NBA GAME MATCHUP
Heat at Nuggets
08:00 PM EST
![]() Miami Heat |
7W 2LSeason |
100.0%Home |
66.7%Away |
7W 2LLast 10 |
![]() Denver Nuggets |
9W 2LSeason |
100.0%Home |
60.0%Away |
8W 2LLast 10 |
216.0
Over/Under
9 out of 11 (81.8%) of Nuggets games in last two years have hit the over
5 out of 9 (55.6%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
5 out of the last 6 (83.3%) Nuggets home games hit the over
4 out of the last 6 (66.7%) Heat away games hit the over
The Nuggets rank #4 at scoring averaging 117.0 points per game which is 5.3 over avg
The Nuggets rank #12 at defense allowing 109.4 points per game which is -4.9 below avg
The Heat rank #5 at scoring averaging 113.3 points per game which is 1.6 over avg
The Heat rank #13 at defense allowing 106.7 points per game which is -7.6 below avg
MIA +8.5 | DEN -8.5
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+8.5) wins today's game is 37.7%
The implied probability the Nuggets (-8.5) wins today's game is 68.8%
The Nuggets rank #4 in scoring baskets at 117.0/gm. The Heat
gives up 106.7 pts a game a difference of 10.3 pts per game.
The Heat rank #5 in scoring baskets at 113.3/gm. The Nuggets
gives up 109.4 pts a game a difference of 3.9 pts per game.
The Heat average +10.7 when they win and trail their opponent by -7.5 when they lose. They cover today's spread 88.9% of all games
The Nuggets average +10.7 when they win and trail their opponent by -6.0 when they lose. They cover today's spread 45.5% of all games
Heat Offense vs Nuggets Defense
Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | MIA Rank | DEN DEF | vs NBA | DEN Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
223.0 |
+1.2 |
#9 |
212.1 |
-19.2 |
#18 |
FanDuel Pts |
219.6 |
-2.2 |
#9 |
210.2 |
-21.1 |
#18 |
Points |
113.3 |
+1.6 |
#5 |
109.4 |
-4.9 |
#19 |
Rebounds |
40.1 |
-3.3 |
#11 |
38.1 |
-6.5 |
#16 |
Assists |
23.9 |
+0.3 |
#9 |
24.0 |
-1.0 |
#21 |
Steals |
7.1 |
+0.9 |
#7 |
5.4 |
-1.2 |
#19 |
Blocks |
4.1 |
+0.1 |
#8 |
4.7 |
-0.5 |
#22 |
Turnovers |
11.3 |
-1.3 |
#11 |
11.2 |
-0.8 |
#20 |
Shots |
89.0 |
+0.6 |
#7 |
85.4 |
-4.5 |
#21 |
Three Pointers |
13.8 |
+1.3 |
#4 |
9.1 |
-3.4 |
#17 |
Nuggets Offense vs Heat Defense
Stat | DEN OFF | vs NBA | Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
234.2 |
+12.4 |
#3 |
210.1 |
-21.2 |
#17 |
FanDuel Pts |
231.8 |
+10.0 |
#2 |
203.0 |
-28.3 |
#16 |
Points |
117.0 |
+5.3 |
#4 |
106.7 |
-7.6 |
#18 |
Rebounds |
44.2 |
+0.8 |
#7 |
45.9 |
+1.3 |
#25 |
Assists |
25.9 |
+2.3 |
#4 |
21.2 |
-3.8 |
#18 |
Steals |
7.3 |
+1.1 |
#4 |
4.4 |
-2.2 |
#17 |
Blocks |
4.1 |
+0.1 |
#8 |
3.7 |
-1.5 |
#19 |
Turnovers |
11.2 |
-1.4 |
#13 |
14.9 |
+2.9 |
#30 |
Shots |
88.0 |
-0.4 |
#8 |
83.9 |
-6.0 |
#17 |
Three Pointers |
11.9 |
-0.6 |
#11 |
10.9 |
-1.6 |
#20 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
![](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/mia.png)
Heat Projected Stats
Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 28.1 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 51.7 | 52.6 |
C | Bam Adebayo | 21.2 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 43.2 | 43.5 |
SG/SF | Caleb Martin | 11.6 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 25.3 | 25.2 |
PG/SG | Gabe Vincent | 10.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 20.8 | 20.0 |
PG | Kyle Lowry | 8.1 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 19.9 | 19.5 |
SG/SF | Max Strus | 8.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 15.5 | 14.7 |
SG/SF | Duncan Robinson | 7.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 13.3 | 12.2 |
PF | Haywood Highsmith | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
C | Cody Zeller | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 5.0 |
PF/C | Kevin Love | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
![](https://draftedge.com/wp-content/uploads/den.png)
Nuggets Projected Stats
Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | Nikola Jokic | 27.7 | 13.3 | 10.8 | 65.2 | 64.0 |
PG | Jamal Murray | 24.7 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 46.1 | 44.6 |
SF | Michael Porter Jr. | 18.0 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 31.9 | 30.7 |
PF | Aaron Gordon | 13.7 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 27.2 | 27.2 |
PG/SF | Bruce Brown | 9.5 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 20.6 | 20.8 |
SG | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 9.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 20.4 | 20.7 |
PF/C | Jeff Green | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 7.5 |
SG/SF | Christian Braun | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 5.6 | 5.7 |
Heat Most Recent Games
Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-21-2023 |
BOS |
128-102W |
128 |
35 |
25 |
235.75 |
230.5 |
05-19-2023 |
BOS |
111-105W |
111 |
45 |
23 |
228.75 |
230.5 |
05-17-2023 |
BOS |
123-116W |
123 |
35 |
20 |
227.25 |
225.0 |
05-10-2023 |
NYK |
103-112L |
103 |
34 |
27 |
216.5 |
217.3 |
05-08-2023 |
NYK |
109-101W |
109 |
44 |
28 |
228.0 |
223.8 |
05-06-2023 |
NYK |
105-86W |
105 |
50 |
17 |
205.5 |
200.5 |
05-02-2023 |
NYK |
105-111L |
105 |
34 |
24 |
194.5 |
183.8 |
04-30-2023 |
NYK |
108-101W |
108 |
39 |
26 |
223.75 |
223.8 |
04-26-2023 |
MIL |
128-126W |
128 |
45 |
25 |
246.75 |
241.5 |
Nuggets Most Recent Games
Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-2023 |
LAL |
113-111W |
113 |
40 |
25 |
225.0 |
223.5 |
05-20-2023 |
LAL |
119-108W |
119 |
39 |
30 |
234.25 |
228.8 |
05-18-2023 |
LAL |
108-103W |
108 |
49 |
27 |
228.25 |
220.3 |
05-16-2023 |
LAL |
132-126W |
132 |
47 |
29 |
260.25 |
256.9 |
05-11-2023 |
PHX |
125-100W |
125 |
41 |
24 |
236.75 |
238.2 |
05-09-2023 |
PHX |
118-102W |
118 |
50 |
32 |
254.0 |
252.0 |
05-07-2023 |
PHX |
124-129L |
124 |
32 |
28 |
221.0 |
219.4 |
05-05-2023 |
PHX |
114-121L |
114 |
51 |
27 |
238.75 |
235.7 |
05-01-2023 |
PHX |
97-87W |
97 |
41 |
19 |
195.75 |
194.7 |
04-29-2023 |
PHX |
125-107W |
125 |
49 |
22 |
252.25 |
251.8 |
04-25-2023 |
MIN |
112-109W |
112 |
47 |
22 |
229.75 |
228.4 |