Detroit Tigers

55-58

Seattle Mariners

55-59

9:40 PM ET T-Mobile Park Mariners.TV

Back the under 7.5 with two whiff-heavy lineups and Bryan Woo's plus command anchoring the home side.

Seattle's near-bottom offense and Detroit's bullpen-game starter point to a low-event night despite the sides staying close.

SidePASS

TotalBET UNDER 7.5

Lean6/10

Confidence

Seattle ranks 28th in runs and 30th in AVG at .230.
Woo's 1.95 BB/9 and 1.15 WHIP limit free traffic.
Implied team totals sum to exactly 7.5, offering under value.

Best Bet Under 7.5 is the highest-conviction play given Seattle's 28th-ranked offense and Woo's control.

Total7.5

DET Win42%

SEA Win60%

Implied DET3.5

Implied SEA4.0

Vegas / Market

Total

7.5

Run line

SEA 1.5

DET ML

+138 42%

SEA ML

-148 60%

DET3.5

SEA4.0

Seattle at -148 implies 4.0 runs, which feels rich for a lineup ranked 28th in scoring, while Detroit at +138 sits at 3.5. The total's de-vigged team totals add up to the posted 7.5, meaning no built-in edge on the number itself. The line is efficient, so lean the under only on the profile read rather than a pricing gap.

Pitching Matchup

DET

Drew Anderson

4-4 · 63.2 IP

ERA

4.24

WHIP

1.30

K/9

11.1

BB/9

3.4

SEA

Bryan Woo

7-8 · 120.1 IP

ERA

4.56

WHIP

1.15

K/9

9.1

BB/9

2.0

Woo brings the cleaner profile with elite control, a 1.95 BB/9 and sub-1.20 WHIP across a real 120.1-inning starter's workload. Anderson misses more bats at 11.11 K/9 but pairs a 1.30 WHIP with 3.42 BB/9 across 40 appearances and just 63.2 innings, hinting at a short bullpen-game outing. Edge to Woo for length and command.

Offense Comparison

DETrank of 30SEA

4.5 13 Runs / G 28 4.0

0.243 17 AVG 30 0.230

1.25 9 HR / G 15 1.16

8.66 10 K / G 12 8.58

Detroit's lineup carries the better shape, ninth in HR/game with power bats like Greene and Torkelson who can punish, though Woo's strike-throwing shrinks the stack ceiling. Seattle's group is the softer matchup on paper but should benefit from Anderson's walk rate, with Arozarena, Rodriguez, and Raleigh as the leverage names. Both offenses fan often, capping upside.

Weather & Park

4 mph out to LF · favors hitters

Conditions

Sunny

Temp

61°

Humidity

74%

humid, lighter air, slight carry

T-Mobile Park has a retractable roof, so treat weather as a non-factor with no wind or temperature swing on run scoring.

DFS Angles

If chasing upside, Seattle bats are the tournament play against Anderson's 3.42 BB/9 and short leash, with Arozarena and Rodriguez the top salary values. Detroit's power core is the safer cash-side stack but faces Woo's strike-throwing.

Woo is the SP to target for command and length, offering a stable floor. Anderson's high K/9 tempts but the bullpen-game workload and walk rate make him a risky DFS start.

DET top bats

Riley Greene 10.8 proj · $4,700 · 2.3x
Kevin McGonigle 10.8 proj · $4,800 · 2.2x
Dillon Dingler 9.3 proj · $5,500 · 1.7x
Gleyber Torres 8.3 proj · $4,400 · 1.9x
Spencer Torkelson 7.8 proj · $4,200 · 1.9x

SEA top bats

Randy Arozarena 11.6 proj · $4,800 · 2.4x
Julio Rodriguez 11.0 proj · $4,500 · 2.5x
Cal Raleigh 9.7 proj · $4,000 · 2.4x
Cole Young 9.4 proj · $3,600 · 2.6x
Dominic Canzone 9.4 proj · $3,800 · 2.5x

Build this slate in the optimizer See player props

Players to Watch

Prop leans

Randy Arozarena - hits over lean - team-high 1.52 projected hits versus Anderson.
Cal Raleigh - HR lean - 0.30 projected homers leads Seattle's board.
Kevin McGonigle - hits lean - 1.51 projected hits from the leadoff spot.
Julio Rodriguez - RBI lean - 0.77 projected RBI in a run-producing role.

On watch