NBA GAME MATCHUP
Heat at Bucks
05:30 PM EST
Miami Heat |
10W 8LSeason |
70.0%Home |
37.5%Away |
5W 5LLast 10 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
12W 6LSeason |
62.5%Home |
70.0%Away |
6W 4LLast 10 |
219.0
Over/Under
17 out of 18 (94.4%) of Bucks games in last two years have hit the over
12 out of 18 (66.7%) of Heat games in last two years have hit the over
6 out of the last 8 (75.0%) Bucks home games hit the over
4 out of the last 8 (50.0%) Heat away games hit the over
The Bucks rank #2 at scoring averaging 121.8 points per game which is 6.5 over avg
The Bucks rank #7 at defense allowing 119.6 points per game which is 4.3 above avg
The Heat rank #22 at scoring averaging 112.6 points per game which is -2.7 under avg
The Heat rank #24 at defense allowing 111.5 points per game which is -3.8 below avg
MIA +9.5 | MIL -9.5
Playing The MoneyLine
The implied probability the Heat (+9.5) wins today's game is 29.9%
The implied probability the Bucks (-9.5) wins today's game is 74.0%
The Bucks rank #2 in scoring baskets at 121.8/gm. The Heat
gives up 111.5 pts a game a difference of 10.3 pts per game.
The Heat rank #22 in scoring baskets at 112.6/gm. The Bucks
gives up 119.6 pts a game a difference of -7.0 pts per game.
The Heat average +11.8 when they win and trail their opponent by -12.4 when they lose. They cover today's spread 72.2% of all games
The Bucks average +14.0 when they win and trail their opponent by -21.3 when they lose. They cover today's spread 44.4% of all games
Heat Offense vs Bucks Defense
| Stat | MIA OFF | vs NBA | MIA Rank | MIL DEF | vs NBA | MIL Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
218.4 |
-14.2 |
#28 |
238.9 |
+6.2 |
#22 |
FanDuel Pts |
213.0 |
-19.6 |
#29 |
234.3 |
+1.6 |
#21 |
Points |
112.6 |
-2.7 |
#22 |
119.6 |
+4.2 |
#24 |
Rebounds |
39.3 |
-4.3 |
#28 |
44.0 |
+0.3 |
#17 |
Assists |
25.1 |
-1.1 |
#23 |
28.1 |
+1.9 |
#27 |
Steals |
7.1 |
-0.2 |
#19 |
7.1 |
-0.2 |
#15 |
Blocks |
2.7 |
-2.0 |
#29 |
3.3 |
-1.4 |
#2 |
Turnovers |
13.5 |
-0.1 |
#17 |
11.3 |
-2.3 |
#2 |
Shots |
82.8 |
-6.1 |
#30 |
96.6 |
+7.7 |
#30 |
Three Pointers |
12.9 |
+0.4 |
#10 |
14.2 |
+1.8 |
#28 |
Bucks Offense vs Heat Defense
| Stat | MIL OFF | vs NBA | Rank | MIA DEF | vs NBA | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DraftKings Pts |
246.3 |
+13.7 |
#2 |
226.4 |
-6.3 |
#10 |
FanDuel Pts |
240.5 |
+7.9 |
#4 |
221.7 |
-11.0 |
#9 |
Points |
121.8 |
+6.5 |
#2 |
111.5 |
-3.9 |
#7 |
Rebounds |
46.8 |
+3.2 |
#3 |
41.7 |
-2.0 |
#7 |
Assists |
28.8 |
+2.6 |
#2 |
27.6 |
+1.4 |
#23 |
Steals |
6.0 |
-1.3 |
#28 |
6.9 |
-0.4 |
#13 |
Blocks |
5.2 |
+0.5 |
#6 |
4.2 |
-0.5 |
#11 |
Turnovers |
14.2 |
+0.6 |
#11 |
14.3 |
+0.7 |
#24 |
Shots |
90.8 |
+1.9 |
#8 |
84.8 |
-4.1 |
#3 |
Three Pointers |
15.1 |
+2.6 |
#4 |
12.9 |
+0.5 |
#19 |
MoneyLine Movement
OverUnder Movement
Heat Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF/PF | Jimmy Butler | 25.0 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 46.4 | 47.2 |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 18.8 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 38.3 |
| PG/SG | Tyler Herro | 17.6 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 32.2 | 30.5 |
| PG | Kyle Lowry | 9.0 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 21.5 |
| SG/SF | Max Strus | 10.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 18.7 | 17.7 |
| SF/PF | Caleb Martin | 7.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 17.2 | 17.2 |
| PG/SG | Gabe Vincent | 8.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 16.2 | 15.5 |
| PF/C | Kevin Love | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 9.5 | 8.9 |
| PG/SG | Victor Oladipo | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
Bucks Projected Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PF/C | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 32.4 | 12.3 | 5.9 | 60.4 | 59.0 |
| PG | Jrue Holiday | 19.0 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 40.4 | 39.1 |
| SF | Khris Middleton | 17.1 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 34.4 | 33.0 |
| C | Brook Lopez | 13.6 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 28.4 | 29.3 |
| PF/C | Bobby Portis | 10.9 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 23.4 | 22.5 |
| SG | Grayson Allen | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 15.2 | 14.8 |
| SG/SF | Joe Ingles | 4.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| PG | Jevon Carter | 3.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 8.5 |
| SF/PF | Jae Crowder | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
Heat Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-14-2023 |
CHI |
102-91W |
102 |
51 |
19 |
210.75 |
205.7 |
04-11-2023 |
ATL |
105-116L |
105 |
39 |
24 |
213.25 |
212.8 |
04-09-2023 |
ORL |
123-110W |
123 |
44 |
30 |
249.0 |
241.8 |
04-07-2023 |
WAS |
108-114L |
108 |
47 |
26 |
227.25 |
220.4 |
04-06-2023 |
PHI |
129-101W |
129 |
42 |
39 |
249.5 |
235.9 |
04-04-2023 |
DET |
118-105W |
118 |
33 |
26 |
228.75 |
230.6 |
04-01-2023 |
DAL |
129-122W |
129 |
36 |
27 |
227.5 |
219.7 |
03-29-2023 |
NYK |
92-101L |
92 |
35 |
20 |
176.75 |
168.0 |
03-28-2023 |
TOR |
92-106L |
92 |
43 |
18 |
187.75 |
181.6 |
03-25-2023 |
BRO |
100-129L |
100 |
32 |
22 |
190.0 |
184.4 |
03-22-2023 |
NYK |
127-120W |
127 |
29 |
28 |
228.25 |
223.8 |
03-19-2023 |
DET |
112-100W |
112 |
42 |
33 |
231.5 |
225.9 |
03-18-2023 |
CHI |
99-113L |
99 |
39 |
23 |
192.25 |
184.3 |
03-15-2023 |
MEM |
138-119W |
138 |
41 |
33 |
264.75 |
262.7 |
03-13-2023 |
UTA |
119-115W |
119 |
37 |
20 |
227.75 |
228.4 |
03-11-2023 |
ORL |
114-126L |
114 |
35 |
19 |
203.25 |
197.5 |
03-10-2023 |
CLE |
119-115W |
119 |
46 |
22 |
230.5 |
224.2 |
03-08-2023 |
CLE |
100-104L |
100 |
37 |
22 |
193.25 |
186.4 |
Bucks Most Recent Games
| Date | Opp | Result | Pts | Reb | Ast | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-09-2023 |
TOR |
105-121L |
105 |
38 |
28 |
207.5 |
199.6 |
04-07-2023 |
MEM |
114-137L |
114 |
38 |
30 |
223.5 |
209.6 |
04-05-2023 |
CHI |
105-92W |
105 |
53 |
26 |
232.75 |
224.6 |
04-04-2023 |
WAS |
140-128W |
140 |
56 |
33 |
288.0 |
277.7 |
04-02-2023 |
PHI |
117-104W |
117 |
42 |
28 |
236.5 |
236.4 |
03-30-2023 |
BOS |
99-140L |
99 |
45 |
22 |
198.75 |
188.0 |
03-29-2023 |
IND |
149-136W |
149 |
52 |
28 |
271.5 |
264.4 |
03-27-2023 |
DET |
126-117W |
126 |
50 |
28 |
251.0 |
246.0 |
03-25-2023 |
DEN |
106-129L |
106 |
40 |
26 |
212.5 |
210.0 |
03-24-2023 |
UTA |
144-116W |
144 |
50 |
42 |
308.0 |
305.0 |
03-22-2023 |
SAS |
130-94W |
130 |
54 |
24 |
261.5 |
257.8 |
03-19-2023 |
TOR |
118-111W |
118 |
45 |
35 |
250.75 |
245.5 |
03-16-2023 |
IND |
123-139L |
123 |
44 |
26 |
234.5 |
229.8 |
03-14-2023 |
PHX |
116-104W |
116 |
46 |
24 |
237.0 |
236.2 |
03-13-2023 |
SAC |
133-124W |
133 |
43 |
29 |
243.25 |
233.1 |
03-11-2023 |
GSW |
116-125L |
116 |
48 |
28 |
252.0 |
246.6 |
03-09-2023 |
BRO |
118-113W |
118 |
61 |
33 |
285.25 |
284.7 |
03-07-2023 |
ORL |
134-123W |
134 |
38 |
28 |
240.0 |
234.6 |