NBA GAME MATCHUP
Heat at Celtics
08:30 PM EST
Miami Heat |
9W 5LSeason |
85.7%Home |
42.9%Away |
7W 3LLast 10 |
Boston Celtics |
9W 5LSeason |
62.5%Home |
66.7%Away |
5W 5LLast 10 |
211.0
Over/Under
12 out of 14 (85.7%) of Celtics games in last two years have hit the over
10 out of 14 (71.4%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
7 out of the last 8 (87.5%) Celtics home games hit the over
5 out of the last 7 (71.4%) Heat away games hit the over
The Celtics rank #7 at scoring averaging 116.5 points per game which is 5.0 over avg
The Celtics rank #18 at defense allowing 109.7 points per game which is -4.3 below avg
The Heat rank #13 at scoring averaging 113.4 points per game which is 1.9 over avg
The Heat rank #18 at defense allowing 109.7 points per game which is -4.3 below avg
MIA +8.0 | BOS -8.0
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+8.0) wins today's game is 26.3%
The implied probability the Celtics (-8.0) wins today's game is 78.3%
The Celtics rank #7 in scoring baskets at 116.5/gm. The Heat
gives up 109.7 pts a game a difference of 6.8 pts per game.
The Heat rank #13 in scoring baskets at 113.4/gm. The Celtics
gives up 109.7 pts a game a difference of 3.7 pts per game.
The Heat average +11.1 when they win and trail their opponent by -9.6 when they lose. They cover today's spread 78.6% of all games
The Celtics average +13.6 when they win and trail their opponent by -5.4 when they lose. They cover today's spread 42.9% of all games
Heat Offense vs Celtics Defense
| Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | MIA Rank | BOS DEF | vs NBA | BOS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
226.2 |
-2.4 |
#15 |
222.3 |
-13.1 |
#8 |
FanDuel Pts |
221.7 |
-6.9 |
#20 |
221.4 |
-14.0 |
#9 |
Points |
113.4 |
+1.9 |
#13 |
109.7 |
-4.3 |
#13 |
Rebounds |
42.5 |
-2.6 |
#24 |
42.5 |
-3.3 |
#5 |
Assists |
24.8 |
-0.4 |
#16 |
21.6 |
-4.5 |
#3 |
Steals |
7.5 |
+0.1 |
#13 |
8.2 |
+0.6 |
#19 |
Blocks |
3.6 |
-1.0 |
#23 |
5.1 |
+0.0 |
#18 |
Turnovers |
13.1 |
-0.7 |
#18 |
11.6 |
-2.1 |
#4 |
Shots |
88.0 |
-1.7 |
#20 |
90.5 |
+0.7 |
#18 |
Three Pointers |
13.9 |
+2.1 |
#7 |
12.6 |
-0.1 |
#16 |
Celtics Offense vs Heat Defense
| Stat | BOS OFF | vs NBA | Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
239.5 |
+10.9 |
#6 |
222.0 |
-13.4 |
#7 |
FanDuel Pts |
234.9 |
+6.3 |
#8 |
216.0 |
-19.4 |
#7 |
Points |
116.5 |
+5.0 |
#7 |
109.7 |
-4.3 |
#13 |
Rebounds |
45.2 |
+0.1 |
#15 |
46.1 |
+0.3 |
#21 |
Assists |
27.1 |
+1.9 |
#7 |
24.1 |
-2.0 |
#11 |
Steals |
5.7 |
-1.7 |
#28 |
6.1 |
-1.5 |
#9 |
Blocks |
6.5 |
+1.9 |
#5 |
3.6 |
-1.5 |
#5 |
Turnovers |
13.1 |
-0.7 |
#18 |
14.2 |
+0.5 |
#20 |
Shots |
86.6 |
-3.1 |
#23 |
87.2 |
-2.6 |
#9 |
Three Pointers |
16.1 |
+4.3 |
#2 |
12.4 |
-0.3 |
#14 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
Heat Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 26.2 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 48.0 | 48.8 |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 20.0 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 40.6 | 40.9 |
| PG | Kyle Lowry | 9.3 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 22.8 | 22.3 |
| PG/SG | Gabe Vincent | 10.2 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 20.2 | 19.4 |
| SG/SF | Max Strus | 10.1 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 18.7 | 17.7 |
| SF/PF | Caleb Martin | 7.8 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 17.3 | 17.2 |
| PF/C | Kevin Love | 6.2 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 15.9 | 15.0 |
| C | Cody Zeller | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| SG/SF | Duncan Robinson | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8.1 | 7.5 |
| PF | Haywood Highsmith | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Celtics Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jayson Tatum | 29.6 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 53.5 | 51.8 |
| SG/SF | Jaylen Brown | 24.1 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 40.3 | 38.8 |
| PG | Marcus Smart | 13.0 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 31.5 | 31.0 |
| PG | Malcolm Brogdon | 14.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 28.2 | 27.1 |
| PF/C | Al Horford | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 24.5 | 24.5 |
| C | Robert Williams | 7.6 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 23.3 | 24.4 |
| PG/SG | Derrick White | 8.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 18.9 | 18.8 |
| SF/PF | Grant Williams | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| SG/SF | Sam Hauser | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Heat Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-10-2023 |
NYK |
103-112L |
103 |
34 |
27 |
216.5 |
217.3 |
05-08-2023 |
NYK |
109-101W |
109 |
44 |
28 |
228.0 |
223.8 |
05-06-2023 |
NYK |
105-86W |
105 |
50 |
17 |
205.5 |
200.5 |
05-02-2023 |
NYK |
105-111L |
105 |
34 |
24 |
194.5 |
183.8 |
04-30-2023 |
NYK |
108-101W |
108 |
39 |
26 |
223.75 |
223.8 |
04-26-2023 |
MIL |
128-126W |
128 |
45 |
25 |
246.75 |
241.5 |
04-24-2023 |
MIL |
119-114W |
119 |
47 |
21 |
235.75 |
232.9 |
04-22-2023 |
MIL |
121-99W |
121 |
44 |
22 |
244.0 |
243.8 |
04-19-2023 |
MIL |
122-138L |
122 |
41 |
26 |
235.75 |
229.2 |
04-16-2023 |
MIL |
130-117W |
130 |
36 |
32 |
236.5 |
226.2 |
04-14-2023 |
CHI |
102-91W |
102 |
51 |
19 |
210.75 |
205.7 |
04-11-2023 |
ATL |
105-116L |
105 |
39 |
24 |
213.25 |
212.8 |
04-09-2023 |
ORL |
123-110W |
123 |
44 |
30 |
249.0 |
241.8 |
04-07-2023 |
WAS |
108-114L |
108 |
47 |
26 |
227.25 |
220.4 |
Celtics Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-11-2023 |
PHI |
95-86W |
95 |
50 |
22 |
215.0 |
209.0 |
05-09-2023 |
PHI |
103-115L |
103 |
36 |
21 |
191.5 |
184.7 |
05-07-2023 |
PHI |
115-116L |
115 |
44 |
25 |
241.0 |
240.3 |
05-05-2023 |
PHI |
114-102W |
114 |
45 |
25 |
241.75 |
241.5 |
05-03-2023 |
PHI |
121-87W |
121 |
46 |
26 |
252.0 |
250.2 |
05-01-2023 |
PHI |
115-119L |
115 |
38 |
26 |
212.5 |
204.6 |
04-27-2023 |
ATL |
128-120W |
128 |
47 |
24 |
262.25 |
264.4 |
04-25-2023 |
ATL |
117-119L |
117 |
43 |
31 |
238.75 |
236.1 |
04-23-2023 |
ATL |
129-121W |
129 |
49 |
25 |
245.75 |
236.3 |
04-21-2023 |
ATL |
122-130L |
122 |
29 |
31 |
231.25 |
224.3 |
04-18-2023 |
ATL |
119-106W |
119 |
48 |
28 |
264.5 |
268.6 |
04-15-2023 |
ATL |
112-99W |
112 |
58 |
25 |
246.0 |
241.1 |
04-09-2023 |
ATL |
120-114W |
120 |
47 |
33 |
249.25 |
234.9 |
04-07-2023 |
TOR |
121-102W |
121 |
53 |
37 |
261.75 |
252.1 |