NBA GAME MATCHUP
Heat at Celtics
08:30 PM EST
Miami Heat |
10W 3LSeason |
100.0%Home |
62.5%Away |
8W 2LLast 10 |
Boston Celtics |
7W 8LSeason |
37.5%Home |
57.1%Away |
4W 6LLast 10 |
215.5
Over/Under
12 out of 15 (80.0%) of Celtics games in last two years have hit the over
9 out of 13 (69.2%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
6 out of the last 8 (75.0%) Celtics home games hit the over
6 out of the last 8 (75.0%) Heat away games hit the over
The Celtics rank #6 at scoring averaging 114.2 points per game which is 4.7 over avg
The Celtics rank #9 at defense allowing 112.1 points per game which is 0.5 above avg
The Heat rank #3 at scoring averaging 116.3 points per game which is 6.8 over avg
The Heat rank #11 at defense allowing 109.8 points per game which is -1.8 below avg
MIA +8.5 | BOS -8.5
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+8.5) wins today's game is 32.8%
The implied probability the Celtics (-8.5) wins today's game is 71.0%
The Celtics rank #6 in scoring baskets at 114.2/gm. The Heat
gives up 109.8 pts a game a difference of 4.4 pts per game.
The Heat rank #3 in scoring baskets at 116.3/gm. The Celtics
gives up 112.1 pts a game a difference of 4.2 pts per game.
The Heat average +11.5 when they win and trail their opponent by -10.3 when they lose. They cover today's spread 84.6% of all games
The Celtics average +13.9 when they win and trail their opponent by -8.2 when they lose. They cover today's spread 33.3% of all games
Heat Offense vs Celtics Defense
| Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | MIA Rank | BOS DEF | vs NBA | BOS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
227.6 |
+6.5 |
#8 |
223.2 |
-3.7 |
#21 |
FanDuel Pts |
223.8 |
+2.7 |
#8 |
221.5 |
-5.4 |
#21 |
Points |
116.3 |
+6.8 |
#3 |
112.1 |
+0.5 |
#22 |
Rebounds |
40.7 |
-2.4 |
#12 |
41.7 |
-2.5 |
#18 |
Assists |
24.3 |
+0.8 |
#8 |
21.5 |
-2.5 |
#16 |
Steals |
7.8 |
+0.9 |
#2 |
8.0 |
+0.7 |
#25 |
Blocks |
3.8 |
-0.8 |
#13 |
5.1 |
+0.2 |
#25 |
Turnovers |
12.7 |
-0.6 |
#11 |
12.1 |
-1.1 |
#18 |
Shots |
87.7 |
+0.0 |
#9 |
89.0 |
+1.2 |
#24 |
Three Pointers |
14.2 |
+2.0 |
#4 |
13.3 |
+1.0 |
#24 |
Celtics Offense vs Heat Defense
| Stat | BOS OFF | vs NBA | Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
231.4 |
+10.3 |
#5 |
217.9 |
-9.0 |
#19 |
FanDuel Pts |
227.5 |
+6.4 |
#6 |
211.3 |
-15.6 |
#18 |
Points |
114.2 |
+4.7 |
#6 |
109.8 |
-1.8 |
#20 |
Rebounds |
43.9 |
+0.8 |
#9 |
44.5 |
+0.3 |
#22 |
Assists |
25.2 |
+1.7 |
#4 |
23.5 |
-0.5 |
#23 |
Steals |
5.5 |
-1.4 |
#15 |
5.3 |
-2.0 |
#16 |
Blocks |
6.4 |
+1.8 |
#1 |
3.8 |
-1.1 |
#17 |
Turnovers |
12.9 |
-0.4 |
#8 |
14.6 |
+1.4 |
#27 |
Shots |
86.7 |
-1.0 |
#11 |
86.7 |
-1.0 |
#21 |
Three Pointers |
14.4 |
+2.2 |
#3 |
12.5 |
+0.2 |
#22 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
Heat Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 28.0 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 51.5 | 52.4 |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 20.3 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 41.5 | 41.7 |
| PG | Kyle Lowry | 11.8 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 28.9 | 28.4 |
| SG/SF | Caleb Martin | 10.5 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 22.9 | 22.8 |
| SG/SF | Max Strus | 11.4 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 20.8 | 19.7 |
| PF/C | Kevin Love | 5.3 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 13.5 | 12.8 |
| SG/SF | Duncan Robinson | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| C | Cody Zeller | 3.5 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 8.2 | 8.1 |
| PF | Haywood Highsmith | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 5.2 |
Celtics Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jayson Tatum | 29.7 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 53.6 | 51.9 |
| SG | Jaylen Brown | 24.2 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 40.5 | 39.0 |
| PG | Marcus Smart | 12.7 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 30.9 | 30.4 |
| PF/C | Al Horford | 7.8 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| PG/SG | Derrick White | 10.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 22.2 | 22.0 |
| PG | Malcolm Brogdon | 10.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 20.1 | 19.4 |
| C | Robert Williams | 6.8 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 20.1 | 21.1 |
| SF/PF | Grant Williams | 7.4 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 17.0 | 16.5 |
Heat Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-21-2023 |
BOS |
128-102W |
128 |
35 |
25 |
235.75 |
230.5 |
05-19-2023 |
BOS |
111-105W |
111 |
45 |
23 |
228.75 |
230.5 |
05-17-2023 |
BOS |
123-116W |
123 |
35 |
20 |
227.25 |
225.0 |
05-10-2023 |
NYK |
103-112L |
103 |
34 |
27 |
216.5 |
217.3 |
05-08-2023 |
NYK |
109-101W |
109 |
44 |
28 |
228.0 |
223.8 |
05-06-2023 |
NYK |
105-86W |
105 |
50 |
17 |
205.5 |
200.5 |
05-02-2023 |
NYK |
105-111L |
105 |
34 |
24 |
194.5 |
183.8 |
04-30-2023 |
NYK |
108-101W |
108 |
39 |
26 |
223.75 |
223.8 |
04-26-2023 |
MIL |
128-126W |
128 |
45 |
25 |
246.75 |
241.5 |
04-24-2023 |
MIL |
119-114W |
119 |
47 |
21 |
235.75 |
232.9 |
04-22-2023 |
MIL |
121-99W |
121 |
44 |
22 |
244.0 |
243.8 |
04-19-2023 |
MIL |
122-138L |
122 |
41 |
26 |
235.75 |
229.2 |
04-16-2023 |
MIL |
130-117W |
130 |
36 |
32 |
236.5 |
226.2 |
Celtics Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-21-2023 |
MIA |
102-128L |
102 |
57 |
25 |
220.75 |
210.9 |
05-19-2023 |
MIA |
105-111L |
105 |
35 |
22 |
201.25 |
198.0 |
05-17-2023 |
MIA |
116-123L |
116 |
34 |
22 |
207.0 |
201.8 |
05-11-2023 |
PHI |
95-86W |
95 |
50 |
22 |
215.0 |
209.0 |
05-09-2023 |
PHI |
103-115L |
103 |
36 |
21 |
191.5 |
184.7 |
05-07-2023 |
PHI |
115-116L |
115 |
44 |
25 |
241.0 |
240.3 |
05-05-2023 |
PHI |
114-102W |
114 |
45 |
25 |
241.75 |
241.5 |
05-03-2023 |
PHI |
121-87W |
121 |
46 |
26 |
252.0 |
250.2 |
05-01-2023 |
PHI |
115-119L |
115 |
38 |
26 |
212.5 |
204.6 |
04-27-2023 |
ATL |
128-120W |
128 |
47 |
24 |
262.25 |
264.4 |
04-25-2023 |
ATL |
117-119L |
117 |
43 |
31 |
238.75 |
236.1 |
04-23-2023 |
ATL |
129-121W |
129 |
49 |
25 |
245.75 |
236.3 |
04-21-2023 |
ATL |
122-130L |
122 |
29 |
31 |
231.25 |
224.3 |
04-18-2023 |
ATL |
119-106W |
119 |
48 |
28 |
264.5 |
268.6 |
04-15-2023 |
ATL |
112-99W |
112 |
58 |
25 |
246.0 |
241.1 |