NBA GAME MATCHUP

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  2. MIA at DEN

Heat at Nuggets

08:30 PM EST
Miami Heat
5W 1L

Season
100.0%

Home
66.7%

Away
5W 1L

Last 10
Denver Nuggets
6W 2L

Season
100.0%

Home
60.0%

Away
6W 2L

Last 10
208.5
Over/Under
8 out of 8 (100.0%) of Nuggets games in last two years have hit the over
5 out of 6 (83.3%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
3 out of the last 3 (100.0%) Nuggets home games hit the over
2 out of the last 3 (66.7%) Heat away games hit the over
The Nuggets rank #1 at scoring averaging 119.1 points per game which is 9.4 over avg
The Nuggets rank #3 at defense allowing 112.5 points per game which is 2.0 above avg
The Heat rank #2 at scoring averaging 113.2 points per game which is 3.5 over avg
The Heat rank #8 at defense allowing 103.7 points per game which is -6.8 below avg
Over EdgeScore 174
MIA +9.0 | DEN -9.0
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+9.0) wins today's game is 26.7%
The implied probability the Nuggets (-9.0) wins today's game is 77.8%
The Nuggets rank #1 in scoring baskets at 119.1/gm. The Heat gives up 103.7 pts a game a difference of 15.4 pts per game.
The Heat rank #2 in scoring baskets at 113.2/gm. The Nuggets gives up 112.5 pts a game a difference of 0.7 pts per game.
The Heat average +13.2 when they win and trail their opponent by -9.0 when they lose. They cover today's spread 83.3% of all games
The Nuggets average +10.8 when they win and trail their opponent by -6.0 when they lose. They cover today's spread 37.5% of all games

Heat Offense vs Nuggets Defense

Stat MIA OFF vs NBA MIA Rank DEN DEF vs NBA DEN Rank
DraftKings Pts
223.6
+3.8
 #3
217.1
-4.9
 #26
FanDuel Pts
221.3
+1.5
 #3
215.5
-6.5
 #25
Points
113.2
+3.5
 #2
112.5
+2.0
 #28
Rebounds
40.5
-1.7
 #6
37.8
-4.5
 #23
Assists
23.3
-0.7
 #6
24.6
+0.2
 #27
Steals
8.2
+2.0
 #1
5.5
-1.0
 #24
Blocks
4.2
-0.5
 #5
4.9
+0.2
 #28
Turnovers
12.5
-0.5
 #3
10.4
-2.0
 #23
Shots
86.8
+1.3
 #3
84.9
-1.2
 #25
Three Pointers
12.8
+1.0
 #3
9.9
-1.8
 #24

Nuggets Offense vs Heat Defense

Stat DEN OFF vs NBA Rank MIA DEF vs NBA Rank
DraftKings Pts
237.3
+17.5
 #1
204.2
-17.8
 #23
FanDuel Pts
234.4
+14.6
 #1
197.8
-24.2
 #23
Points
119.1
+9.4
 #1
103.7
-6.8
 #23
Rebounds
43.6
+1.4
 #3
43.2
+0.9
 #27
Assists
27.8
+3.8
 #2
21.3
-3.1
 #24
Steals
6.4
+0.2
 #4
4.3
-2.2
 #23
Blocks
4.4
-0.3
 #4
4.3
-0.4
 #26
Turnovers
11.0
-2.0
 #7
15.7
+3.3
 #30
Shots
88.2
+2.7
 #2
82.7
-3.4
 #23
Three Pointers
12.0
+0.2
 #4
10.2
-1.5
 #26

MoneyLine Movement

OverUnder Movement

Heat Projected Stats

Pos Player Pts Reb Ast DK FD
SF/PF Jimmy Butler 26.7 6.5 6.0 49.2 50.1
C Bam Adebayo 20.2 9.5 3.4 41.3 41.6
PG Kyle Lowry 8.4 2.9 3.7 20.7 20.3
SG/SF Caleb Martin 8.9 4.3 1.5 19.4 19.3
PF/C Kevin Love 6.2 5.0 1.4 16.0 15.1
PG/SG Gabe Vincent 8.1 1.7 2.2 16.0 15.3
SG/SF Max Strus 8.0 2.3 1.3 14.6 13.8
SG/SF Duncan Robinson 8.1 1.8 1.3 14.2 13.0
C Cody Zeller 2.0 1.6 0.2 4.7 4.7
PF Haywood Highsmith 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0 1.0

Nuggets Projected Stats

Pos Player Pts Reb Ast DK FD
C Nikola Jokic 27.4 13.2 10.7 64.6 63.4
PG Jamal Murray 24.7 4.8 7.0 46.1 44.5
PF Aaron Gordon 13.1 5.3 2.4 26.1 26.1
PG/SF Bruce Brown 10.3 3.6 2.8 22.3 22.4
SF Michael Porter Jr. 12.2 4.4 0.9 21.7 20.8
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 9.7 2.5 2.0 20.0 20.3
SG/SF Christian Braun 3.7 2.0 0.6 8.5 8.6
PF/C Jeff Green 3.9 1.4 0.6 7.4 7.4

Heat Most Recent Games

Date Opp Result Pts Reb Ast DK FD
05-21-2023
BOS
128-102W
128
35
25
235.75
230.5
05-19-2023
BOS
111-105W
111
45
23
228.75
230.5
05-17-2023
BOS
123-116W
123
35
20
227.25
225.0
05-10-2023
NYK
103-112L
103
34
27
216.5
217.3
05-08-2023
NYK
109-101W
109
44
28
228.0
223.8
05-06-2023
NYK
105-86W
105
50
17
205.5
200.5

Nuggets Most Recent Games

Date Opp Result Pts Reb Ast DK FD
05-22-2023
LAL
113-111W
113
40
25
225.0
223.5
05-20-2023
LAL
119-108W
119
39
30
234.25
228.8
05-18-2023
LAL
108-103W
108
49
27
228.25
220.3
05-16-2023
LAL
132-126W
132
47
29
260.25
256.9
05-11-2023
PHX
125-100W
125
41
24
236.75
238.2
05-09-2023
PHX
118-102W
118
50
32
254.0
252.0
05-07-2023
PHX
124-129L
124
32
28
221.0
219.4
05-05-2023
PHX
114-121L
114
51
27
238.75
235.7