Tyler Soderstrom 12.7 proj · $4,700 · 2.7x
Jacob Wilson 11.0 proj · $4,400 · 2.5x
Carlos Cortes 10.0 proj · $3,700 · 2.7x
Jonah Heim 9.8 proj · $3,300 · 3.0x
Donovan Walton 9.5 proj · $3,200 · 3.0x

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Players to Watch

Prop leans

Kevin McGonigle - hits over lean - projects a team-best 2.02 hits versus Springs.
Gleyber Torres - hits plus RBI lean - 1.93 projected hits and 1.29 RBI leading off.
Dillon Dingler - RBI lean - top projected 15.6 fpts with 1.10 RBI in cleanup.

On watch

Casey Mize - dominant ratios could yield a low-run, high-K start.
Tyler Soderstrom - Athletics' top projected bat at 12.7 fpts must carry the offense.
Jacob Wilson - leadoff table-setter with 1.63 projected hits.
Spencer Torkelson - cheap $3800 power source at 3.41x value.

View all DET & ATH props →