NBA GAME MATCHUP
Heat at Nuggets
08:30 PM EST
Miami Heat |
9W 2LSeason |
100.0%Home |
66.7%Away |
8W 2LLast 10 |
Denver Nuggets |
9W 3LSeason |
100.0%Home |
50.0%Away |
8W 2LLast 10 |
219.5
Over/Under
10 out of 12 (83.3%) of Nuggets games in last two years have hit the over
5 out of 11 (45.5%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
4 out of the last 6 (66.7%) Nuggets home games hit the over
3 out of the last 6 (50.0%) Heat away games hit the over
The Nuggets rank #2 at scoring averaging 116.2 points per game which is 7.0 over avg
The Nuggets rank #11 at defense allowing 109.8 points per game which is -2.1 below avg
The Heat rank #5 at scoring averaging 114.5 points per game which is 5.3 over avg
The Heat rank #13 at defense allowing 106.6 points per game which is -5.3 below avg
MIA +9.0 | DEN -9.0
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+9.0) wins today's game is 40.0%
The implied probability the Nuggets (-9.0) wins today's game is 66.7%
The Nuggets rank #2 in scoring baskets at 116.2/gm. The Heat
gives up 106.6 pts a game a difference of 9.6 pts per game.
The Heat rank #5 in scoring baskets at 114.5/gm. The Nuggets
gives up 109.8 pts a game a difference of 4.7 pts per game.
The Heat average +11.3 when they win and trail their opponent by -7.5 when they lose. They cover today's spread 90.9% of all games
The Nuggets average +10.7 when they win and trail their opponent by -6.0 when they lose. They cover today's spread 41.7% of all games
Heat Offense vs Nuggets Defense
| Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | MIA Rank | DEN DEF | vs NBA | DEN Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
226.0 |
+6.7 |
#8 |
214.3 |
-13.3 |
#19 |
FanDuel Pts |
223.0 |
+3.7 |
#8 |
212.4 |
-15.2 |
#19 |
Points |
114.5 |
+5.3 |
#5 |
109.8 |
-2.1 |
#20 |
Rebounds |
41.1 |
-1.8 |
#11 |
39.2 |
-5.9 |
#16 |
Assists |
23.5 |
+0.1 |
#8 |
23.9 |
+0.2 |
#22 |
Steals |
7.8 |
+1.6 |
#1 |
5.4 |
-1.4 |
#19 |
Blocks |
4.2 |
-0.5 |
#10 |
4.9 |
-0.3 |
#23 |
Turnovers |
12.0 |
-0.6 |
#10 |
11.2 |
-1.3 |
#18 |
Shots |
88.4 |
-0.2 |
#8 |
86.0 |
-3.0 |
#19 |
Three Pointers |
13.9 |
+1.9 |
#4 |
9.4 |
-2.5 |
#17 |
Nuggets Offense vs Heat Defense
| Stat | DEN OFF | vs NBA | Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
233.0 |
+13.7 |
#3 |
212.0 |
-15.6 |
#18 |
FanDuel Pts |
230.6 |
+11.3 |
#2 |
205.5 |
-22.1 |
#16 |
Points |
116.2 |
+7.0 |
#2 |
106.6 |
-5.3 |
#18 |
Rebounds |
44.4 |
+1.5 |
#7 |
45.1 |
+-0.0 |
#20 |
Assists |
25.5 |
+2.1 |
#3 |
21.9 |
-1.8 |
#19 |
Steals |
7.2 |
+1.0 |
#6 |
5.2 |
-1.6 |
#17 |
Blocks |
4.2 |
-0.5 |
#10 |
3.8 |
-1.4 |
#17 |
Turnovers |
11.2 |
-1.4 |
#14 |
15.1 |
+2.6 |
#30 |
Shots |
88.6 |
+0.0 |
#7 |
85.2 |
-3.8 |
#18 |
Three Pointers |
11.9 |
-0.1 |
#9 |
11.5 |
-0.4 |
#22 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
Heat Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 29.7 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 54.6 | 55.6 |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 22.8 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 46.5 | 46.8 |
| SG/SF | Caleb Martin | 13.3 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 29.1 | 29.0 |
| PG | Kyle Lowry | 8.1 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 20.0 | 19.6 |
| PG/SG | Gabe Vincent | 9.7 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 19.1 | 18.3 |
| SG/SF | Max Strus | 9.5 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
| SG/SF | Duncan Robinson | 8.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 14.9 | 13.7 |
| PF | Haywood Highsmith | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
Nuggets Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | Nikola Jokic | 28.6 | 13.7 | 11.1 | 67.2 | 66.1 |
| PG | Jamal Murray | 24.7 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 46.0 | 44.5 |
| SF | Michael Porter Jr. | 17.8 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 31.6 | 30.3 |
| PF | Aaron Gordon | 13.6 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 27.1 | 27.1 |
| PG/SF | Bruce Brown | 10.9 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 23.6 | 23.7 |
| SG | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 9.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 20.3 | 20.6 |
| PF/C | Jeff Green | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| SG/SF | Christian Braun | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
Heat Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-21-2023 |
BOS |
128-102W |
128 |
35 |
25 |
235.75 |
230.5 |
05-19-2023 |
BOS |
111-105W |
111 |
45 |
23 |
228.75 |
230.5 |
05-17-2023 |
BOS |
123-116W |
123 |
35 |
20 |
227.25 |
225.0 |
05-10-2023 |
NYK |
103-112L |
103 |
34 |
27 |
216.5 |
217.3 |
05-08-2023 |
NYK |
109-101W |
109 |
44 |
28 |
228.0 |
223.8 |
05-06-2023 |
NYK |
105-86W |
105 |
50 |
17 |
205.5 |
200.5 |
05-02-2023 |
NYK |
105-111L |
105 |
34 |
24 |
194.5 |
183.8 |
04-30-2023 |
NYK |
108-101W |
108 |
39 |
26 |
223.75 |
223.8 |
04-26-2023 |
MIL |
128-126W |
128 |
45 |
25 |
246.75 |
241.5 |
04-24-2023 |
MIL |
119-114W |
119 |
47 |
21 |
235.75 |
232.9 |
04-22-2023 |
MIL |
121-99W |
121 |
44 |
22 |
244.0 |
243.8 |
Nuggets Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-2023 |
LAL |
113-111W |
113 |
40 |
25 |
225.0 |
223.5 |
05-20-2023 |
LAL |
119-108W |
119 |
39 |
30 |
234.25 |
228.8 |
05-18-2023 |
LAL |
108-103W |
108 |
49 |
27 |
228.25 |
220.3 |
05-16-2023 |
LAL |
132-126W |
132 |
47 |
29 |
260.25 |
256.9 |
05-11-2023 |
PHX |
125-100W |
125 |
41 |
24 |
236.75 |
238.2 |
05-09-2023 |
PHX |
118-102W |
118 |
50 |
32 |
254.0 |
252.0 |
05-07-2023 |
PHX |
124-129L |
124 |
32 |
28 |
221.0 |
219.4 |
05-05-2023 |
PHX |
114-121L |
114 |
51 |
27 |
238.75 |
235.7 |
05-01-2023 |
PHX |
97-87W |
97 |
41 |
19 |
195.75 |
194.7 |
04-29-2023 |
PHX |
125-107W |
125 |
49 |
22 |
252.25 |
251.8 |
04-25-2023 |
MIN |
112-109W |
112 |
47 |
22 |
229.75 |
228.4 |
04-23-2023 |
MIN |
108-114L |
108 |
47 |
21 |
220.25 |
216.9 |